• Title/Summary/Keyword: 건설과정

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Development of hybrid precipitation nowcasting model by using conditional GAN-based model and WRF (GAN 및 물리과정 기반 모델 결합을 통한 Hybrid 강우예측모델 개발)

  • Suyeon Choi;Yeonjoo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.100-100
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    • 2023
  • 단기 강우 예측에는 주로 물리과정 기반 수치예보모델(NWPs, Numerical Prediction Models) 과 레이더 기반 확률론적 방법이 사용되어 왔으며, 최근에는 머신러닝을 이용한 레이더 기반 강우예측 모델이 단기 강우 예측에 뛰어난 성능을 보이는 것을 확인하여 관련 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 하지만 머신러닝 기반 모델은 예측 선행시간 증가 시 성능이 크게 저하되며, 또한 대기의 물리적 과정을 고려하지 않는 Black-box 모델이라는 한계점이 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 한계를 극복하기 위해 머신러닝 기반 blending 기법을 통해 물리과정 기반 수치예보모델인 Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)와 최신 머신러닝 기법 (cGAN, conditional Generative Adversarial Network) 기반 모델을 결합한 Hybrid 강우예측모델을 개발하고자 하였다. cGAN 기반 모델 개발을 위해 1시간 단위 1km 공간해상도의 레이더 반사도, WRF 모델로부터 산출된 기상 자료(온도, 풍속 등), 유역관련 정보(DEM, 토지피복 등)를 입력 자료로 사용하여 모델을 학습하였으며, 모델을 통해 물리 정보 및 머신러닝 기반 강우 예측을 생성하였다. 이렇게 생성된cGAN 기반 모델 결과와 WRF 예측 결과를 결합하는 머신러닝 기반 blending 기법을 통해Hybrid 강우예측 결과를 최종적으로 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 Hybrid 강우예측 모델의 성능을 평가하기 위해 수도권 및 안동댐 유역에서 발생한 호우 사례를 기반으로 최대 선행시간 6시간까지 모델 예측 결과를 분석하였다. 이를 통해 물리과정 기반 모델과 머신러닝 기반 모델을 결합하는 Hybrid 기법을 적용하여 높은 정확도와 신뢰도를 가지는 고해상도 강수 예측 자료를 생성할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

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A Study on the Collaboration of the Function Analysis and Idea Creation Phase with Function Integration FAST(FI FAST) and Hierarchical Value Engineering Concept Modules(HVECM) (통합 기능계통도와 계층적 컨셉모듈을 활용한 기능분석단계와 창조단계의 연계성에 관한 고찰)

  • In, Chi-Sung;NamKung, In-Il;Hyun, Chang-Taek;Koo, Kyo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.355-360
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    • 2006
  • Function analysis and idea creation phase in Value Engineering(VE) Process is applied to manufacturing Industry for developing functions for elements of products, and in construction come to use various components like process, size of project, spaces as well as function itself due to multi-functional aspect. For this reason, VE applications to the construction industry are considered to be less frequent and efficient than to the manufacturing. To resolve this problem, a new technique of Function Integration Fast(HI FAST) and Hierarchical Value Engineering Concept Modules(HVECM) was made for practical integration and sequence of VE job Plan. Two types of function would be defined In this method, first and second function, during the job Plan process, and two function champions be selected for next creation phase process. For verification of consecutiveness of function analysis and idea creation phase for successful VE project implementation, this methodology was tested under design phase in office and IT Multi-functional building project. Make sure the successful application of this process with this method, need to develop the talent of VE experts and team members for process of function analysis and creation phase.

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Comparative Analysis of Default Risk of Construction Company during Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 건설기업의 부실화 비교분석 - IMF 외환위기 및 서브프라임 금융위기 전후를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jae-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2012
  • The past IMF foreign exchange crisis and subprime financial crisis had a big influence on variability of macroeconomics, even if the origin of its occurrence might be different. This not only had a significant infrequence on the overall industries, but also produced many insolvent companies by being closely linked with a management environment of an individual construction company leading the construction industry. Actually, the level of default risk of construction companies before and after fluctuation of macroeconomics gets to experience a rapid changing process, and a difference in reaction against shock exists according to each company. Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to confirm the fluctuation process of the default risk of construction companies under the fluctuation of macroeconomics such as the IMF financial crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis. As an analysis result, it is judged that the subprime financial crisis gave bigger shock to construction companies than the foreign exchange crisis, and it is expected that this would have a relation with the construction market before shock of macroeconomics. In addition, it was analyzed that when comparing insolvent companies with normal companies, the recovery speed of normal companies is faster. It is judged that this was affected by a difference of internal business capacity between insolvent companies and normal companies.

Convergence Analysis on Policy Decision Making Factor of Local Construction Planning Phase by Using Unstructured Data in point of the Technology and Culture (비정형 데이터 분석을 통한 기술과 문화의 융합적 관점의 지역 건설기획단계 정책의사결정 영향요인 분석)

  • Park, Eun Soo;Kim, Ji Eun
    • Korea Science and Art Forum
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    • v.23
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2016
  • Here are background, method, scope, main contents of this research. As the interests increased in recent about the construction in complex and diverse areas, construction is locally connected to human life like to coexistence of the technology and culture. The local development should not be fragmentary construction to improve local recycling ability. Local society should be inherited by modern cultural perspective through a variety of local culture and coexistence. Effective decision making analysis is necessary to build a livable area with a combination of high-tech industry. For this reason, this paper will study the political analysis for decision making at the planning stage of construction in point of fusion of technology and culture by using unstructured data analysis. Conclusion is as in the following. Local planning stage of construction describes diverse meanings of intangible and intangible factors as political factor. Technology factors have various qualitative and quantitative factors in construction field. Understanding decision making at the planning stage of construction means not only visible 'technology factor' such as structure, method, shape, and so on, but also invisible 'culture factor' such as spirit of age, religion, learning, and life-style reflected in formation process of space, and insight of brain power about art.

A Survey of the Satisfaction Level of Construction Information System From Users' Viewpoints (현장 사용자 중심의 건설 정보시스템 만족도 조사)

  • Yoon eong-Hwan;Kim Yea-Sang;Chin Sangyoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.604-607
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    • 2004
  • Most of large construction companies have developed construction information systems and their ultimate goals should be improvement of the management efficient of the construction projects. In order to make them successful, tile systems should be designed to meet system users' needs. Therefore purpose of this study Is to evaluate the current information management systems from the viewpoint of the system users, especially on-site engineers. Questionnaire surveys and interviews have been conducted for the highly ranked 10 construction companies on two major factors including the functions of the systems and satisfaction level of each function. From the surveys results, correlation between two factors has been statistically analyzed.

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A Review of the Improvement of Construction Management (CM) System and the CM Policy for the Public Construction Works (공공사업의 CM제도 개선 및 정책방향)

  • Jang Kie-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2002
  • The Construction Management(CM) System in Korea is systematized both in name and reality by being prescribed in Construction Industry Act('97) and Construction Management Act('01) through various discussions considering reformation of construction industry structure and enhancement of construction technology competitiveness. Specially in the public construction works, CM Pilot Project is promoted by central government for the activation of CM system introduced for efficiency of public construction project. The promotion of Pilot Project is not only the settlement and activation of CM system but also the process to embody and diversify the CM system. Now we should develop various CM application type such as Owner type, PM type and type for private capital project in doing so. And with this efforts, we could expect that CM system should play an important role to enhance the efficiency of public construction works and should affect private construction sector.

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Analysis of the Schedule Risk using PROMETHEE in Building Construction Management (건설관리에서의 PROMETHEE기반 공정 리스크 분석)

  • Lee, Jang-Young;Yoon, You-Sang;Jang, Myung-Houn;Suh, Sang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2010
  • The building construction projects include a variety of risk factors due to uncertainties. To succeed in the projects, it is important how risks are managed. Risk management is composed of identification, analysis and response. Especially, the risk analysis is important to objectively calculate significance of risk factors. This paper evaluates a method to find priorities of risks using the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). The method has some defects; (1) the consistency becomes weak as the number of pair-wise compared risks is large, and (2) the input and output procedures are complex when risks are added to or removed from a risk database. Thus the paper adopts the PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod Enrichment Evaluations) analysis process which is able to overcome the limitation of the AHP restricted to 9 risk factors. The PROMETHEE makes the procedure of risk analysis simple, when the risk factors pull out and put in the risk database. The purpose of this study is to provide process of risk analysis to use the PROMETHEE.

The Accuracy Analysis of Design Profile Generation using 3D Digital Terrain Model (3D DTM을 이용한 설계용 프로파일 생성 정확도 분석)

  • Um, Dae-Yong;Lee, Eun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2008
  • In construction work's design process, we must carry out a topographical survey for construction reserved land and to the basis of this, production of profile is indispensable factor for the purpose of every construction work such as road, rail way, canal and etc. From this research, the production of profile about construction reserved land, using topographical information of digital topographical map produced by NGIS project, construct precision 3D terrain model and from this, propose plans for utilizing by producing automatic profile. With the aim of this, extract every layers of main facilities and altitude from digital topographical map and while producing 3D terrain model by using this, we product automatic profile from precision 3D terrain model. And we was carried out to check whether the automatic produced profile's accuracy could be accepted at actual estimation by mutual analysis. It is considered that the result of the research could be suggested as a new techniques concept which can reduce the designing period and expenses and increase the efficiency of affair in the design process for the construction.

Analysis of Quantified Characteristics of the Performance Indicators for Construction Companies (건설기업 성과지표의 정량적인 특성 분석)

  • Yu, Il-Han;Jung, Young-Soo;Chin, Sang-Yoon;Kim, Kyung-Rai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.154-163
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the demand for performance evaluation and management at the industrial or corporate level has been increasing. From this perspective, this study has developed indicators to measure and compare construction company performances and we have analyzed various characteristics of those indicators. Throughout our thorough qualitative and quantitative analysis we first identified a set of indicators for performance measurement. These indicators have been shown to meet the requirements of validity, measurability, and comparability. Second, we calculated the performance index of construction companies by applying weightings of the performance categories. Then we performed correlation and regression analyses using the calculated performance index and identified the basic cause-and-effect relationships, as well as the statistical characteristics of the performance index. Drawing on the results of the analytical processes identified in this work, we discuss future research to be conducted.

Analysis of Climate Change Impact on River Runoff Change in the Mekong River basin (기후변화에 따른 메콩강유역의 유출변화 분석)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Jung, Sung Ho;Lee, Gi Ha;Lee, Seung Soo;Song, Bong Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.37-37
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    • 2018
  • 메콩강 유역은 중국, 미얀마, 라오스, 태국, 캄보디아 및 베트남의 6개국이 공유하는 국제하천으로 각국의 안보, 경제성장 및 발전 등에 밀접한 영향을 주며 유역의 개발과정에서 국가별 개발전략 및 경제발전의 차이, 환경문제에 대한 입장의 차이로 인한 다양한 문제가 발생하고 있다. 특히 상류인 중국의 댐 건설 이후 갈수기에 메콩 강 하류지역의 수위가 매년 하락하는 현상이 발생하면서 중국의 수자원 무기화에 대한 우려가 심화되고 있다. 이와 같은 수자원의 통제는 메콩 강 하류 국가의 홍수나 가뭄조절에 대한 대응을 어렵게 하며 최근 급격한 기후변화로 인한 재난위험의 증가는 이에 대한 우려를 심화시키고 있다. 이에 대한 대응으로 하류 국가들 또한 메콩 강 곳곳에 댐을 건설하려는 계획을 수립하고 있어 메콩 강 유역의 무분별한 댐 건설에 대한 문제들이 제기되고 있다. 이러한 문제의 해결방안 마련을 위해서는 기후변화 또는 유역개발이 사회 경제 및 환경에 미치는 영향에 대한 사전분석이 매우 중요하며 기본적으로 강우-유출해석 시스템의 구축을 통한 사회 경제적 영향에 대한 예측 및 검토는 정책결정 및 수자원관리측면에서 매우 중요한 요소이다. 본 연구에서는 메콩강 유역을 대상으로 준 분포형 모형인 SWAT 모형에 전 세계적으로 구축되어 제공되는 범용 공간정보자료 및 기후변화 시나리오를 이용하여 강우-유출해석 시스템을 구축하고 메콩강 유역의 2100년까지의 미래 유출변화를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 메콩강유역을 총 33개의 소유역으로 분할하고 HadGEM의 RCP45 및 RCP85 기후변화시나리오를 소유역별 과거자료를 이용한 임의보정의 과정을 거쳐 적용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 미래 메콩강 유역개발 및 수자원 관리 및 다양한 시나리오 적용을 위한 기초자료로 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 앞서 밝힌바와 같이 현재 메콩 강은 댐에 의한 수자원 통제의 영향이 커지고 있음에도 불구하고 방류데이터 등의 비공개로 이에 대한 영향은 고려하지 못하는 한계가 존재하기에 향후 이와 관련한 시나리오의 적용 등 추가적인 연구 또한 필요하다고 판단된다.

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