• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가변 설계

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Estimation of River Flow Data Using Machine Learning (머신러닝 기법을 이용한 유량 자료 생산 방법)

  • Kang, Noel;Lee, Ji Hun;Lee, Jung Hoon;Lee, Chungdae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.261-261
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    • 2020
  • 물관리의 기본이 되는 연속적인 유량 자료 확보를 위해서는 정확도 높은 수위-유량 관계 곡선식 개발이 필수적이다. 수위-유량 관계곡선식은 모든 수문시설 설계의 기초가 되며 홍수, 가뭄 등 물재해 대응을 위해서도 중요한 의미를 가지고 있다. 그러나 일반적으로 유량 측정은 많은 비용과 시간이 들고, 식생성장, 단면변화 등의 통제특성(control)이 변함에 따라 구간분리, 기간분리와 같은 비선형적인 양상이 나타나 자료 해석에 어려움이 존재한다. 특히, 국내 하천의 경우 자연적 및 인위적인 환경 변화가 다양하여 지점 및 기간에 따라 세밀한 분석이 요구된다. 머신러닝(Machine Learning)이란 데이터를 통해 컴퓨터가 스스로 학습하여 모델을 구축하고 성능을 향상시키는 일련의 과정을 뜻한다. 기존의 수위-유량 관계곡선식은 개발자의 판단에 의해 데이터의 종류와 기간 등을 설정하여 회귀식의 파라미터를 산출한다면, 머신러닝은 유효한 전체 데이터를 이용해 스스로 학습하여 자료 간 상관성을 찾아내 모델을 구축하고 성능을 지속적으로 향상 시킬 수 있다. 머신러닝은 충분한 수문자료가 확보되었다는 전제 하에 복잡하고 가변적인 수자원 환경을 반영하여 유량 추정의 정확도를 지속적으로 향상시킬 수 있다는 이점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구는 머신러닝의 대표적인 알고리즘들을 활용하여 유량을 추정하는 모델을 구축하고 성능을 비교·분석하였다. 대상지역은 안정적인 수량을 확보하고 있는 한강수계의 거운교 지점이며, 사용자료는 2010~2018년의 시간, 수위, 유량, 수면폭 등 이다. 프로그램은 파이썬을 기반으로 한 머신러닝 라이브러리인 사이킷런(sklearn)을 사용하였고 알고리즘은 랜덤포레스트 회귀, 의사결정트리, KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor), rgboost을 적용하였다. 학습(train) 데이터는 입력자료 종류별로 조합하여 6개의 세트로 구분하여 모델을 구축하였고, 이를 적용해 검증(test) 데이터를 RMSE(Roog Mean Square Error)로 평가하였다. 그 결과 모델 및 입력 자료의 조합에 따라 3.67~171.46로 다소 넓은 범위의 값이 도출되었다. 그 중 가장 우수한 유형은 수위, 연도, 수면폭 3개의 입력자료를 조합하여 랜덤포레스트 회귀 모델에 적용한 경우이다. 비교를 위해 동일한 검증 데이터를 한국수문조사연보(2018년) 내거운교 지점의 수위별 수위-유량 곡선식을 이용해 유량을 추정한 결과 RMSE가 3.76이 산출되어, 머신러닝이 세분화된 수위-유량 곡선식과 비슷한 수준까지 성능을 내는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구는 양질의 유량자료 생산을 위해 기 구축된 수문자료를 기반으로 머신러닝 기법의 적용 가능성을 검토한 기초 연구로써, 국내 효율적인 수문자료 측정 및 수위-유량 곡선 산출에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 향후 수자원 환경 및 통제특성에 영향을 미치는 다양한 영향변수를 파악하기 위해 기상자료, 취수량 등의 입력 자료를 적용할 필요가 있으며, 머신러닝 내 비지도학습인 딥러닝과 같은 보다 정교한 모델에 대한 추가적인 연구도 수행되어야 할 것이다.

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An Alternative Perspective to Resolve Modelling Uncertainty in Reliability Analysis for D/t Limitation Models of CFST (CFST의 D/t 제한모델들에 대한 신뢰성해석에서 모델링불확실성을 해결하는 선택적 방법)

  • Han, Taek Hee;Kim, Jung Joong
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.409-415
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    • 2015
  • For the design of Concrete-Filled Steel Tube(CFST) columns, the outside diameter D to the steel tube thickness t ratio(D/t ratio) is limited to prevent the local buckling of steel tubes. Each design code proposes the respective model to compute the maximum D/t ratio using the yield strength of steel $f_y$ or $f_y$ and the elastic modulus of steel E. Considering the uncertainty in $f_y$ and E, the reliability index ${beta}$ for the local buckling of a CFST section can be calculated by formulating the limit state function including the maximum D/t models. The resulted ${beta}$ depends on the maximum D/t model used for the reliability analysis. This variability in reliability analysis is due to ambiguity in choosing computational models and it is called as "modelling uncertainty." This uncertainty can be considered as "non-specificity" of an epistemic uncertainty and modelled by constructing possibility distribution functions. In this study, three different computation models for the maximum D/t ratio are used to conduct reliability analyses for the local buckling of a CFST section and the reliability index ${beta}$ will be computed respectively. The "non-specific ${beta}s$" will be modelled by possibility distribution function and a metric, degree of confirmation, is measured from the possibility distribution function. It is shown that the degree of confirmation increases when ${beta}$ decreases. Conclusively, a new set of reliability indices associated with a degree of confirmation is determined and it is allowed to decide reliability index for the local buckling of a CFST section with an acceptable confirmation level.

A development of DS/CDMA MODEM architecture and its implementation (DS/CDMA 모뎀 구조와 ASIC Chip Set 개발)

  • 김제우;박종현;김석중;심복태;이홍직
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1210-1230
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we suggest an architecture of DS/CDMA tranceiver composed of one pilot channel used as reference and multiple traffic channels. The pilot channel-an unmodulated PN code-is used as the reference signal for synchronization of PN code and data demondulation. The coherent demodulation architecture is also exploited for the reverse link as well as for the forward link. Here are the characteristics of the suggested DS/CDMA system. First, we suggest an interlaced quadrature spreading(IQS) method. In this method, the PN coe for I-phase 1st channel is used for Q-phase 2nd channels and the PN code for Q-phase 1st channel is used for I-phase 2nd channel, and so on-which is quite different from the eisting spreading schemes of DS/CDMA systems, such as IS-95 digital CDMA cellular or W-CDMA for PCS. By doing IQS spreading, we can drastically reduce the zero crossing rate of the RF signals. Second, we introduce an adaptive threshold setting for the synchronization of PN code, an initial acquistion method that uses a single PN code generator and reduces the acquistion time by a half compared the existing ones, and exploit the state machines to reduce the reacquistion time Third, various kinds of functions, such as automatic frequency control(AFC), automatic level control(ALC), bit-error-rate(BER) estimator, and spectral shaping for reducing the adjacent channel interference, are introduced to improve the system performance. Fourth, we designed and implemented the DS/CDMA MODEM to be used for variable transmission rate applications-from 16Kbps to 1.024Mbps. We developed and confirmed the DS/CDMA MODEM architecture through mathematical analysis and various kind of simulations. The ASIC design was done using VHDL coding and synthesis. To cope with several different kinds of applications, we developed transmitter and receiver ASICs separately. While a single transmitter or receiver ASC contains three channels (one for the pilot and the others for the traffic channels), by combining several transmitter ASICs, we can expand the number of channels up to 64. The ASICs are now under use for implementing a line-of-sight (LOS) radio equipment.

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Development and Application of the High Speed Weigh-in-motion for Overweight Enforcement (고속축하중측정시스템 개발과 과적단속시스템 적용방안 연구)

  • Kwon, Soon-Min;Suh, Young-Chan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2009
  • Korea has achieved significant economic growth with building the Gyeongbu Expressway. As the number of new road construction projects has decreased, it becomes more important to maintain optimal status of the current road networks. One of the best ways to accomplish it is weight enforcement as active control measure of traffic load. This study is to develop High-speed Weigh-in-motion System in order to enhance efficiency of weight enforcement, and to analyze patterns of overloaded trucks on highways through the system. Furthermore, it is to review possibilities of developing overweight control system with application of the HS-WIM system. The HS-WIM system developed by this study consists of two sets of an axle load sensor, a loop sensor and a wandering sensor on each lane. A wandering sensor detects whether a travelling vehicle is off the lane or not with the function of checking the location of tire imprint. The sensor of the WIM system has better function of classifying types of vehicles than other existing systems by detecting wheel distance and tire type such as single or dual tire. As a result, its measurement errors regarding 12 types of vehicle classification are very low, which is an advantage of the sensor. The verification tests of the system under all conditions showed that the mean measurement errors of axle weight and gross axle weight were within 15 percent and 7 percent respectively. According to the WIM rate standard of the COST-323, the WIM system of this study is ranked at B(10). It means the system is appropriate for the purpose of design, maintenance and valuation of road infrastructure. The WIM system in testing a 5-axle cargo truck, the most frequently overloaded vehicle among 12 types of vehicles, is ranked at A(5) which means the system is available to control overloaded vehicles. In this case, the measurement errors of axle load and gross axle load were within 8 percent and 5 percent respectively. Weight analysis of all types of vehicles on highways showed that the most frequently overloaded vehicles were type 5, 6, 7 and 12 among 12 vehicle types. As a result, it is necessary to use more effective overweight enforcement system for vehicles which are seriously overloaded due to their lift axles. Traffic volume data depending upon vehicle types is basic information for road design and construction, maintenance, analysis of traffic flow, road policies as well as research.

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Design and Implementation of Transmission Scheduler for Terrestrial UHD Contents (지상파 UHD 콘텐츠 전송 스케줄러 설계 및 구현)

  • Paik, Jong-Ho;Seo, Minjae;Yu, Kyung-A
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.118-131
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    • 2019
  • In order to provide 8K UHD contents of terrestrial broadcasting with a large capacity, the terrestrial broadcasting system has various problems such as limited bandwidth and so on. To solve these problems, UHD contents transmission technology has been actively studied, and an 8K UHD broadcasting system using terrestrial broadcasting network and communication network has been proposed. The proposed technique is to solve the limited bandwidth problem of terrestrial broadcasting network by segmenting 8K UHD contents and transmitting them to heterogeneous networks through hierarchical separation. Through the terrestrial broadcasting network, the base layer corresponding to FHD and the additional enhancement layer data for 4K UHD are transmitted, and the additional enhancement layer data corresponding to 8K UHD is transmitted through the communication network. When 8K UHD contents are provided in such a way, user can receive up to 4K UHD broadcasting by terrestrial channels, and also can receive up to 8K UHD additional communication networks. However, in order to transmit the 4K UHD contents within the allocated bit rate of the domestic terrestrial UHD broadcasting, the compression rate is increased, so a certain level of image deterioration occurs inevitably. Due to the nature of UHD contents, video quality should be considered as a top priority over other factors, so that video quality should be guaranteed even within a limited bit rate. This requires packet scheduling of content generators in the broadcasting system. Since the multiplexer sends out the packets received from the content generator in order, it is very important to make the transmission time and the transmission rate of the process from the content generator to the multiplexer constant and accurate. Therefore, we propose a variable transmission scheduler between the content generator and the multiplexer to guarantee the image quality of a certain level of UHD contents in this paper.