• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가상패널자료

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Estimating Elasticities of Car Travel Demand Using Pseudo-Panel Data (가상패널자료를 이용한 승용차 통행수요 탄력성 추정 연구)

  • Han, Sang-Yong;Lee, Jai-Min;Kim, Tae-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.7-20
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to construct pseudo-panel data set and estimate price and income elasticities of car travel demand, using 1995-2007 household income and expenditure survey data, in order to provide quantitative information for analyzing related policy effects in the transport sector. We categorized household survey data into 14 cohorts based on the birth year of the household head. As the result, a total of 133 pseudo-panel data sets was created for estimating price and income elasticities of car travel demand. Especially, price and income elasticities of car travel demand were separately estimated both short-term and long-term. We analyzed the panel model considering fixed effect within cohorts, using explanatory variables such as previous year's fuel consumption, real household income after tax, education level of the household head, the number of children under five, and the share of household type averaged by cohorts. As results, the short-term and long-term price elasticities of car travel demand were calculated as 0.2974-0.4280 and 0.4087-0.6275, respectively. Similarly, the short-term and long-term income elasticities were calculated as 0.3364-0.6281 and 0.7098, respectively.

Research of KNPEC-2 Simulator Upgrade(I) (원자력 교육원 #2 시뮬레이션 성능개선에 관한 연구(I))

  • 유현주
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.249-252
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    • 2000
  • 원자력 교육원 #2(KNPEC-2) 시뮬레이터는 1980년도 중반에 웨스팅하우스에 의해 공급되어 계속 사용되어 오다가 현재 성능개선 연구가 진행 중이다. 이번 성능개선을 통해 기존의 컴퓨터 시스템(Gould MPX)와 소프트웨어의 전면 교체가 이루어지고 있으며 최적 계산 코드를 이용한 실시간 열수력 모델 (ARTS; Advanced Real-Time Thermal-Hydraulics Simulation) 개발 , 2-Group 3D 실시간 노심모델(REMARK ; REal Time Multigroup Advanced Reactor Kinetics)를 이용한 노심 주기개선 (Cycle Update) 가상현실 기술 등을 이용한 컴퓨터 교육지원 시스템(CATS: Computer Assister Training System)등 새로운 시도가 이루어지고 있으며 본 논문은 이러한 새로운 시도가 이루어지고 있으며 본 논문은 이러한 새로운 시도들 및 그 결과에 대해 기술하고 있다. 기준발전소(Reference Plant)인 영광 1호기 12주기의 노심모델로 주기개선(Cycle Update)을 위한 REMARK의 입력자료 생성을 위해 핵설계 전산체계인 APA(ALPHA-PHOENIX-ANC) 시스템의 출력으로부터 자동으로 REMARK 입력데이타를 생성하기 위한 GUI툴 개발하였다. 또 이를 이용하여 개발된 노심모델은 최적계산코드(RETRAn 3D) 의 열수력 해법을 이용하여 개발된 NSSS 열수력코드(ARTS) 와 결합(Integration) 되어 안정 및 과도 상태 시험에 사용되었으며 원자로 냉각재 펌프 정지등의 몇 가지 과도 시험 계산결과 기존 해석 결과와 잘 일치하였다 중앙제어실(MCR; Main Control Room)내의 운전원 행동만 훈련하도록 되어있는 기존시뮬레이터의 한계를 극복하기 위해 가상현실 (VR) 저작도구를 이용한 발전소 현장 내부를 표현하는 가상발전소 (Virtual Plant) 발전소 현장에 소재하여 기존 시뮬레이터의 모의한계 밖에 있던 패널을 표현한 가상판넬(Virtual Panel)등과 강의실에서 발전소 모의 훈련을 가능케 하기 위해 가상현실 기술을 이용한 컴퓨터 지원 교육훈력 시스템(CATS ; Computer Assister Training System)을 개발 중이며 일부 개발부분을 소개하였다.

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Development of Convergence Education Program Based on 3D Panorama Virtual Fieldwork Courses on Water Spider in Eundaeri (은대리 물거미 서식지의 3D 파노라마 가상야외학습장 융합교육 프로그램 개발)

  • Yoon, Ma-Byong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.607-619
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    • 2019
  • This study used Natural Monument water spiders and their habitats as educational contents, so those students could have a scientific literacy and the beautiful memories of Eundaeri's marshes through developing a virtual fieldwork courses (VFC) and observing the ecology of water spiders. In order to develop the program, the 2015 revised national curriculum and its textbooks were analyzed. In accordance with the STEAM model, we developed teaching-learning materials for 7 classes. Students produced 3D panorama virtual fieldwork courses (PVFC) about water spider by team-based cooperative learning, enabling them to emotionally experience the meaning and value of water spiders. A panel of six education experts verified the validity of the program and found it to be fairly valid at 4.24 (CVI = .88) on the 5-point Likert scale. In order to confirm the suitability of the program, students in the middle school science clubs participated in pilot testing camp. Their average classes satisfaction was 4.24 and students were very satisfied with the usefulness of the program, the fresh learning contents, and the suitability of the convergence education class. This study could contribute to convergence education related to ecology and virtual reality for adolescents.

A Study on the Overall Economic Risks of a Hypothetical Severe Accident in Nuclear Power Plant Using the Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 이용한 원전사고의 종합적인 경제적 리스크 평가)

  • Jang, Han-Ki;Kim, Joo-Yeon;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2008
  • Potential economic impact of a hypothetical severe accident at a nuclear power plant(Uljin units 3/4) was estimated by applying the Delphi method, which is based on the expert judgements and opinions, in the process of quantifying uncertain factors. For the purpose of this study, it is assumed that the radioactive plume directs the inland direction. Since the economic risk can be divided into direct costs and indirect effects and more uncertainties are involved in the latter, the direct costs were estimated first and the indirect effects were then estimated by applying a weighting factor to the direct cost. The Delphi method however subjects to risk of distortion or discrimination of variables because of the human behavior pattern. A mathematical approach based on the Bayesian inferences was employed for data processing to improve the Delphi results. For this task, a model for data processing was developed. One-dimensional Monte Carlo Analysis was applied to get a distribution of values of the weighting factor. The mean and median values of the weighting factor for the indirect effects appeared to be 2.59 and 2.08, respectively. These values are higher than the value suggested by OECD/NEA, 1.25. Some factors such as small territory and public attitude sensitive to radiation could affect the judgement of panel. Then the parameters of the model for estimating the direct costs were classified as U- and V-types, and two-dimensional Monte Carlo analysis was applied to quantify the overall economic risk. The resulting median of the overall economic risk was about 3.9% of the gross domestic products(GDP) of Korea in 2006. When the cost of electricity loss, the highest direct cost, was not taken into account, the overall economic risk was reduced to 2.2% of GDP. This assessment can be used as a reference for justifying the radiological emergency planning and preparedness.