• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격기대효과

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합병기업(合倂企業)의 수익률행태(收益率行態)와 장기적(長期的) 효과(效果)

  • Oh, Hyeon-Tak
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.171-189
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    • 1994
  • 합병은 정의 초과수익을 실현할 것이라는 가설과는 다르게 많은 연구들이 부의 초과수익을 실현하고 있는 것으로 보고하고 있다. 이러한 이유로 합병성과가 자본자산가격결정모형에 의해서 측정하는 것과 합병대상기업의 시장성과를 측정하는 과정에서 측정상의 오차를 배제할 방법이 강구되지 못하였다는 것을 들 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 두번째 이유를 해결하기 위한 대체적인 방법으로 합병기업의 합병전 후 수익률의 행태를 분석하고, 수익률행태에 차이가 있다면 그 원인이 투자자의 과민반응 때문인가 아니면 체계적 위험 때문인가를 밝혔다. 검증결과 우리나라 상장기업간 합병으로 인한 수익률의 행태변화는 없었으므로 투자자가 평가하는 합병의 중 장기적 효과는 없다고 할 수 있다. 이는 구미의 자율적인 합병과는 달리 우리의 경우는 비경쟁적이고 정부 주도적 산업정책적 합병이 주류를 이루고 있기 때문에 나타나는 현상이라 사료되며 따라서, 계열기업의 합병으로 인한 추가적인 시너지 효과도 기대할 수 없다. 다만, 검증대상 기업중 유일하게 한 회사만 투자자의 과잉반응은 나타나지 않았지만, 체계적위험의 변화가 있었다.

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Analysis of the Effect of Korea's Environmentally Harmful Subsidy Reform in the Electric Power Sector : Mainly on its Industrial Cross-subsidies Reform (우리나라 전력부문의 환경유해보조금 개편 효과분석 : 산업용 교차보조금 개편을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Man-Ok;Hwang, Uk
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.57-81
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    • 2010
  • Since the Republic of Korea is highly dependent on fossil fuels despite high oil prices, it urgently needs to renew its economic and social system to cut carbon emissions and achieve green growth. Therefore, reforming or eliminating subsidies related to the use of fossil fuels is a timely and oppropriate policy recommendation for Korea. It would be a win-win deal for Korean society as it would not only reduce the use of environmentally harmful fossil fuels but also enhance economic efficiency. In particular, cross-subsidies for industrial, agricultural and night thermal-storage power services make up more than 80 percent of all subsidies provided to the entire electric power industry sector of Korea. Of these cross-subsidies, this paper analyzes the electricity subsidy for industries, which takes up the largest share (about KRW 1.6583 trillion yearly), among the environmentally harmful subsidies in the electric power sector. Thus, the paper focuses on the analysis of ripple effect anticipated when this is reformed. To examine the effects of this subsidy reform, price elasticities were estimated using the ARDL (autoregressive distributed lag) model and quarterly data from 1990 to 2007. The main results of this study show that 1) annual energy demand for electric power in the industrial sector would drop by 12,475,930MWh and 2) $CO_2$ emissions would plummet by 2,644,897 tons per year if the subsidy were reformed. We can deduct from this that the abolition of environmentally harmful subsidies in the electric power sector in the Republic of Korea would considerably contribute to $CO_2$ emissions abatement in the country.

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Economic Impacts of Carbon Reduction Policy: Analyzing Emission Permit Price Transmissions Using Macroeconometric Models (탄소감축 정책의 경제적 영향: 거시계량모형에 기반한 배출권가격 변동 효과 분석)

  • Jehoon Lee;Soojin Jo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2024
  • The emissions trading system stands as a pivotal climate policy in Korea, incentivizing abatement equivalent to 87% of total emissions (as of 2021). As the system likely has a far-reaching impact, it is crucial to understand how the real economic activity, energy sector, as well as environment would be influenced by its implementation. Employing a macroeconometric model, this paper is the first study analyzing the effects of the Korean emissions trading policy. It interconnects the Korean Standard Industrial Classification (Economy), Energy Balance (Energy), and National Inventory Report (Environment), enhancing its real-world explanatory power. We find that a 50% increase in emission permit price over four years results in a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions (-0.043%) and downward shifts in key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP (-0.058%), private consumption (-0.003%), and investment (-0.301%). The price increase in emission permit is deemed crucial for achieving greenhouse gas reduction targets. To mitigate transition risk associated with price shocks, revenue recycling using auction could ensure the sustainability of the economy. This study confirms the comparative advantage of expanded current transfers expenditure over corporate tax reduction, particularly from an economic growth perspective.

Design Applications Caused by Priming Effects of Visual Image Information - Based on Background Designs for Commercial Web Site (비쥬얼 이미지 정보의 점화효과에 따른 디자인 적용방안 - 상업용 웹사이트 배경화면 디자인을 중심으로 -)

  • 김은영;류시천;이진렬
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2003
  • Priming Effect, as a part of "Contextual Effect" is the phenomenon that pre-searched product information influences consecutive product evaluation. "Priming Effect" is different from other types of "Contextual Effects" in that pre-searched information doesn't have an direct effect on product evaluation, but an indirect effect which means that pre-searched information influences interpretation of consecutive product evaluation. On the previous theoretical background, this study investigated that how visual images can influence consumer preference and product choice, introducing concept of priming effects into the design of on-line shopping malls. This experiment adopted the digital cameras as the experimental stimulus target products and designed the individual web pages by priming the attributes of price and size. In result of analysis, the difference of product preference by priming attributes was proved to be statistically significant. In this reason, suggesting the background of commercial web page can be the significant factor in choosing products, the priming effects introduced into the design can be positively employed in online advertising.mployed in online advertising.

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A Study on the Application of the Price Prediction of Construction Materials through the Improvement of Data Refactor Techniques (Data Refactor 기법의 개선을 통한 건설원자재 가격 예측 적용성 연구)

  • Lee, Woo-Yang;Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2023
  • The construction industry suffers losses due to failures in demand forecasting due to price fluctuations in construction raw materials, increased user costs due to project cost changes, and lack of forecasting system. Accordingly, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of construction raw material price forecasting. This study aims to predict the price of construction raw materials and verify applicability through the improvement of the Data Refactor technique. In order to improve the accuracy of price prediction of construction raw materials, the existing data refactor classification of low and high frequency and ARIMAX utilization method was improved to frequency-oriented and ARIMA method utilization, so that short-term (3 months in the future) six items such as construction raw materials lumber and cement were improved. ), mid-term (6 months in the future), and long-term (12 months in the future) price forecasts. As a result of the analysis, the predicted value based on the improved Data Refactor technique reduced the error and expanded the variability. Therefore, it is expected that the budget can be managed effectively by predicting the price of construction raw materials more accurately through the Data Refactor technique proposed in this study.

The plan of stabilizing Gyeongnam Chung-yang Green Pepper Farm Income (경남 청양 풋고추농가 소득 안정화 방안)

  • Hwang, Min-Ji;Jeong, Ho-Jung;Cho, Jae-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the instability factor of real income and net profits of Chung-yang Green Pepper Farm through an analysis of the operating costs. Furthermore, this paper suggests a plan for stabilizing the price by shipment adjustments resulting from an analysis of the price elasticity by A Linear Approximated Inverse Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/IAIDS). The income instability factor of the farm based on an analysis of the operating costs was attributed to the unexpected loading of utility expenses and collapse of the price due to oversupply at a specific point in time. On the other hand, this is insufficient to completely explain the income instability factor of Chung-yang Green Pepper Farm because a price collapse does not include the monthly price changes. An analysis of the price and scale flexibility of Chung-yang Green Pepper Farm by monthly data showed that annual farm net yield increases by 1.21% due to a 2.21% increase in price if the shipment quantity is reduced to 1% a year. In summary, a plan that supports the farm price received through declining shipments in winter is effective in stabilizing the income of farms. Because Chung-yang Green Pepper in Gyeongnam region has an especially high market share of 82.5%, the prices and income of Gyeongnam Chung-yang Green Pepper farms can be stabilized effectively if they form an association of producers around the Gyeongnam region and adjust the shipment.

Causes of Air pollution and Effects of Mitigation Policy in Korea (우리나라 대기오염배출 원인과 저감 정책 효과 분석)

  • Bae, Jeonghwan;Kim, Yusun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.545-564
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    • 2016
  • Recently as fine and ultra fine particles become major environmental issues in Korea, it is very important to develop effective solutions to air pollution. Accordingly this study aims at detecting causes of air pollution by using models and examining if diesel price increases contribute to reduction of diesel consumption and air pollution. TSP, PM10, $NO_X$, $SO_X$, CO, and VOC are included as major air pollutants. As a result, we found invert U shape curve between pollution and income for all air pollutants except CO. Consumer price index, coal power capacity, diesel consumption, frequency of yellow dust, number of natural gas buses, number of transport business, annual average temperature, number of manufacturing businesses are also influential in explaining causes of air pollution. As diesel price increases by 1%, air pollutants decline between 0.07~0.12% in the short run. Simultaneously, the additional revenue from increases in diesel prices might be transferred to support expansion of biofuel market. Also, stronger policy should be developed to mitigate the current air pollution problem.

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Input Factor Prices on the Export Performance in Korean Manufacturing Industries (생산요소가격 변동과 제조산업의 수출성과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kang, Joo Hoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the paper is to suggest the empirical evidences for the effects of factor prices on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries during the period 1975:1-2016:4. The paper is to set up the error correction model derived from the autoregressive distributed lag scheme and to estimate the factor price elasticities of export in the 8 manufacturing industries. The real wage, interest and import price index elasticities of export all were estimated to be statistically significant at 1% level in the most industries with showing negative signs as expected. And the real wage elasticity proved to likely be smaller as the industries become more capital-intensive while the import price index elasticity tended to become larger in industries with larger ratio of imported intermediate goods to output. The empirical results suggest that the declines in input factor prices since the foreign exchange crisis in the end of 1997 have positive effects on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries.

An Analysis on Determinants that Affect the Sale Price of an Office Building in Seoul after Focusing on Strata Property Sales (서울 오피스 빌딩 매매가격 결정요인 분석 : 부분매매를 중심으로)

  • Yu, Myeong Han;Lee, Chang Moo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.7-20
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    • 2018
  • This paper has statistically analyzed the determining factors that affect office building sale prices by focusing on strata property sales through the hedonic price function. In this study, 1,171 office building transaction cases were analyzed in Seoul from 2000 to 2017. To determine the influence of various factors on office building sale prices, independent variables included factors that represented macroeconomic characteristics, locational characteristics, physical characteristics, and deal characteristics. The analysis of the strata property sales, which is a major concern in this study, showed that strata property sales enjoyed a discount of about 1.56 million won per pyeong out of the entire sales. In terms of the discount rate, strata property sales were at a 12.6% discount compared to entire property sales, so it was found that strata property sales significantly influenced office building selling price. This is due to the fact that the owner of the strata property encounters more difficulties in distributing cost than the sole proprietor in terms of property rights and the exercise of management rights. The results of this study are expected to contribute in securing transparency in transactions and risk management strategies in the future.

Shape Design of IPMSM for HEV Traction Motor to Reduce Usage of Permanent Magnet and to Ensure Maximum Output Power (영구자석 사용량 저감과 최대출력 확보를 위한 HEV 구동용 IPMSM의 형상설계)

  • Jung, Jae-Woo;Lee, Tae-Guen;Lee, Jung-Jong;Lee, Geun-Ho;Hong, Jung-Pyo;Kim, Ki-Nam
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.607_608
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    • 2009
  • 일반적으로 매입형 영구자석 동기전동기는 영구자석의 사용량이 많을수록 돌극비를 향상 시킬 수 있으므로 발생토크 중 릴럭턴스 토크의 비중을 키울 수 있다. 이는 토크 발생 시 입력전류를 저감시켜 동손이 감소하고 효율을 향상시키는 효과를 기대할 수 있다. 하지만 최근에 희토류계 영규자석의 가격 상승으로 인하여 영구자석 형 전동기 개발에 있어 제약이 따르는 상황이며 가격 경쟁력을 위하여 영구자석의 사용량을 저감시키는 노력을 기울이고 있다. 본 논문에서는 HEV 구동용 매입형 영구자석 동기전동기를 대상으로 영구자석 사용량 저감 설계에 대하여 다루고자 한다. 영구자석 사용량 저감은 영구자석의 두께를 변경시켜서 검토하였으며 실험을 통한 영구자석의 감자특성을 검토하여 최적의 두께를 결정하였다. 영구자석 두께 저감에 따라 감소한 최대출력 확보를 위하여 회전자의 형상설계를 기계적 구조해석과 병행하여 수행하였다. 최종으로 설계된 모델의 특성은 Prototype과 비교하여 성능만족 여부 및 영구자석 사용량 변화를 확인하였다.

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