• Korean Security Journal
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• no.34
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• pp.313-336
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• 2013

The purpose of this study is to derive an optimal regression model for occurrences of major crimes on a security company's stock price through identifying precedence of the occurrences of major crimes on the security company's stock price, relationship between the occurrences of major crimes and the security company's stock price. Followings are the results of this study. First, the occurrences of murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime move along the security company's monthly stock price simultaneously, and the occurrence of violence crime precedes 6 months to the security company's monthly stock price depending on the results of cross-correlation analysis of precedence of occurrences of major crimes, such as murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime, violence crime on the security company's monthly stock price. Second, the explanation of the occurrences of robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime on the security company's monthly stock price is 61.7%($R^2$ = .617) excluding murder crime, violence crime depending on the results of multiple regression analysis(stepwise method) by putting the occurrences of major crimes, such as murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime, violence crime into the security company's monthly stock price.

• Journal of forensic and investigative science
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.5-20
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• 2007

During the period from 2001 to 2005, 29,892 burglaries took place in Korea with the approximate average annual number - 5,978 cases. This study was conducted to analyze the reported burglaries and the result was summarized as follows. There were 8,605 residential invasion burglaries (28.8%) as the most frequent characteristic pattern. The exit was used as the most frequent invasion route for 4,031 invasion burglaries (64.3%), and an unlocked exit door or window was used as the most frequent invasion method for 2,462 invasion burglaries (28.6%). The hours just after midnight (between 00:00 and 04:00) were the most frequent time for invasion burglary to occur. Also, 5,652 burglaries occurred on Wednesday which was twice higher than on Sunday (2,988 burglaries). It was shown that the number of persons injured during burglaries were 260 deaths and 10,610 injuries. The places of the highest occurrence were the street with 10,183 burglaries (34%) and then residential place with 7,527 burglaries (approximately 25%). One-man burglary was the highest complicity: 15,012 offenders (56.1%). The knife was used as the most frequent instrument for 6,498 burglaries (24,3%) what is rare, while no criminal tool or instrument was used for 15,631 burglaries (58.4). During the period from 2001 to 2006, 1,506 burglaries occurred in Daegu and the average annual number was 251 burglaries. Among those,515 residential invasion burglaries (34.2%) took place and the average annual number was approximately 86 cases. The hours just after midnight (between 00:00 and 04:00) were the most frequent time for invasion burglary to occur (194 cases, 37.7%), the place of the highest invasion occurrence was the residential place (259 cases, 50.3%), and the exit was used as the most frequent invasion route (87 cases, 37.7%). An unlocked exit door or window was the most frequent invasion method (65 cases, 25.1%). In addition, pretending to be a delivery man, visitor or following the victim methods were used for 26 burglaries (10%). It is apparent that personal preventive measures against crimes, as well as governmental and social measures, play an important role in preventing burglaries. In particular, based on the analyzed result that an unlocked window or exit door was most frequently used for reported burglaries, it seems that there is a lack of understanding of crime prevention while little effort has been made to prevent crimes. Although everyone knows that locking a door is one of the basic measures to prevent crimes, many people tend to pay little attention to lock a door properly so burglary takes place. This study, therefore, is intended to encourage people to pay more careful attention to crime prevention, in order to help reduce the probability of burglary. With the recent improvement in social understanding of scientific crime investigation, a wide variety of police professions, including crime analysts, crime victim police counselors and coroners, have been prepared to develop the scientific crime investigation and crime analysis. In addition, it is hoped that further this study will contribute to encourage studies on crime prevention to be carried out in the future.

• Korean Security Journal
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• no.30
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• pp.139-169
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• 2012

The purpose of this study is to contribute to establishing the scientific policing policies through deriving the time series models that can forecast the occurrence of major crimes such as murder, robbery, burglary, rape, violence and identifying the occurrence of major crimes using the models. In order to achieve this purpose, there were performed the statistical methods such as Generation of Time Series Model(C) for identifying the forecasting models of time series, Generation of Time Series Model(C) and Sequential Chart of Time Series(N) for identifying the accuracy of the forecasting models of time series on the monthly incidence of major crimes from 2002 to 2010 using IBM PASW(SPSS) 19.0. The following is the result of the study. First, murder, robbery, rape, theft and violence crime's forecasting models of time series are Simple Season, Winters Multiplicative, ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1), ARIMA(1,1,0 )(0,1,1) and Simple Season. Second, it is possible to forecast the short-term's occurrence of major crimes such as murder, robbery, burglary, rape, violence using the forecasting models of time series. Based on the result of this study, we have to suggest various forecasting models of time series continuously, and have to concern the long-term forecasting models of time series which is based on the quarterly, yearly incidence of major crimes.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.167-174
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• 2012

This study focused on the people harmed by violent offenders, especially by rubberies. Trends capture changes in victimization rates overtime, while patterns indicate connections between the attributes of victims and the frequency with which they are targeted. Data from the UCR and the NCVS indicate that many types of victimization are taking place less frequently since their peak years in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Cumulative risks indicate the odds of being victimized over the course of a lifetime. Differential risks underscore which categories of people are victimized more often than others.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.112-115
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• 2006

현대사회는 지능적으로 고도화되는 범죄에 대응하기 위하여 범죄 현상을 분석하려는 노력이 다각적으로 행해지고 있다. 컴퓨팅 기술과 GIS 기술을 이용한 범죄의 공간적 특성을 분석하려는 연구는 범죄 분야에서 최근 관심을 가지는 부분이다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 공간적인 특성이 나타나는 지역을 선정하여 범죄분포의 특성을 밝혀보고자 한다. 범죄는 발생 빈도가 높은 폭력, 절도, 강도, 성폭행의 범죄에 대해서 재구성하였으며 변수 도출을 위한 이론적 배경은 생활양식-일상이론과 환경범죄학을 기초로 하였다. 분석기법으로는 Hot spot 을 이용하여 범죄의 분포 형태를 분석하였으며 Buffer 분석을 하여 범죄 요인과 범죄 사이의 상관관계를 도출해 보았다.

• Korean Security Journal
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• no.16
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• pp.65-79
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• 2008

This study started with the need to have a basic understanding of the crimes related to security guard in Korea. For this purpose, it attempted to analyze the crimes related to security guard occurring in Korea for the years, the cause for those crimes to occur, and the basic cause for those crimes such as criminals' educational level, age, occupation and so forth investigate how those crimes occurred. And ultimately it was intended to provide referential materials for perfect security guard from the stage of its planning to the stage of implementation and termination by analyzing how the machinery of law treated those criminals. This study aimed to help security guards to perform their role by investigating the cause and disposition of crimes related to security guard occurring for the years in order to cope with the emergency situation frequently occurring in the job of security guard. To attain the goal of study, this study attempted to do the following tasks: First, to analyze existing crimes and investigate the crimes related to security guard in order to investigate how the criminal act occurred in relation to the crime related to security guard, numerous kinds of crimes. Second, to investigate in what case the criminal act occurred by analyzing the criminal environment, the yearly, monthly and weekly frequency of those crimes and the like in relation to this criminal act. Third, to grope the alternative to cope effectively with all sorts of dangerous situations on the spot of security guard by analyzing the crimes related to security guard and investigating the effective scheme for coping with it.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.163-172
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• 2012

Modern society, various great strength crimes are producing. After all crimes happen, it is most important that prevent crime beforehand than that cope. So, many research studied to prevent various crime. However, existing method of studies are to analyze and prevent by society and psychological factors. Therefore we wishes to achieve research to forecast crime by time using Markov chain method. We embody modelling for crime occurrence estimate by crime type time using crime occurrence number of item data that is collected about 5 great strength offender strength, murder, rape, moderation, violence. And examined propriety of crime occurrence estimate modelling by time that propose in treatise that compare crime occurrence type crime occurrence estimate price and actuality occurrence value. Our proposed crime occurrence estimate techniques studied to apply maximum value by critcal value about great strength crime such as strength, murder, rape etc. actually, and heighten crime occurrence estimate probability by using way to apply mean value about remainder crime in this paper. So, we wish to more study about wide crime case and as the crime occurrence estimate rate and actuality value by time are different in crime type hereafter applied examples investigating.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.15 no.1 s.39
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• pp.3-7
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• 2007

To deal with the modern intellectual criminal acts, various efforts have been tried. Especially, it is not difficult to watch the recent activities to analyze the criminal characteristics spatially using computing and GIS technology. In this study, the spatial features and patterns of crime are investigated. Based on the real criminal record in Seoul Korea, the crime is reconstituted with four major categories such as assault, larceny, robbery, and rape. Then the variables are derived based on the theory of criminology. The kernal density analysis is performed to investigate the criminal distribution, and the correlation between the main criminal causes and the criminal outbreak is examined by buffering analysis. In addition, the land price and land usages are correlated with social-economic factors of criminal patterns to produce the final crime map.

• Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.141-152
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• 2006

Along with unification world market, marine transportation has become important for international community. At the same tome, piracy, armed robbery and maritime terrorism which threaten marine transport have been issued in international society. International organization like a IMO has continued to regulate maritime crimes by international law and regulation. Bearing in mind the in importance of the issue, this article analyze maritime crimes covering piracy, armed robbery and maritime terrorism about definition and legal character and pointed out problems. Finally it suggest methods to enhance international regulation on them.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.179-194
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• 2009

The spatial distribution of crime incidences in urban neighborhoods is a reflection of their socio-economic environment and spatial inter-relations. Spatial interactions between offenders and victims lead to spatial autocorrelation of the crime incidences. The spatial autocorrelation among the incidences biases the interpretation of the ecological model in OLS framework. This research investigates residential crimes using residential burglaries and robberies occurred in the city of Columbus, Ohio, for 2000. In particular, the spatial distribution of incidence rates of residential crimes are accounted in OLS framework using eigenvectors, which reflect spatial dependence in crime patterns. Result presents that handling spatial autocorrelation enhanced model estimation, and both economic deprivation and crime opportunity are turned out significant in estimating residential crime rates.