• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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• 2004.05a
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• pp.89-89
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• 2004

결정적인 알고리즘과 입력정보의 사용은 평가된 해석과 실제 시스템 값과의 차이로 잘못된 결론을 이끌지도 모른다. 실제 시스템은 대부분 각각의 입력 매개변수들(input parameters)과 관계된 넓은 공차 영역(tolerance band)을 가지고 있어서 입력정보로 하나의 단일한 값을 할당하는 것이 어렵다. 단일 입력에 대한 한가지 해는 변동의 이해 없이 제한된 값이라는 것을 인식할 필요가 있는데 대개 결정론적 설계는 형상과 관련된 치수변동, 항복강도나 부재의 밀도, 탄성계수와 같은 재료 물성치의 불확실성(uncertainty)과 시스템에 작용하는 하중의 변동 등을 직접 고려하지 않고 설계를 수행하기 때문에 수용할 수 있는 오차의 범위 안에서 시스템의 응답을 정확히 평가하기가 쉽지 않았다.(중략)

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.605-613
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• 2007

In order to overcome the difficulties of quantitative risk analysis such as complexity of model, we propose a systematic methodology for risk quantification of railway system which consists of 6 steps: The identification of risk factors, the determination of major scenarios for each risk factor by using event tree, the development of supplementary fault trees for evaluating branch probabilities, the evaluation of event probabilities, the quantification of risk, and the analysis in consideration of accident situation. In this study, in order to address the feasibility of the propose methodology, this framework is applied to the prototype risk model of nation-wide railway level crossings. And the quantification result based on the data of 2005 in Korea will also be presented.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.15-25
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• 2014

Bus signal priority is a name for various techniques to speed up bus public transport services at intersections with traffic signals. In this study propose methodology to optimize signal times for Early green, Green extension out of the active bus signal priority using deterministic delay model in isolated intersection on median bus lane. Fluctuation is found in the vehicle delay and person delay in the event that using this methodology redistributed to green time and checking slack green time is correct value by sensitivity analysis. As a result of the study, car delay is increased a little and person delay is decreased. As a result of slack green time sensitivity, delay is not much in it if variation of slack green time under 30%. But this methodology effectiveness is under claimed capacity if variation of slack green time over 30%.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.95-107
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• 2002

A reliability analysis on sliding of monolithic vertical caisson of composite breakwaters is extensively carried out in order to make the basis for the applicability of reliability-based design method. The required width of caisson of composite breakwaters is determined by the deterministic design method including the effect of impulsive breaking waves as a function of water depth, also studied interactively with the results of reliability analyses. It is found that the safety factor applied in current design may be a little over-weighted magnitude for the sliding of caisson. The reliability index/failure probability is also seen to slowly decrease as the water depth increases for a given wave condition and a safety factor. In addition, optimal safety factor can roughly be evaluated by using the concept of target reliability index for several incident waves. The variations of optimal safety factor may be resulted from the different wave conditions. Finally, it may be concluded from the sensitivity studies that the reliability index may be more depended on the incident wave angles and the wave periodsrather than on the bottom slopes and the thickness of rubble mound.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.27 no.10C
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• pp.921-932
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• 2002

In this research, we seek to identify an effective operation management strategy of telecommunication systems. In order to develop operation management strategies, we implement a quantitative techno-economic analysis. We evaluate related issues and factors, and apply the developed method to PSTN switching systems. In the proposed techno-economic modeling, we apply a well-known factor analysis technique-analytic hierarchy process-to evaluate PSTN operation management strategies. Then, we implement a decision analysis methodology to evaluate the cost of proposed strategies. We evaluate the proposed methodology by using available real data of the PSTN system. The primary impact of this research will be realized in helping PSTN operator select the best operation management strategy of PSTN system.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2000.04a
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• pp.437-440
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• 2000

본 연구에서는 제품 개발과 관련된 시장 환경 요소들을 고려하여 신속한 제품 개발에 관한 의사 결정을 할 수 있는 AHP 모형을 제안하고, 정량화 된 데이터를 이용한 AHP 의사결정 프로세스를 구축하고자 하였다. AHP 모형의 경우 전문가 집단(연구원 집단, 엔지니어 집단, 판매자 집단)별로 의사결정의 차이점을 보여 줌으로서 각각의 시장 상황에 맞는 의사결정을 경영자가 효율적으로 판단할 수 있도록 제시하였으며, 신제품 디자인 선정의 간단한 프로세스를 제시하여 반복적인 생산자의 의사 결정을 합리적이고 신속하게 할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다. 프로세스에서는 하위 의사결정 단계에서 가능한 데이터의 정량화를 통해 쌍별 비교 행렬을 만듦으로써, AMP기법의 정확성을 높이고 모델의 민감도 분석이 가능하게 하였다.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.31 no.5
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• pp.321-333
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• 2022

In this study, the concentration and distribution characteristics of BTEX (benzene toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene) emitted from Daesan Petrochemical Industrial Complex were examined to determine their potential hazards to local residents. Residents living nearby the complex areas may be exposed to the chemicals through various media (air, water, and soil), especially by air. This study evaluated human health risks by inhalation using both deterministic and probabilistic risk assessment approaches. As a result of the deterministic risk assessment, the non-cancer risk was much lower than the regulation limit of hazard index (HI 1.0) for all the points. However, in case of cancer risk evaluation, it was found that the risk of excess cancer for benzene at point A located in the industrial complex was 2.28×10^-6, which slightly exceeded the standard regulatory limit of 1.0×10^-6. In addition, the probabilistic risk assessment revealed that the percentile exceeding the standard of 1.0×10^-6was found to be 45.3%. The sensitivity analysis showed that exposure time (ET) had the greatest impact on the results. Based on the risk assessment study, it implied that ethylbenzene, toluene, and xylene had little adverse effects on potential human exposure, but benzene often exceeded the cancer risk standard (1.0×10^-6). Further studies on extensive VOCs monitoring are needed to evaluate the potential risks of industrial complex areas.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.73-79
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• 2019

Selecting a proper journal to submit a research paper is a difficult task for researchers since there are many journals and various decision factors to consider during the decision process. For this reason, journal recommendation services are exist as a kind of intelligent research assistant which recommend potential journals. The existing services are executing a recommendation based on topic similarity and numerical filtering. However, it is impossible to calculate topic similarity when a researcher does not input paper data, and difficult to input clear numerical values for researchers. Therefore, the journal recommendation method which consider the importance of decision factors is proposed by constructing the preference matrix based on the paper publication history of a researcher. The proposed method was evaluated by using the actual publication history of researchers. The experiment results showed that the proposed method outperformed the compared methods.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.95-104
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• 2002

In this study, a reliability-based design (RBD) procedure for determining design values fur anchored sheet pile wall is proposed considering overturning about the anchor point as the major failure mode. In this design procedure, the depth of embedment of the sheet pile wall is logically chosen in accordance with degrees of uncertainties of design input parameters using approximate probabilistic computation methods. These methods have been successfully used in the geotechnical engineering requiring neither understandings of complex probabilistic theories nor efforts to prepare more data. It was investigated that the design results by the proposed method were compatible with those by commonly used deterministic design methods. Additionally, in an effort to investigate the effects of changes in the degree of uncertainties of major design variables on the design results of the sheet pile wall, a sensitivity analysis was peformed.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.141-152
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• 2007

Considering uncertainties of random input data, it is more reasonable to use probabilistic method than the conventional deterministic method for the design of structures or for the assessment of the responses of structures, which are designed as safe even under extreme loads. Therefore, to assess the quantitative effects of the constructed cable stayed bridge by the input random variables, a sensitivity analysis is studied. Using perturbation method, an analysis program is developed for the iterative probabilistic finite element analyses and sensitivity analyses of the cable stayed bridge, except the initial shape analysis. Monte-Carlo Simulations were used for the verification of the developed program. The results of sensitivity analysis shows the governing effects of external loads. Because the results also provide the sensitive effects of the stiffness of members and the magnitudes of prestressing force of cables, the developed