• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결핍모형

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The Drought Monitoring by Soil Moisture Index of SWAT Model (SWAT 모형의 토양수분지수를 이용한 가뭄감시)

  • Hwang Tae Ha;Jang Dae Woon;Seo Byung Ha;Kim Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.855-861
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    • 2005
  • 가뭄은 홍수와는 달리 장기적이고 지속적인 피해를 유발하고, 지역의 경제에 타격을 주며, 생태계 및 환경을 파괴하는 자연재해로서 인간에게 오랫동안 고통을 준다. 이와 같은 가뭄에 대비하고 가뭄을 관리하기 위해 가뭄의 정도를 정량화하고자 하는 연구가 꾸준히 이루어져 왔다. 그 결과 다양한 가뭄지수들이 개발되었으며 이들을 이용해 가뭄감시를 수행하고 있다. 그중 Palmer의 가뭄심도(PDSI)가 가뭄감시와 관리를 위하여 가장 널리 사용되고 있음에도 불구하고, 물순환의 고려없이 기후적인 조건만을 이용하는 단점과 한계성이 여러 학자들에 의해 지적되어 오고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위해 토양, 토지이용, 기후자료를 입력자료로 하는 분포형 장기유출모형인 SWAT모형을 이용하였다. 즉, SWAT 모형을 이용해 토양수(soil water, SW)를 구정하고, 이로부터 계산된 토양수분결핍을 근거로 토양수분지수(soil moisture index, SMI)를 산정하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 토양수분결핍에 기초한 토양수분지수는 가뭄감시와 관리에 그 적용성 및 활용이 가능하리라 판단된다.

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Analysis of Flood Runoff using GIUH Model (GIUH 모형을 이용한 홍수 유출해석)

  • Ahn Sang Jin;Kim Jin Geuk;Park Jae Hyun;Lee Heung Zik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.705-709
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    • 2005
  • 수공분야에 매우 중요한 강우-유출 해석을 위해 미계측 유역이나 자료가 결핍된 유역에서 효과적으로 사용하는 GIUH모형을 이용하기 위해서는 지형$\cdot$지질특성, 토지피복상태, 유역의 하천 분기특성 등이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 지형학적 인자를 추출하여 지형형태학적 특징과 Clark 단위도법을 이용하여 GIUH 모형을 보청천 유역의 산성지점에 비교하였다 그 결과 GIUH 모형을 이용한 수문곡선이 Clark 단위도법을 이용하여 작성한 수문곡선 보다 실측치와 유사한 결과가 나오는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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The Estimation of Soil Moisture Index by SWAT Model and Drought Monitoring (SWAT 모형을 이용한 토양수분지수 산정과 가뭄감시)

  • Hwang, Tae Ha;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.345-354
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    • 2006
  • Drought brings on long term damage in contrast to flood, on economic loss in the region, and on ecologic and environmental disruptions. Drought is one of major natural disasters and gives a painful hardship to human beings. So we have tried to quantify the droughts for reducing drought damage and developed the drought indices for drought monitoring and management. The Palmer's drought severity index (PDSI) is widely used for the drought monitoring but it has the disadvanges and limitations in that the PDSI is estimated by considering just climate conditions as pointed out by many researchers. Thus this study uses the SWAT model which can consider soil conditions like soil type and land use in addition to climate conditions. We estimate soil water (SW) and soil moisture index (SMI) by SWAT which is a long term runoff simulation model. We apply the SWAT model to Soyang dam watershed for SMI estimation and compare SMI with PDSI for drought analysis. Say, we calibrate and validate the SWAT model by daily inflows of Soyang dam site and we estimate long term daily soil water. The estimated soil water is used for the computation of SMI based on the soil moisture deficit and we compare SMI with PDSI. As the results, we obtained the determination coefficient of 0.651 which means the SWAT model is applicable for drought monitoring and we can monitor drought in more high resolution by using GIS. So, we suggest that SMI based on the soil moisture deficit can be used for the drought monitoring and management.

The Effects of Middle School Students' Belongingness Orientation on their Psychological Adaptation and Friend Networks: A Short-term Longitudinal Social Network Analysis (중학생의 소속감 지향성이 심리적 적응 및 친구 네트워크에 미치는 영향력 비교: 소셜 네트워크 분석을 활용한 단기-종단적 분석)

  • Lee, Seungjin;Ko, Young-gun
    • Korean Journal of School Psychology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2021
  • Intimate friendships and a sense of belonging have positive effects on adolescent's psychological adaptation. Belongingness orientation is the motivation to belong. It is divided into growth orientation and deficit-reduction orientation, both of which have different effects on psychological adaptation and interpersonal characteristics. This study was conducted to determine how adolescents' belongingness orientation affected their psychological adaptation and friend networks. Students in their second year of middle school were surveyed both at the beginning and end of the spring semester. Friend networks were measured through network centrality analysis. Multilevel regression analysis produced three major results. The first major result was that the correlations between growth orientation and loneliness and between growth orientation and stress at the beginning of the spring semester was statistically significant even when friend network centrality was included in the analysis model, but the correlation between deficit-reduction orientation and loneliness and between deficit-reduction orientation and stress were not statistically significant. The second major result was that growth orientation significantly predicted friend network centrality at the end of the spring semester. This effect was significant even when friend network centrality at the beginning of the semester and psychological adaptation level at the end of the spring semester were added to the analysis model. The third major result was that the correlation between friend network centrality at the end of the semester and psychological adaptation level was statistically significant even when psychological adaptation levels at the beginning and the end of the semester were included in the analysis model. This study is meaningful in that it had a short-term longitudinal design and empirically demonstrated the relationship between belongingness orientation and psychological adaptation level of adolescents and between belongingness orientation and the development of friend networks. Lastly, we discussed limitations of this study and provided suggestions for future research.

Derivation of benchmark dose lower limit of lead for ADHD based on a longitudinal cohort data set (동집단 자료의 주의력 결핍 과잉행동 장애를 종점으로 한 납의 벤치마크 용량 하한 도출)

  • Kim, Byung Soo;Kim, Daehee;Ha, Mina;Kwon, Ho-Jang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.987-998
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    • 2014
  • The primary purpose of this paper is to derive a benchmark dose lower limit (BMDL) of lead for the attention deficit/hyperactive disorder (ADHD) based on a longitudinal cohort data set which is referred to as CHEER data set. The CHEER data were recently recruited from the Ministry of Environment of S. Korea to investigate the effect of environment on children's health We first confirm the correlation of ADHD with the blood lead level using a linear mixed effect model. We report from the longitudinal characteristic of CHEER data that ADHD scores tend to have "regression to the mean". A dose-response curve of blood lead level with ADHD being the end point is derived and from this dose-response curve a few BMDLs are derived based on corresponding assumptions on the benchmark region.

A Study on the Transformation of Shopping Behavior under Multi-Channel Consumption Environment (멀티채널 소비상황에서 쇼핑행동 전환에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Jae-Kook;Park, Byung-Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.61-82
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to investigate the transformation of shopping behavior from showrooming to webrooming under multi-channel environment. By applying the push-pull-pooring (PPM) theory, we conceptualized the lack of utilitarian shopping value of showrooming as a push effect, the experiential shopping value of webrooming as a pull effect and the showrooming lock-in as mooring effect. Using structural equation model based on 276 sample data, we identified that the utilitarian shopping value of showrooming and the experiential shopping value of webrooming have a positive effect on the intention of webrooming, and that the showrooming mooring had a negative effect on the intention of webrooming.

An Experimental Study on Wake Flow-Field of NREL 5 MW Wind Turbine Model (NREL 5 MW 풍력터빈 모형의 후류 유동장에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Kang, Seung-Hee;Ryu, Ki-Wahn
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2017
  • A wind tunnel test for 1/86 scaled down model of the NREL 5 MW offshore wind turbine was conducted to investigate the wake and flow fields. Deficit of flow speed in the wake region and variations of the turbulence intensity were measured using a hot wire anemometer at rated tip speed ratio of 11.4 m/s and a rotational speed of 1,045 rpm. According to the test results, velocity deficits along both of lateral and vertical directions were recovered within 2 rotor radii downstream from the rotating disc plane. The tip vortices effect was negligible after 5 rotor radii downstream from the rotating plane. Turbulence intensities showed maximum value around the blade tip, and decreased rapidly after one radius apart from the rotating plane, and those values were preserved until 6 rotor radii downstream.

BMDL of blood lead for ADHD based on two longitudinal data sets (주의력 결핍 과잉 행동장애를 종점으로 하는 혈중 납의 벤치마크 용량 하한 도출: 두 동집단 자료의 병합)

  • Kim, Si Yeon;Ha, Mina;Kwon, Hojang;Kim, Byung Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 2018
  • The ministry of Environment of Korea initiated two follow-up surveys in 2005 and 2006 to investigate environmental effect on children's health. These two cohorts, referred to as the 2005 Cohort and 2006 Cohort, were followed up three times every two years. This data set was referred to as the Children's Health and Environmental Research (CHEER) data set. This paper reproduces the existing research results of Kim et al. (Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society, 25, 987-998, 2014) and Lee et al. (The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics, 29, 1295-1310, 2016) and derive a benchmark dose lower limit (BMDL) for blood lead level for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) after pooling two cohort data sets. The different ADHD rating scales were unified by applying the conversion formula proposed by Lee et al. (2016). The random effect model and AR(1) model were built to reflect the longitudinal characteristics and regression to the mean phenomenon. Based on these models the BMDLs for blood lead levels were derived using the BMDL formula and the simulation. We obtained a hight level of BMDLs when we pooled two independent cohort data sets.

Precariousness and Happiness of South Korean Young Adults: The Mediating Effects of Uncertainty and Disempowerment (한국 청년의 삶의 불안정성(precariousness)과 행복: 불확실성과 통제권한 부재의 매개효과)

  • Han, Seungheon;Yim, Dahye;Kang, Minah
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.87-126
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to examine the level of precariousness among young adults in South Korea and analyze the factors affecting their subjective well-being by adopting the three forms of precariousness suggested by Rodgers(1989) such as lack of resource, uncertainty and disempowerment as its analytical framework. Structural Equation Model was used for analyzing the path model of self-rated health, income level and social support(three forms of resource) affecting subjective wellbeing through uncertainty and disempowerment. Study population include young adults aged between 19 to 34 with a sample size of 415 using data of the 8th wave of the Korean General Social Survey(KGSS), 2010. Study population is divided into lower-age group (aged between 19-26) and upper-age group (aged between 27-34) in order to examine the differences between age groups by using Multiple Group Analysis. Study results show that three forms of resources, uncertainty and disempowerment had direct effect on the subjective well-being of South Korean young adults and disempowerment had the most significant effect among the factors. In addition, self-rated health and income level had indirect effect on subjective well-being through both uncertainty and disempowerment while social support had indirect effect on subjective well-being only through disempowerment. Results from the Multiple Group Analysis indicate that among the two age groups, income level only has a significant effect on subjective well-being in the upper-age group. In addition, disempowerment had greater effect on subjective wellbeing among upper-age group than the lower-age group. Based on the study results, this paper suggested policy implications and discussion for further research.

Derivation of a benchmark dose lower bound of lead for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder using a longitudinal data set (경시적 자료의 주의력 결핍 과잉행동 장애를 종점으로 한 납의 벤치마크 용량 하한 도출)

  • Lee, Juhyung;Kim, Si Yeon;Ha, Mina;Kwon, Hojang;Kim, Byung Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1295-1309
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    • 2016
  • This paper is to reproduce the result of Kim et al. (2014) by deriving a benchmark dose lower bound (BMDL) of lead based on the 2005 cohort data set of Children's Health and Environmental Research (CHEER) data set. The ADHD rating scales in the 2005 cohort were not consistent along the three follow-ups since two different ADHD rating scales were used in the cohort. We first unified the ADHD rating scales in the 2005 cohort by deriving a conversion formula using a penalized linear spline. We then constructed two linear mixed models for the 2005 cohort which reflected the longitudinal characteristics of the data set. The first model introduced the random intercept and the random slope terms and the second model assumed the first order autoregressive structure of the error term. Using these two models, we derived the BMDLs of lead and reconfirmed the "regression to the mean" nature of the ADHD score discovered by Kim et al. (2014). We also noticed that there was a definite difference between the sampling distributions of the two cohorts. As a result, taking this difference into account, we were able to obtain the consistent result with Kim et al. (2014).