• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결과값 예측기

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A Heave Compensation System for Offshore Crane (해상 크레인의 상하동요 보상 시스템의 능동제어)

  • Seong, Hyung-seok;Choi, Hyeong-sik;Jeong, Seong-hoon;Lee, Sang-ki
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces a heave compensation system for offshore crane when it gets unexpected disturbances and external force. The dynamic model consists of crane assumed to be the rigid body, hydraulic driven winch, elastic rope and payload. To keep the payload from moving up and down, PD control algorithm is applied. By using the control, the oscillating amplitude of the payload is reduced. Also by using the estimated values involved with time-delay, the relative motion of payload in heave direction is dramatically shortened. This paper shows using the control algorithm with estimated value having time-delay 0.1 second is enough to heave compensation system.

Quantitative Structure-Toxicity Relationships (QSTRs) of Fungicidal Phenylthionocarbamate Derivatives (살균성, Phenylthionocarbamate 유도체들의 정량적인 구조와 독성과의 관계)

  • Sung, Nack-Do;Yang, Sook-Young;Park, Kwaun-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2001
  • The authors attempted to derive a comprehensive quantitative structure-toxicity relationships (QSTRs) between various physicochemical parameters of phenyl substituents in fungicidal phenylthionocarbamate derivatives and toxicity evaluated using TOPKAT calculation. On the basis of this approach we made preditions for toxicity values for not yet tested substances with respect to these systems. The results suggested that the optimal values, $(B_2)_{opt.}=1.54_{\AA}$(Ames mutagenicity), $(R)_{opt.}=0.16$ (car-cinogenicity of male rat), $(\pi)_{opt.)=0.16$ (carcinogenicity of male mouse), $({\varepsilon}LOMO)_{opt}=-0.52e.v.$ ($LD_{50}$ of rat oral), $(B_3){opt.}=1.54_{\AA}$(chronic LOAEU), $(logP)_{opt.}=4.25$ ($LC_{50}$ of Fathead minnow) and $({\sigma})_{opt}=-0.68$ ($EC_{50}$ of Daphnia magna) of phenyl substituents were strongly correlated with the acute and chronic toxicities.

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A Development of Realtime Urban Flood Forecasting Service (도시하천의 실시간 홍수예측서비스 개발)

  • Kim, Hyung-Woo;Lee, Jong-Kook;Ha, Sang-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.532-536
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    • 2007
  • 급속한 도시화 및 지구온난화로 인한 집중호우로 홍수피해가 해마다 증가하고 있다. 홍수피해를 최소화하기 위하여 4대강 중심의 홍수예경보시스템이 구축되는 등 다양한 제도적 장치가 마련되고 있으나 중소하천이 분포되어 있는 도시유역에서의 홍수예측기능은 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 중소 도시하천에 적용 가능한 실시간 도시홍수예측서비스 시스템(Realtime Urban Flood Forecasting Service, U-FFS)을 개발하였다. 경기도 성남에 위치한 탄천을 대상유역으로 선정하고 실시간 강우 및 수위관측소를 설치하여 수문데이타를 수집하였으며 이를 바탕으로 수위예측모형을 구축하였다. 모형구축에는 이미 국내외 학계에서 그 정확도가 입증된 바 있는 Data-driven 모델의 일종인 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)를 이용하였다. 개발된 수위예측모형은 지정된 시간에 자동으로 작동 가능한 실행파일로 프로그래밍되어 최종적으로 홍수예측 웹서비스와 연동된다. U-FFS는 집중호우 발생 시 최종 유출구의 30분, 1시간, 2시간 후의 수위 예측값을 웹 상을 통해 제공함으로써 언제 어디서나 홍수예측 정보를 누구나 손쉽게 획득할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 시범운영 결과, 30분 및 1시간 후의 수위 예측은 정확도가 매우 뛰어났으며 2시간 후의 수위 예측의 정확성은 다소 떨어지는 것으로 확인되었으나 전반적인 홍수예측 판단에는 무리가 없을 것으로 예상된다. 본 시스템의 홍수예측모형은 생성 및 수정이 간편하여 그 활용성이 매우 높을 것으로 기대된다. 특히 안전함을 지향하는 각종 U-City나 홍수피해가 빈번한 도시유역에 적용하면 기존 시스템과 차별화된 실시간 홍수예측 서비스가 가능해져 홍수피해를 최소화할 수 있을 것이다. 취수구 직경 D의 3.3배를 벗어나지 않는다는 결과를 도출할 수 있었다.링 목적으로 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서 개발한 영상수위계는 한강홍수통제소 관할의 전류, 청담대교 등 4개소 낙동강 홍수통제소 2개소, 지자체 등에 적용되었으며, 적용 결과 비교적 안정적이면서 정확하게 수위를 측정하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 기존 CCD 카메라 이외에 CCTV를 이용한 영상수위계를 개발하여 영상의 화질 개선뿐 아니라 하천화상 감시 기능을 강화하였다.소류의 섭취율은 높았다. 집단간의 상관도를 보면 교육별로 김치, 장아찌, 콩이 각각 p>0.5 수준에서 유의한 차가 없었고, 나머지는 유의한 차가 있었다. 연령별로는 멸치가 유의한 차가 없었고(p>0.5), 수입별로는 콩이 유의한 차가 없었다(p>0.5). 4. 영양지식(營養知識) 검토 가정생활(家庭生活)에 필요(必要)한 일반적(一般的)인 영양지식(營養知識)은 대체적으로 낮은 편이었다. 어린이 영양, 편식의 해로움, 비만증의 해로움, 임신부 그리고 수유부 영양에 대하여는 일반적으로 알고 있다고 하였으며, 그다음으로 이유기 영양, 어린이 발육에 필요한 식품, 식품과 영양소와의 관계, 우유의 성분, 노인영양에 대하여 잘 알고 있는 비율이 낮았으며, 인체의 영양소, 식단작성여부, 간식의 이론, 식품감별법에 대하여는 가장 낮은 비율을 나타냈다. 각 영양지식은 교육정도가 높을수록 영양지식이 높았고, 교육별 집단간의 유의한 차가 나타났다. (0.001

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Estimation of Climatological Standard Deviation Distribution (기후학적 평년 표준편차 분포도의 상세화)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Soo-ock;Kim, Dae-jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2017
  • The distribution of inter-annual variation in temperature would help evaluate the likelihood of a climatic risk and assess suitable zones of crops under climate change. In this study, we evaluated two methods to estimate the standard deviation of temperature in the areas where weather information is limited. We calculated the monthly standard deviation of temperature by collecting temperature at 0600 and 1500 local standard time from 10 automated weather stations (AWS). These weather stations were installed in the range of 8 to 1,073m above sea level within a mountainous catchment for 2011-2015. The observed values were compared with estimates, which were calculated using a geospatial correction scheme to derive the site-specific temperature. Those estimates explained 88 and 86% of the temperature variations at 0600 and 1500 LST, respectively. However, it often underestimated the temperatures. In the spring and fall, it tended to had different variance (e.g., increasing or decreasing pattern) from lower to higher elevation with the observed values. A regression analysis was also conducted to quantify the relationship between the standard deviation in temperature and the topography. The regression equation explained a relatively large variation of the monthly standard deviation when lapse-rate corrected temperature, basic topographical variables (e.g., slope, and aspect) and topographical variables related to temperature (e.g., thermal belt, cold air drainage, and brightness index) were used. The coefficient of determination for the regression analysis ranged between 0.46 and 0.98. It was expected that the regression model could account for 70% of the spatial variation of the standard deviation when the monthly standard deviation was predicted by using the minimum-maximum effective range of topographical variables for the area.

Design of the LSF Parameter Quantizer for the Wideband Speech Codec (광대역 음성 부호화기용 선 스펙트럼 주파수 계수 양자화기 설계)

  • 지상현;강상원;윤병식
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we designed an LSF coefficient quantizer of the wideband speech codec that can produce high quality speech service. For the efficient LSF coefficient quantizer, the interframe correlation was used. Also we separately quantized the LSF coefficients with high and low interframe correlation. Predictive pyramid vector quantizer (PVQ) was used for quantizing the LSF coefficients with high interframe correlation, and PVQ was used for quantizing the LSF coefficients with low interframe correlation. Experiments show that the proposed UF quantizer can quantize LSF information in 40 bits/frame, with an average spectral distortion (SD) of 1 dB and less than 3.87% frames having SD greater than 2 dB.

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Application of an Adaptive Incremental Classifier for Streaming Data (스트리밍 데이터에 대한 적응적 점층적 분류기의 적용)

  • Park, Cheong Hee
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2016
  • In streaming data analysis where underlying data distribution may be changed or the concept of interest can drift with the progress of time, the ability to adapt to concept drift can be very powerful especially in the process of incremental learning. In this paper, we develop a general framework for an adaptive incremental classifier on data stream with concept drift. A distribution, representing the performance pattern of a classifier, is constructed by utilizing the distance between the confidence score of a classifier and a class indicator vector. A hypothesis test is then performed for concept drift detection. Based on the estimated p-value, the weight of outdated data is set automatically in updating the classifier. We apply our proposed method for two types of linear discriminant classifiers. The experimental results on streaming data with concept drift demonstrate that the proposed adaptive incremental learning method improves the prediction accuracy of an incremental classifier highly.

Experiments on the Performance of a Thin-Plate Damper Attached to a Coupling Beam (연결보에 부착된 박판형 금속 감쇠기의 성능실험)

  • Lee, Young-Wook;Chae, Ji-Yong;Park, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2012
  • To examine the performance of a thin plate damper attached to coupling beam of bearing wall system, 5 specimens were designed with the variable parameters of the thickness and length of a thin steel plate, which was constructed and tested with a lateral load with up to a 5% drift ratio. The result was that the total amount of the energy dissipation of the specimen with the thin plate damper was greater than that of the standard RC specimen, and the plate buckling and plastic deformation could be seen in steel plate. The shorter the length of the damper, the higher was the lateral resistant force, but there was no apparent increase in the energy dissipation. By comparison of the experiments with the elastic buckling analysis, it was shown that the buckling force from the analysis could properly estimate the maximum value of the linear elastic range.

A New Method for Dilatometer Dissipation Analysis Using an Equivalent Radius and Optimization Technique (등가반경과 최적화기법을 이용한 딜라토메터 소산시험 해석법)

  • 김영상
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2001
  • 딜라토메터는 실험의 간편성, 경제성, 신속성 및 반복성 등을 바탕으로 현장에서의 지반공학적 물성추정에 보편화되고 있다. 또한 간단한 장비구성과 손쉬운 사용법에도 불구하고 다양한 지반공학적 물성들 -예로서, $K_{o}$ , OCR, $c_{u}$ , $\psi$, $c_{h}$, $k_{h}$, ${\gamma}$, M, $u_{o}$ -을 추정할 수 있으며 다양한 지반공학적 설계문제에 성공적으로 적용되어 왔다. 그러나 제안된 관계식들이 대부분 기존실험 결과들과의 비교를 통하여 얻어진 경험적 상관관계이며, 특히 압밀계수 추정에 관한 부분은 관입시 평면변형 상태의 지반변형으로 인한 관입모사의 복잡성으로 인하여 피에조콘 소산시험 해석을 위해 제안된 이론 해들에 경험적인 가정사항들을 추가하여 사용하는 반경험적 방법들과 순수한 경험적인 방법이 사용되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 elf라토메터 관입기의 실제 평면적을 등가의 원형반경으로 고려한 등가반경을 사용하고 최적화기법을 적용함으로써, 소산시험에서 실제 관측된 간극수압($p_2$)과 딜라토메터 소산시험을 모사하여 얻어진 예측 간극수압의 차이를 최소화하는 수평압밀계수 추정법을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법을 국내 양산지역에서 수행된 딜라토메터 소산실험에 적용하였으며 추정된 수평압밀계수 값을 기존의 딜라토메터 수평압밀계수 추정법들과 불교란 시료를 이용한 일차원 실내 압밀실험으로 얻어진 수평압밀계수 값들과 비교검증 하였다. 그 결과 제안된 방법으로 기존의 방법에 비해 실내 압밀실험 결과와 일치하는 수평압밀계수 추정결과를 얻었다. 또한, 제안된 방법으로 얻어진 수평압밀계수는 전 소산도 범위에서 고르게 관측값과 일치하는 소산곡선을 예측하여, 최적화기법을 이용한 딜라토메터 소산시험 해석으로 전 소산과정을 대표하는 압밀계수의 추정이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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Prediction and Field Measurement of Settlement due to Preloading at the Delta of Nakdong River (낙동강 삼각주에서 선행하중에 따른 침하예측 및 현장계측)

  • 정성교;백승훈;김규종;이대명
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 1999
  • Settlement and consolidation time were predicted through systematic soil investigation at the delta of Nakdong river where the preloading method was applied. Field measurements were executed with well-selected instruments. As the results of the comparison, the predicted settlement on the sand layer of about 20m thick underestimated the observed one by 20%. This underestimation was due to the effects of vibration during installation of PBD, creep, the overestimated deformation modulus, and so on. For the clay layer of about 20m in thickness under the sand layer, an ID analysis for underconsolidated soil initially overestimated the observed settlement by 240%. However, when the laboratory compression curve was reconstructed and a conventional ID analysis for NC clay was applied, the re-calculated settlement of the clay layer was relatively similar with the observed one. And the predicted consolidation time was about 45% less than the observed one, because of different influencing factors.

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A Study on Predicting North Korea's Electricity Generation Using Satellite Nighttime Light Data (위성 야간광 자료를 이용한 북한의 발전량 예측 연구)

  • Bong Chan Kim;Seulki Lee;Chang-Wook Lee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2024
  • Electrical energy is a key source of energy for modern civilization, and changes in electricity generation and consumption are closely related to industry and life in general. In this study, we identified the correlation between electricity generation and nighttime light values in South Korea and used it to predict monthly electricity generation trends in North Korea. The results of the study showed a low Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.34 between nighttime light and electricity generation in Seoul, but a high Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.79 between weighting for Seoul case nighttime light values and electricity generation using monthly average temperature. Using nighttime light values weighting for Seoul case by the average monthly temperature in Pyongyang to predict the monthly power generation trend in North Korea, we found that the month-on-month power generation increase in December 2022 was about 60% higher than the month-on-month power generation increase in December 2020 and 2021. The results of this study are expected to help predict monthly electricity generation trends in regions where monthly electricity generation data does not exist, making it difficult to identify timely industry trends.