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Status and Planning on the National Drought Information-Analysis System for Forecasting and Warning in Korea (전국 가뭄예·경보를 위한 가뭄정보분석시스템 구축현황 및 추진방향)

  • Kim, Hyeon Sik;Chun, Gun Il;Kang, Shinuk;Lee, Ho Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.82-82
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    • 2016
  • 가뭄은 장기간에 걸쳐 기상, 수문, 유역조건 등 복잡하고 다양한 요소에 의해 영향을 받아 진행되므로 사전에 인지하고 판단하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 또한, 일단 가뭄이 진행되면 사회 경제적으로 피해가 막대하게 발생할 수 있기 때문에 가뭄이 발생하기 전 효율적으로 모니터링하고 사전에 대응하는 것이 무엇보다도 중요하다. 이러한 가뭄의 피해를 최소화하기 위해 미국에서는 20년 전부터 가뭄감시 및 조기경보를 통한 선제적 가뭄대응 체계를 구축하여 운영 중이지만 우리나라는 그간 '사후피해 최소화' 위주의 정책으로 가뭄에 대응해 왔다. 지난해 우리나라를 포함한 전 세계는 역사상 유례없는 강수량 부족에 따른 가뭄으로 많은 어려움을 겪었다. 이에 따라, 정부는 보다 현실성 있는 가뭄분석과 대응을 목적으로 지난해 11월 국가정책조정회의를 통해 '선제적 가뭄대응'을 위한 가뭄정보분석센터(이하 센터)를 K-water에 신설하였다. 그간 우리나라는 기상청에서 가뭄을 판단하고 예측하기 위해 강수량 또는 토양수분량 등을 활용하는 '가뭄지수'를 통해 가뭄에 대한 정보를 일부 제공해 왔다. 하지만 국민들은 생 공용수 부족 시 가뭄을 체감하게 되므로 '가뭄지수'에 근거한 가뭄 판단으로는 국민이 체감하는 가뭄을 제대로 표현하지 못하는 한계가 있었다. 따라서 '가뭄지수'에 근거한 가뭄 판단으로는 초기 가뭄대응 시 국민적 공감을 얻지 못할 뿐만 아니라 효율적으로 가뭄에 대응하지 못하는 결과까지 초래될 수 있어 우리나라 실정에 맞는 가뭄판단기준과 전망기준마련이 무엇보다 시급하다고 할 수 있다. 센터는 이러한 기존 '가뭄지수'가 갖는 한계를 극복하기 위해 생 공용수의 수급 불균형을 고려하여 우리나라 실정에 맞는 수원별 가뭄판단기준과 전망기준을 마련하였으며, 이를 기반으로 1월에는 충청 및 수도권 지역에 대한 가뭄정보분석시스템을 구축하였고, 3월부터는 전국단위로 확대해 가뭄 예 경보를 시범운영 중에 있다. 또한 센터는 1년동안 시범운영 기간을 거친 후 내년부터는 본격적인 대국민 가뭄 모니터링 및 전망 정보서비스를 제공할 예정이다. 향후에는 위성정보를 활용한 가뭄영향 평가와 가뭄에 따른 물환경 영향 평가 등으로 영역을 확장하여 가뭄 통합정보를 제공하고, 사회적 경제적 영향이 고려된 가뭄평가뿐만 아니라 물리적 기반의 정량적 예측을 지속적으로 추진하여 기후변화에 대응하고 국민과 함께 가뭄문제를 효과적 해결할 수 있도록 노력해 나갈 예정이다.

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1D, 2D interpretation of stream flooding by HEC-RAS and TELEAMC-2D (HEC-RAS, TELEMAC-2D 모형을 이용한 1, 2차원 하천 범람 해석)

  • Sim, Gyu Hyeon;Song, Si Hoon;Lee, Byung Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.394-394
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    • 2015
  • 급격히 변화하고 있는 산업화와 도시화로 지구 온난화 현상으로 기상이변의 발생빈도가 높아졌고 기후가 불안정하여 예전보다 많은 집중호우가 발생하면서, 홍수로 인한 제내지 침수가 발생되기도 한다. 기후변화로 인한 수재해에 대응하기 위하여 하천 호소 수리 예측 모형의 개선이 필요한 실정이다. 하지만, 자연하천 유역의 강우-유출 상관관계와 지표면 유출현상 및 하도 수리 특성을 자연현상의 복잡성, 강우발생의 시간적 공간적인 발생과정의 임의성, 정확한 해석방법 및 확률 분석에 따르는 불확실성 들을 토대로 단순한 이론과 제한적인 경험공식 등에 의해서 해석, 재현 및 평가를 한다는 것은 매우 어려운 문제이다. 최근 IT 기술의 발전과 더불어, 많은 연구자, 엔지니어들이 기존 수리 수문학적 지식과 IT기술을 융합하여 복잡 다단한 수자원 환경 문제를 해결하고자 한다. 이와 같은 최근 연구 동향에 의거하여, 본 연구에서는 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC-2D 1, 2차원 수리 모형을 연계하여 하천 흐름 분석 및 홍수 범람 해석에 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC 모형을 적용하여 2012년 태풍 '산바(SANBA)'로 인해 홍수 피해를 입은 고령군에 위치한 낙동강 본류 회천 유역(상류 회천교 ~ 하류 도진교)의 하도 내 흐름 분석과 하천 인근 제내지 홍수범람을 예측하였다. 범람해석에 필요한 지형자료를 기초로 하여 각 지형의 조건에 맞게 수치자료를 이용하여 작성하였고, 수자원 정보를 이용하여 유랑, 수위 등 시계열자료를 지류 및 상 하류의 경계조건으로 설정하고, 조도계수 등 하천 기본정보들을 입력하였다. HEC-RAS 모형은 회천교부터 도진교까지 전구간에 대한 종단면과 횡단면별 홍수침수범위 및 홍수위 크기 등 거시적인 1차원 수리해석에 적용하였고, TELEMAC 모형은 HEC-RAS 시뮬레이션 결과를 바탕으로 HEC-RAS에서 나타내기 힘든 2차원 흐름특성, 침수현상 등 일부 범람 구간에 대해 수리해석에 적용하였다. HEC-RAS 시스템은 수공구조물들의 영향과 하천의 영향을 종 횡단면으로 다양한 홍수침수 범위를 1차원으로 나타 낼 수 있으며, TELEMAC 시스템 수리 모의를 통해 얻어진 결과는 유속, 유량, 수심, 하상고 높이 등 2차원으로 나타낼 수 있다. TELEMAC 시스템을 활용한 2차원 분석은 실측자료와 비교적 유사하고 시각, 공간적으로 이해하기 쉽게 표현되므로, 모형 적용성이 우수한 것으로 판단된다. 향후 유역 해석을 위한 수치데이터, 수위, 유량자료를 확보하여 HEC-RAS, TELEMAC 1, 2차원 연계 모형을 적용 한다면, 하천 준설, 하천 구조물 설치, 홍수피해 등 전반적인 하천관리 계획에 활용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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ROUTE/DASH-SRD based Point Cloud Content Region Division Transfer and Density Scalability Supporting Method (포인트 클라우드 콘텐츠의 밀도 스케일러빌리티를 지원하는 ROUTE/DASH-SRD 기반 영역 분할 전송 방법)

  • Kim, Doohwan;Park, Seonghwan;Kim, Kyuheon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.849-858
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    • 2019
  • Recent developments in computer graphics technology and image processing technology have increased interest in point cloud technology for inputting real space and object information as three-dimensional data. In particular, point cloud technology can accurately provide spatial information, and has attracted a great deal of interest in the field of autonomous vehicles and AR (Augmented Reality)/VR (Virtual Reality). However, in order to provide users with 3D point cloud contents that require more data than conventional 2D images, various technology developments are required. In order to solve these problems, an international standardization organization, MPEG(Moving Picture Experts Group), is in the process of discussing efficient compression and transmission schemes. In this paper, we provide a region division transfer method of 3D point cloud content through extension of existing MPEG-DASH (Dynamic Adaptive Streaming over HTTP)-SRD (Spatial Relationship Description) technology, quality parameters are further defined in the signaling message so that the quality parameters can be selectively determined according to the user's request. We also design a verification platform for ROUTE (Real Time Object Delivery Over Unidirectional Transport)/DASH based heterogeneous network environment and use the results to validate the proposed technology.

Exploring Learning Progression of Logical Thinking in Acid and Base Chemical Reactions (산과 염기 화학반응에서 논리 사고 학습발달단계 탐색)

  • Park, Chulyong;Kim, Sungki;Choi, Hee;Paik, Seoung-Hey
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.63 no.5
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    • pp.376-386
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to explore the learning progression of logical thinking in acid and base chemical reactions and to evaluate its validity. For this purpose, we collected 387 participants in 9 schools of elementary, middle and high schools nationwide. The questionnaire developed in this study was composed of nine items. The questionnaire presented the acid and base reactants and products, and the students pictured their thoughts on how these substances change, and answered the reasons of their thoughts. Situation contexts of the questionnaire were divided into two groups: one kind of solute dissolved in a solvent, and two kinds of solute dissolved in a solvent. In this study, six levels of learning progression were assumed by combining material conservation logic, combination logic, proportion logic, and particle number conservation logic. By analyzing the data, Infit and Outfit values of Person reliability, Item reliability, MNSQ and ZSTD were obtained from the Rasch model. As a result of the analysis of data, it was found that lower levels of learning progression prevailed up to the younger grade students till $8^{th}$ grade. The higher levels of learning progression(Level 2~Level 5) prevailed up to the older grade students. However, higher levels of learning progression dropped sharply in Grade 12. The 5 level of learning progression was very low in all grades, and $9^{th}$ grade had highest percentage of students belonging to the 5 level. Interpretation of these unusual results suggests a future research related to explanation differences of textbooks.

Study of Groundwater Recharge Rate Change by Using Groundwater Level and GRACE Data in Korea (지하수위와 GRACE 자료를 이용한 국내 지하수 함양량 변화 연구)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Jo, Young-Heon;Kim, Jinsoo;Park, Soyoung;Cheong, Jae-Yeol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.265-277
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    • 2019
  • Changes in the amount, intensity, frequency, and type of precipitation, in conjunction with global warming and climate change, critically impact groundwater recharge and associated groundwater level fluctuations. Monthly gravity levels by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) are acquired to monitor total water storage changes at regional and global scales. However, there are inherent difficulties in quantitatively relating the GRACE observations to groundwater level data due to the difficulties in spatially representing groundwater levels. Here three local interpolation methods (kriging, inverse distance weighted, and natural neighbor) were implemented to estimate the areal distribution of groundwater recharge changes in South Korea during the 2002-2016 period. The interpolated monthly groundwater recharge changes are compared with the GRACE-derived groundwater storage changes. There is a weak decrease in the groundwater recharge changes over time in both the GRACE observations and groundwater measurements, with the rate of groundwater recharge change exhibiting mean and median values of -0.01 and -0.02 cm/month, respectively.

A Comparison of the Trainees' Evacuation Characteristics according to the Indoor Smoke-fullfill during the Safety Training on Ship (선상안전교육 시 선내 연기충진 여부에 따른 실습생의 피난이동특성 비교)

  • Hwang, Kwang-Il;Cho, Ik-Soon;Yun, Gwi-Ho;Kim, Byeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.422-429
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    • 2018
  • To make students recognize the danger of fire smoke that may occur in ships and to improve the response capability, spaces for safety educ ation were built inside the training ship, and scenarios were developed. This study is an analysis of the movement characteristics of the students acquire d under each scenario. Followings are the summary of the analysis results. In the non-smoke environments, there was no difference in the velocity of escape movement between the case of without block on the familiar route and the case of with unexpected block. However, when the indoor was filled with smoke, the visibility became very low because of the smoke density and the average velocity was 62.5 % slower than the case where it was not. Regardless of the scenarios, the average equivalent velocity on the complex path was faster than the simple straight path, and the standard deviation was smaller. Under the smoke-fullfilled environment, although the relative velocity probability distributions of the complex passage and the entire passag e are very similar, the inter-individual fluctuation of the relative velocity ratio of the complex passage to that of the entire passage was very large. On the other hand, equivalent velocity could be expressed by the logarithmic function of the visibility. Also, as the tension of the students increased, the equivalent velocities were accelerated on all scenarios.

The Features of Daseuk Ryu, Yeungmo's Sijo (다석(多夕) 류영모(柳永模) 시조(時調)의 특질(特質))

  • Park Kyu-Hong
    • Sijohaknonchong
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    • v.24
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    • pp.199-221
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    • 2006
  • Daseuk Yeungmo Ryu, the author of the most Sijo poems in the history of Korean Literature, and his Sijo poems were once introduced by me. which is a small part of his world of Sijo, though. The goal of this study is, as its succeeding research, to reveal the features of Daseuk's Sijo poems and their significance in detail. There have been not a few poems which accepted religious contents in the history of Korean literature. Especially, Gesong In the Buddhist Zen is a typical example of the encounter between literature and religion. What is more. Buddhism was in alliance with Hyang-go in the Silla dynasty and with Gasa in the Chosun dynasty. Gasa was effectively used in accepting Buddhism as well as Taoism and Catholicism. Sijo has seemed to be farther from religion than Gasa has. However, Daseuk, a renowned religious thinker in the 21st century. expressed his religious ideas in Sijo, which has not been found in the history of Sijo before. Considering Hangeul as a special tool of expression, Daseuk delivered his condensed ideas in poetic dictions in a unique way. Each word in his Sijo poems implies his religious ideas, which are marked in a special transcription. It makes his Sijo difficult to understand. Yeungmo Ryu's Sijo poems should not be left unnoticed just because they are hard to understand but should have follow-up researches so that Daseuk's Sijo, which is the most in number and the most unique in its style, have to be embraced in Korean literature.

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A Study on How Reference Groups, Convenience and Pursuit of Information Affect Subscription-Based Webtoon Service Usage through Reliability and Curiosity (준거집단, 편의성, 정보추구가 신뢰성 및 궁금증을 통해 유료웹툰이용에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Hun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2017
  • This study was undertaken to understand how reference groups, convenience and pursuit of information affect subscription-based Webtoon service usage through reliability and curiosity, through which this study provides some suggestions for developing Webtoons and increasing profitability of service providers. Therefore, the reliability and feasibility analysis were conducted for 449 readers who used the paid webtoon more than once. In addition, the causality test was conducted to verify the research model. As a result of the research, this study shows the following implications: First, it is recommended that webtoon service providers produce webtoons with the webtoonists who have more expertise developing new webtoons. Second, webtoon service providers should focus on advertising during the episodes that are currently being subscribed to, or in the next episodes in order to stimulate the usage needs of readers rather than focusing on advertising the products related to the characters and their development and sales. Third, webtoon service providers are supposed to develop webtoons by using materials that can appear in everyday life. Fourth, webtoon service providers should continue their research in order to develop high quality products and express the unique characteristics of their advertisements by increasing investment in the development of products and advertising.

A Numerical Solution Method of the Boundary Integral Equation -Axisymmetric Flow- (경계적분방정식의 수치해법 -축대칭 유동-)

  • Chang-Gu,Kang
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 1990
  • A numerical solution method of the boundary integral equation for axisymmetric potential flows is presented. Those are represented by ring source and ring vorticity distribution. Strengths of ring source and ring vorticity are approximated by linear functions of a parameter $\zeta$ on a segment. The geometry of the body is represented by a cubic B-spline. Limiting integral expressions as the field point tends to the surface having ring source and ring vorticity distribution are derived upto the order of ${\zeta}ln{\zeta}$. In numerical calculations, the principal value integrals over the adjacent segments cancel each other exactly. Thus the singular part proportional to $\(\frac{1}{\zeta}\)$ can be subtracted off in the calculation of the induced velocity by singularities. And the terms proportional to $ln{\zeta}$ and ${\zeta}ln{\zeta}$ can be integrated analytically. Thus those are subtracted off in the numerical calculations and the numerical value obtained from the analytic integrations for $ln{\zeta}$ and ${\zeta}ln{\zeta}$ are added to the induced velocity. The four point Gaussian Quadrature formula was used to evaluate the higher order terms than ${\zeta}ln{\zeta}$ in the integration over the adjacent segments to the field points and the integral over the segments off the field points. The root mean square errors, $E_2$, are examined as a function of the number of nodes to determine convergence rates. The convergence rate of this method approaches 2.

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Mining Frequent Sequential Patterns over Sequence Data Streams with a Gap-Constraint (순차 데이터 스트림에서 발생 간격 제한 조건을 활용한 빈발 순차 패턴 탐색)

  • Chang, Joong-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2010
  • Sequential pattern mining is one of the essential data mining tasks, and it is widely used to analyze data generated in various application fields such as web-based applications, E-commerce, bioinformatics, and USN environments. Recently data generated in the application fields has been taking the form of continuous data streams rather than finite stored data sets. Considering the changes in the form of data, many researches have been actively performed to efficiently find sequential patterns over data streams. However, conventional researches focus on reducing processing time and memory usage in mining sequential patterns over a target data stream, so that a research on mining more interesting and useful sequential patterns that efficiently reflect the characteristics of the data stream has been attracting no attention. This paper proposes a mining method of sequential patterns over data streams with a gap constraint, which can help to find more interesting sequential patterns over the data streams. First, meanings of the gap for a sequential pattern and gap-constrained sequential patterns are defined, and subsequently a mining method for finding gap-constrained sequential patterns over a data stream is proposed.