• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.546-554
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• 2018

The Bulk market, unlike the line market, is characterized by stiff competition where certain ship or freight owners have no influence on freight rates. However, freights are subject to macroeconomic variables and economic external shock which should be considered in determining management or chartering decisions. According to the results analyzed by use of ARIMA Inventiom model, the impact of the financial crisis was found to have a very strong bearing on the BDI index. First, according to the results of the VEC model, the libor rate affects the BDI index negatively (-) while exchange rate affects the BDI index by positively (+). Secondly, according to the results of the VEC model's J ohanson test, the order ship volume affects the BDI index by negatively (-) while China's economic growth rate affects the BDI index by positively (+). This shows that the shipping company has moved away from the simple carrier and responded appropriately to changes in macroeconomic variables (economic fluctuations, interest rates and exchange rates). It is believed that the shipping companies should be more aggressive in its "trading" management strategy in order to prevent any unfortunate situation such as the Hanjin Shipping incident.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.335-345
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• 2017

It is necessary for an instructor to understand the student's team building behavior for an effective guidance of team activities. In this study, we developed an agent-based computational model for simulating the student's self-controlled behavior. We validated the model by comparing the actual behavior. Through the simulation, we found that the time to stabilization of team formation and the ratio of the students having no team are decreasing as the population of the student increases. However, we also found that over a certain amount of population, the time and the ratio do not show much progress in the difference. The simulation also shows that the more heterogeneity between the students the higher chance of delaying the team formation and increasing the ratio. We expect to use the model as a tool for guiding and supporting students' team activities.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.13 no.9
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• pp.164-177
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• 2013

This study's aim was to attest social support and self-efficacy's mediation effects in the path which social participation affected to elderly's suicidal ideation. Analysis data were Seoul Welfare Panel Data 2th wave(2010). A total of 1,429 cases aged over 65 were used for this study. Analysis method was AMOS 18.0's Structural Equation Modeling, and sobel test was used for attesting mediation effects's significance degree. Analysis results had established that measurement model and structural model's fit was favorable, and all path coefficients had significance degree. Therefore, this model was suitable for this study. Also this results had proved that this study's model was full mediation model, and it means that if mediation variables controlled, and then direct effect was excluded. And analysis results confirmed social support and self-efficacy' mediation effect had significance, by using a sobel test. Based on analysis results, this study suggested the importance of relationship between secondary group and individual, and presented intervention plans.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.3-3
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• 2020

사회-수문시스템의 인과관계에 대한 보다 상세한 통찰하기 위해서는 현재의 사회-수문시스템의 기능을 이해하고 미래의 사회-수문시스템의 변화 궤적을 예상할 수 있는 모형이 필요하다. 사회-수문학적 관점에서는 수문순환 현상과 더불어 인간 활동과 관련된 인구, 토지이용, 경제성, 환경변화로 연계되는 사회-수문시스템 내 복잡한 관계해석 과정이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 하천유지유량 결정기준에 따른 사회-수문시스템의 변화과정을 이해하고 가능한 영향궤적을 평가하기 위해 사회수문학적 관점으로 해석하고자 한다. 현재 우리나라에서는 하천유량고시지점 114개 중 각 항목별 고시지점의 비율은 수질(33%), 평균갈수량(33%), 생태(29%), 경관(4%), 수질 및 염해(1%)로 나타났다(2019년 고시 현황). 따라서 사회-수문시스템 내에서 하천유지유량 결정기준 차이에 따라 환경적, 사회적, 경제적 측면으로의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 구조방정식모형을 모델링 한 후, 모형 내 잠재요인(기상, 수문, 환경, 사회·경제)의 상호연관성을 파악하였다. 기상학적 요소로는 기온, 강수량을 선정하였으며, 인간의 활동이 개입된 수문학적 요소는 유량, 하천수이용량으로 선정하였다. 환경적 요소는 BOD, COD, SS를 선정하였으며, 사회·경제적 요소는 인구, 지가변동률을 고려하였다. 이와 같은 사회-수문시스템 내 잠재요인별 요소를 바탕으로 사회-수문학적 영향평가를 위한 가설을 검증하기 위해 통계 프로그램 AMOS를 활용하여 구조방정식모형을 모델링하였다. 향후 사회-수문학 관점에서의 복잡한 영향관계를 정량적으로 평가하고, 다양한 이해관계자 간의 합의를 도출하는 데 있어서 효율적인 의사결정도구로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.214-222
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of individualistic, family, and social characteristics of immigrant women on marriage on community integration. It is focused on exploring how the immigrant women on marriages' residential district differentiate community integration. The study adopts a questionnaire method in research of immigrant women on marriage in all parts of Korea. Data are collected from 163(Metropolitan Government & City), 182(Provincial Government) immigrant women on marriage for empirical analysis respectively. Technique used in analyzing data is Binary Logit Model primarily. In conclusion, on the results of test, it turned out to be strong significant influence on provincial regions than the metropolitan city regions statistically excepting family, and social characteristics.

• Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.13-26
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• 2006

In this research, we develope a procedure for detecting a random non-stationarity to the individual's purchasing rate in a stationary NED model. On this purpose, we derive the likelihood ratio statistic for a testing null and alternative hypotheses defined as whether there is no significant structural change in a stationary NED model or any. Where the structural change comes from a random non-stationarity(marketing mix activities or seasonality, for example) to the individual's purchasing rate. We also apply the developed method to a panel data for a frequently purchased good. This research could be a solution to include the non-stationarity in a stationary NED model. We also expect that the developed model could give a signal for an early detection of significant changes in marketing environment, and a mean for a measurement of the effects of marketing mix activities.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.8
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• pp.293-302
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• 2008

Multiculuralism becomes the presentive term of Korea. And school is interested in multicutural education very much. The reason for this is connected to the fact of increasing intermarriages, immigrant laborers, and their children. So, the academic world is producing various research papers and public institution is proposing and practicing several policies. Particularly multicultural education is recognized as the very important intervening strategy on multicutral society and studied. The purpose of this paper is to suggest the ideas of teaching-learning experience selection for multicutural education in Korea. So the study contents of this paper are as follows ; First, it is to analyze the concepts of multicultural education and its' research trends. Second, it is to review the prior models of theorizing multicultural education and the models of curriculum development and teaching design. Finally, it is to inquiry the model of teaching-learning experience selection for multicutural education. Above all, we think that it is necessary to develop the model of multicutural teaching-learning experience selection classified by objects involved in multicutural education.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.9 no.8
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• pp.248-253
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• 2019

Early diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) can reduce the incidence of dementia. This study developed the MCI prediction model for the elderly in Korea. The subjects of this study were 3,240 elderly (1,502 men, 1,738 women) aged 65 and over who participated in the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Aging (KLoSA) in 2012. Outcome variables were defined as MCI prevalence. Explanatory variables were age, marital status, education level, income level, smoking, drinking, regular exercise more than once a week, average participation time of social activities, subjective health, hypertension, diabetes Respectively. The prediction model was developed using Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) neural network. As a result, age, sex, final education, subjective health, marital status, income level, smoking, drinking, regular exercise were significant predictors of MCI prediction model of rural elderly people in Korea using RBM neural network. Based on these results, it is required to develop a customized dementia prevention program considering the characteristics of high risk group of MCI.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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• v.37
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• pp.271-306
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• 1999

This study aimed to present a comprehensive case management model which might be helpful for social workers in community social welfare agencies who works with North Korean refugees for their psychosocial adjustment in South Korea. After being constructed, the model was put into practice upon North Korean refugees. This article described the whole process of model construction and its application. Detail steps taken in this research include: (a) The researcher had 20 unstructured individual interviews with 11 North Korean refugees in order to identify psychosocial problems that need social workers' intervention; (b) Based upon the problems identified through interviews and previous literature review, program components were identified and sorted out into two phases, one of which is therapeutic phase, the other is case management phase; (c) By interlocking the two phases, the researcher proposed a comprehensive case management model whereby North Korean refugees can get psychosocial services as well as linkage services in an interactive fashion; (d) The utility of the proposed model was examined by using a couple of North Korean refugees who initially showed complicated psycho-social-economic problems. The therapeutic phase employed a cognitive-behavioral approach. The case management phase consists of: assessment and diagnosis; service planning and resource identification; linking of clients to needed services; monitoring of service delivery; and evaluation. Although the program could not go through with because of the limited contacts with North Korean refugees for security reasons, the program was turned out to be very useful in helping North Korean refugees' settling-down in South Korea. Implications for the application of the proposed model was discussed along with limitations of this study.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.12 no.5
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• pp.313-326
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• 2021

This study was to introduce ecological momentary assessment and show how to apply it to real-world research. As preliminary study for sustainable development, the result explained growth model using senior's longitudinal data and suitability of multi-level model in EMA data with regression analysis. The total variance of dependent variable was determined through a base model with only intercept and approximately 47% of total variance was caused by individual differences and 53% by time point differences. Second model was used to verified that each individual has a different effect on the senior vitality and effect on time was not significant. This is because it is the result of a preliminary stage where treatment is not involved and there is no significant change in process of collecting EMA data without external intervention. Third model that add gender as an independent variable showed significant change in both time and gender. Finally compared the PRD for each model and found models that without gender variables fit the data more effectively. This suggests that studies dealing with longitudinal data such as EMA data should adopt multi-level model that can measure individual characteristics, taking into account respondents' time and context.