• Title/Summary/Keyword: 거점 위치 예측

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Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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Spatio-Temporal Patterns and Analysis Methods for Supporting the Efficient Investigation on Serial Crimes (효과적인 연쇄 범죄 수사 지원을 위한 시공간 패턴 및 분석 기법)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.477-484
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    • 2008
  • 연쇄 살인과 같은 강력 범죄의 심각성이 사회적 이슈가 되면서 이에 대한 효과적인 과학 수사의 필요성이 증가되고 있다. 특히, 연쇄 범죄 데이타에 대한 공간 분석을 통해 범죄자의 거점 위치를 예측하는 지리적 프로파일링과 미래에 발생될 범행 장소의 위치, 즉 기존 범행에 이어 일어날 다음 범행 위치 예측에 관한 연구가 활발하다. 그러나, 이와 관련된 기존 연구는 물리적인 거리에 대한 통계적 기법을 적용하거나 단순한 공간적 분석만을 적용하므로 낮은 예측 정확도를 보이는 문제점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 해결하고 보다 효과적인 연쇄 범죄 수사를 지원하는 방법으로써 연쇄 범죄 발생에 대한 공간적 시간적 분포 특성에 따른 시공간 패턴을 기반으로 다양한 시공간 분석을 적용하는 거점 위치 예측 기법과 다음 범행 위치 예측 기법을 제안한다. 제안 기법은 중심축을 따라 나타나는 선형 분포의 연쇄 범죄에서도 정확도 높은 예측이 가능하고, 다수의 서로 다른 군집들에 대해 각 군집내 범행에 대한 지역적 예측과 대상 영역의 모든 범행에 대한 전역적 예측이 가능하다. 또한 방향 패턴을 활용하여 다음 범행 위치 예측 정확도도 개선하였다.

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The Northeast Asian Rim:A geopolitical perspective (지정학적 관점에서 본 동북아권)

  • Yu, Woo-ik
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.312-320
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    • 1993
  • Along with the fade out of the Cold War the world is undergoing a fundamental restructuring. The process is generally refered to regionalization and globalization. In this context, the Paper presents a geopolitical perspective on the future of Northeast Asia. To meet the global trend, it is expected that the countries in the area organize an economically cooperative unity, the concept of which the author calls the northeast Asian Rim (NEAR). With its huge potentials to become the largest economic area in the world and with its rather complicated historical and social background, the Rim is tentatively supposed to have a loose and soft organization, to be flexible in dealing with the intra-and interregional relations. The idea underlying the view is that the former area of confrontation between the land power and the sea power is, under the new world environment, going to recover its proper locational attributes and develop into a merging area, a new core. As a physical framework of the Rim a spatial structurc is assumed to consist of two-subrims and two development axes with four development centers.

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The Simulation for the Organization of Fishing Vessel Control System in Fishing Ground (어장에 있어서의 어선관제시스템 구축을 위한 모의실험)

  • 배문기;신형일
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2000
  • This paper described on a basic study to organize fishing vessel control system in order to control efficiently fishing vessel in Korean offshore. It was digitalized ARPA image on the fishing processing of a fleet of purse seiner in conducting fishing operation at Cheju offshore in Korea as a digital camera and then simulated by used VTMS. Futhermore, it was investigated on the application of FVTMS which can control efficiently fishing vessels in fishing ground. The results obtained were as follows ; (1) It was taken 16 minutes and 35 minutes to casting and hauling net in fishing processing respectively. The length of rope pulled by scout boat was 200m, tactical diameter in casting net was 340.8m, turning speed was 6kts as well. (2) The processing of casting and hauling net was moved to SW, NE as results of simulation when the current direction and speed set into NE, 2kts and SW, 2kts respectively. Such as these results suggest that can predict to control the fishing vessel previously with information of fishing ground, fishery and ship's maneuvering, etc. (3) The control range of VTMS radar used in simulation was about 16 miles. Although converting from a radar of the control vessel to another one, it was continuously acquired for the vector and the target data. The optimum control position could be determined by measuring and analyzing to distance and direction between the control vessel and the fleet of fishing vessel. (4) The FVTMS(fishing vessel traffic management services) model was suggested that fishing vessels received fishing conditions and safety navigation information can operate safely and efficiently.

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Smart Electric Mobility Operating System Integrated with Off-Grid Solar Power Plants in Tanzania: Vision and Trial Run (탄자니아의 태양광 발전소와 통합된 전기 모빌리티 운영 시스템 : 비전과 시범운행)

  • Rhee, Hyop-Seung;Im, Hyuck-Soon;Manongi, Frank Andrew;Shin, Young-In;Song, Ho-Won;Jung, Woo-Kyun;Ahn, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of Appropriate Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2021
  • To respond to the threat of global warming, countries around the world are promoting the spread of renewable energy and reduction of carbon emissions. In accordance with the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goal to combat climate change and its impacts, global automakers are pushing for a full transition to electric vehicles within the next 10 years. Electric vehicles can be a useful means for reducing carbon emissions, but in order to reduce carbon generated in the stage of producing electricity for charging, a power generation system using eco-friendly renewable energy is required. In this study, we propose a smart electric mobility operating system integrated with off-grid solar power plants established in Tanzania, Africa. By applying smart monitoring and communication functions based on Arduino-based computing devices, information such as remaining battery capacity, battery status, location, speed, altitude, and road conditions of an electric vehicle or electric motorcycle is monitored. In addition, we present a scenario that communicates with the surrounding independent solar power plant infrastructure to predict the drivable distance and optimize the charging schedule and route to the destination. The feasibility of the proposed system was verified through test runs of electric motorcycles. In considering local environmental characteristics in Tanzania for the operation of the electric mobility system, factors such as eco-friendliness, economic feasibility, ease of operation, and compatibility should be weighed. The smart electric mobility operating system proposed in this study can be an important basis for implementing the SDGs' climate change response.