• Title/Summary/Keyword: $\chi^2$goodness-of-fit test

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Evaluation of Parameter Estimation Method for Design Rainfall Estimation (설계강우량 산정을 위한 매개변수 추정방법 평가)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Jun, Sang-Min;Jang, Jeongyeol;Song, Inhong;Kang, Moon-Seong;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2021
  • Determining design rainfall is the first step to plan an agricultural drainage facility. The objective of this study is to evaluate whether the current method for parameter estimation is reasonable for computing the design rainfall. The current Gumbel-Kendall (G-K) method was compared with two other methods which are Gumbel-Chow (G-C) method and Probability weighted moment (PWM). Hourly rainfall data were acquired from the 60 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) stations across the nation. For the goodness-of-fit test, this study used chi-squared (𝛘2) and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. When using G-K method, 𝛘2 statistics of 18 stations exceeded the critical value (𝑥2a=0.05,df=4=9.4877) and 10, 3 stations for G-C method, PWM method respectively. For K-S test, none of the stations exceeded the critical value (Da=0.05n=0.19838). However, G-K method showed the worst performances in both tests compared to other methods. Subsequently, this study computed design rainfall of 48-hour duration in 60 ASOS stations. G-K method showed 5.6 and 6.4% higher average design rainfall and 15.2 and 24.6% higher variance compared to G-C and PWM methods. In short, G-K showed the worst performance in goodness-of-fit tests and showed higher design rainfall with the least robustness. Likewise, considering the basic assumptions of the design rainfall estimation, G-K is not an appropriate method for the practical use. This study can be referenced and helpful when revising the agricultural drainage standards.

The Selection of Optimal Probability Distribution and Estimation for Design Hourly Factor in National Highway Roads (일반국도 설계시간계수의 적정 확률분포 선정 및 추정)

  • Jo, Jun-Han;Han, Jong-Hyeon;Kim, Seong-Ho;Lee, Byeong-Saeng
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.6 s.92
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2006
  • This research is to the selection of optimal probability distribution as well as the estimation for design hourly factor in consideration of traffic characteristic, such as road function, lane number and AADT. To accomplish the objectives, we are applied to various probability distribution using traffic data that observed at permanent traffic count points in 2005. The parameters or the selected 14 probability distribution were estimated based on the method of maximum likelihood and the validity condition of the estimated parameter The goodness-of-fit test, such as chi-square test. was performed as well as the estimation of design hourly factor. As a result, An appropriate distributions of each case were selected : Pearson V for two lane of rural roads, LogLogistic for the four lane of rural roads, LogLogistic for the urban roads, Extreme value for recreation roads. And optimal K factor are as following : $0.1{\sim}0.2 $ for two lane of rural roads, $0.09{\sim}0.14$ for the four lane of rural roads. $0.07{\sim}0.13$ for the urban roads, $0.1{\sim}0.2$ for recreation roads.

Application of Jackknife Method for Determination of Representative Probability Distribution of Annual Maximum Rainfall (연최대강우량의 대표확률분포형 결정을 위한 Jackknife기법의 적용)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Lee, Sang-Won;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.10
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    • pp.857-866
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    • 2009
  • In this study, basic data is consisted annual maximum rainfall at 56 stations that has the rainfall records more than 30years in Korea. The 14 probability distributions which has been widely used in hydrologic frequency analysis are applied to the basic data. The method of moments, method of maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments method are used to estimate the parameters. And 4-tests (chi-square test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Cramer von Mises test, probability plot correlation coefficient (PPCC) test) are used to determine the goodness of fit of probability distributions. This study emphasizes the necessity for considering the variability of the estimate of T-year event in hydrologic frequency analysis and proposes a framework for evaluating probability distribution models. The variability (or estimation error) of T-year event is used as a criterion for model evaluation as well as three goodness of fit criteria (SLSC, MLL, and AIC) in the framework. The Jackknife method plays a important role in estimating the variability. For the annual maxima of rainfall at 56 stations, the Gumble distribution is regarded as the best one among probability distribution models with two or three parameters.

Statistical Analysis of End-to-End Delay for VoIP Service in Mobile WiMAX Networks

  • Islam, Mohd. Noor;Jang, Yeong-Min
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.2A
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    • pp.196-201
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    • 2010
  • Measurement of Quality of Service (QoS) parameters and its statistical analysis becomes a key issue for Mobile WiMAX service providers to manage the converged network efficiently and to support end-to-end QoS. In this paper, we investigate the population distribution of end-to-end one-way delay which is the most important QoS parameter in Mobile WiMAX networks. The samples are analyzed with Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S), and Anderson-Darling (A-D) test to verify the distribution of parent population. The relation with confidence level and the minimum number of sample size is also performed for logistic distribution. The statistical analysis is a promising approach for measuring the performance Mobile WiMAX networks.

Derivation of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula at Masan District (마산지방 확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Kim, Ji-Hong;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2000
  • The frequency analysis of annual maximum rainfall data and the derivation of probable rainfall intensity formula at Masan station are performed in this study. Based on the eight different rainfall duration data from 10 minutes to 24 hours, eight types of probability distribution (Gamma, Lognormal, Log-Pearson type III, GEV, Gumbel, Log-Gumbel, Weibull, and Wakeby distributions), three types of parameter estimation scheme (moment, maximum likelihood and probability weighted methods) and three types of goodness-of-fit test (${\chi}^2$, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer von Mises tests) were considered to find an appropriate probability distribution at Masan station. The Lognormal-2 distribution was selected and the probable rainfall intensity formula was derived by regression analysis. The derived formula can be used for estimating rainfall quantiles of the Masan vicinity areas with convenience and reliability in practice.

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Performance effectiveness of pediatric index of mortality 2 (PIM2) and pediatricrisk of mortality III (PRISM III) in pediatric patients with intensive care in single institution: Retrospective study (단일 병원에서 소아 중환자의 예후인자 예측을 위한 PIM2 (pediatric index of mortality 2)와 PRIMS III (pediatric risk of mortality)의 유효성 평가 - 후향적 조사 -)

  • Hwang, Hui Seung;Lee, Na Young;Han, Seung Beom;Kwak, Ga Young;Lee, Soo Young;Chung, Seung Yun;Kang, Jin Han;Jeong, Dae Chul
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.51 no.11
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    • pp.1158-1164
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    • 2008
  • Purpose : To investigate the discriminative ability of pediatric index of mortality 2 (PIM2) and pediatric risk of mortality III (PRISM III) in predicting mortality in children admitted into the intensive care unit (ICU). Methods : We retrospectively analyzed variables of PIM2 and PRISM III based on medical records with children cared for in a single hospital ICU from January 2003 to December 2007. Exclusions were children who died within 2 h of admission into ICU or hopeless discharge. We used Students t test and ANOVA for general characteristics and for correlation between survivors and non-survivors for variables of PIM2 and PRISM III. In addition, we performed multiple logistic regression analysis for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) for discrimination, and calculated standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for estimation of prediction. Results : We collected 193 medical records but analyzed 190 events because three children died within 2 h of ICU admission. The variables of PIM2 correlated with survival, except for the presence of post-procedure and low risk. In PRISM III, there was a significant correlation for cardiovascular/neurologic signs, arterial blood gas analysis but not for biochemical and hematologic data. Discriminatory performance by ROC showed an area under the curve 0.858 (95% confidence interval; 0.779-0.938) for PIM2, 0.798 (95% CI; 0.686-0.891) for PRISM III, respectively. Further, SMR was calculated approximately as 1 for the 2 systems, and multiple logistic regression analysis showed ${\chi}^2(13)=14.986$, P=0.308 for PIM2, ${\chi}^2(13)=12.899$, P=0.456 for PRISM III in Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit. However, PIM2 was significant for PRISM III in the likelihood ratio test (${\chi}^2(4)=55.3$, P<0.01). Conclusion : We identified two acceptable scoring systems (PRISM III, PIM2) for the prediction of mortality in children admitted into the ICU. PIM2 was more accurate and had a better fit than PRISM III on the model tested.

A Simulation Study on The Discounted Cost Distribution under Age Replacement Policy

  • Dohi, Tadashi;Ashioka, Akira;Kaio, Naoto;Osaki, Shunji
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.134-139
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    • 2004
  • During the last three decades, a few attentions have been paid for investigating the cost distribution for the optimal maintenance problems. In this article, we derive the moment of the discounted cost distribution over an infinite time horizon for the basic age replacement problem. With first two moments of the discounted cost distribution, we approximate the underlying distribution function by three theoretical distributions. Through a Monte Carlo simulation, we conclude that the log-normal distribution is the best fitted one to approximate the discounted cost distribution.

Parenting Stress Scale for Parents of School-Aged Children (학동기 자녀를 둔 부모의 양육스트레스 척도 개발)

  • 강희경
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to develop a Parenting Stress Scale that measures the day-to-day difficulties entailed in parenting for school-aged children. First, sixty seven items were collected as a baseline. Some of these items were pooled from existing parenting stress scales(Abidin, 1990; Kim & Kang, 1997), and the rest were generated based on interviews with parents of school-aged children. Secondly, Chi-Square tests were conducted and framer's V coefficients were calculated to determine the goodness-of-fit of the items. Twenty four items were selected from this step. The results of a factor analysis on these 24 items revealed two dimensions of this new Parenting Stress Scale, namely, 'school-related parenting stress' and 'general everyday life stress'. A test of construct validity also showed that this scale has adequate internal consistency.

Development and Validation of the Empowerment Scale for Woman with Breast Cancer (유방암여성 임파워먼트 측정도구 개발 및 타당화)

  • Shin, Sun Hwa;Park, Hyojung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.613-624
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a scale to evaluate empowerment in woman with breast cancer and to examine the validity and reliability of the scale. Methods: The development process for the initial items included a literature review, interviews, and construction of a conceptual framework. The identified items were evaluated for content validity by experts, resulting in 3 factors and 48 preliminary items. Participants were 319 women with breast cancer recruited to test reliability and validity of the preliminary scale. Data were analyzed using item analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, criterion related validity, internal consistency and test-retest reliability. Results: The final scale consisted of 30 items and 3 factors. Factors, including 'intrapersonal factor' (14 items), 'interactional factor' (8 items), and 'behavioral factor' (8 items), were drawn up after confirmatory factor analysis. Goodness of fit of the final research model was very appropriate as shown by ${\chi}^2/df=1.86$, TLI=.90, CFI=.92, SRMR=.06, and RMSEA=.05. Criterion validity was evaluated by total correlation with the Cancer Empowerment Questionnaire .78. Cronbach's alpha for total items was .93 and test-retest reliability was .69. Conclusion: Findings from this study indicate that the scale can be used in the development of nursing interventions to promote the empowerment of women having breast cancer.

Testing Independence in Contingency Tables with Clustered Data (집락자료의 분할표에서 독립성검정)

  • 정광모;이현영
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 2004
  • The Pearson chi-square goodness-of-fit test and the likelihood ratio tests are usually used for testing independence in two-way contingency tables under random sampling. But both of these tests may provide false results for the contingency table with clustered observations. In this case we consider the generalized linear mixed model which includes random effects of clustering in addition to the fixed effects of covariates. Both the heterogeneity between clusters and the dependency within a cluster can be explained via generalized linear mixed model. In this paper we introduce several types of generalized linear mixed model for testing independence in contingency tables with clustered observations. We also discuss the fitting of these models through a real dataset.