Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2013.46.2.183

Analysis of Non-monotonic Phenomena of Resilience and Vulnerability in Water Resources Systems  

Lee, Gwang-Man (Korea Institute of Water & Environment, Kwater)
Cha, Kee-Uk (Department of Water Resources Business)
Yi, Jaeeung (Department of Civil Engineering, Ajou University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.46, no.2, 2013 , pp. 183-193 More about this Journal
Abstract
Selecting the evaluation index to determine water resources system design yield is an important problem for water resources engineers. Reliability, resilience and vulnerability are three widely used indices for yield analysis. However, there is an overlap region between indices as well as resilience and vulnerability can show improvement in non-monotonic phenomena although yield condition becomes worse. These problems are usually not recognized and the decisions are made according to calculated estimates in real situation. The reason for this is caused by a diverse characteristics of water resources system such as seasonal variability of hydrologic characteristics and water demands. In this study, the applicability of resilience and vulnerability for multi indices application in addition to reliability which is applied generally is examined. Based on highly seasonal irrigation water demand ratio, the correlation and non-monotonic phenomena of each index are analyzed for seven selected reservoirs. Yongdam reservoir which supplies constant water supply showed the general tendency, but Chungju, Andong, Namgang and other reservoirs which supplies irrigation water showed clear non-monotonic phenomena in resilience and vulnerability.
Keywords
resilience; vulnerability; water resources system; evaluation index; correlation; non-monotonic Phenomenon;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Fiering, M.B. (1982). "Alternative indices of resilience." Water Resources Research, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 33-39.   DOI
2 Hashimoto, T., Stedinger, J.R., and Loucks, D.P. (1982). "Reliability, resiliency and vulnerability criteria for water resource system performance evaluation."Water Resources Research, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 14-20.   DOI
3 Jinno, K., Zongxue, X., Kawamura, A., and Tajiri, K. (1995). "Risk assessment of a water supply system during drought."Water Resources Research, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 185-204.   DOI   ScienceOn
4 Kindler, J., and Tyszewski, S. (1989). Multicriteria evaluation of decision rules in the design of a storage reservoir. In: System Analysis for water Resources Management: Closing the Gap Between the Theory and Practice (ed. by D.P. Loucks and U. Shamir) (Proceedings of Baltimore Assembly, May 1989), IAHS, Publication No. 180.
5 Kjeldsen, T.R., and Rosbjerg, D. (2004). "Choice of reliability, resilience and vulnerability estimators for risk assessments of water resources systems." Hydrological Sciences-Journal-des Sciences Hydrologiques, Vol. 49, No. 5, pp. 755-767.
6 Kundzewicz, Z.W., and Kindler, J. (1995). "Multiple criteria for evaluation of reliability aspects of water resources systems." Modelling and management of Sustainable Basin-scale water Resources Systems (proceedings of a Boulder Symposium), IAHS Publication, No. 231, pp. 217-224.
7 Kundzewicz, Z.W., and Laski, A. (1995). Reliabilityrelated criteria in water supply system studies. In: New Uncertainty Concepts in Hydrology and Water resources (ed. by Z. W. Kundzewicz). Cambridge University Press.
8 Lee, D.H., Choi, C.W., Yu, M.S., and Yi, J.E. (2012). "Reevaluation of Multi-Purpose Reservoir Yield" Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, KWRA, Vol. 45, No. 4, pp. 361-371.   과학기술학회마을   DOI   ScienceOn
9 Lee, S.H., and Kang, T.U. (2006). "An Evaluation Method of Water Supply Reliability for a Dam by Firm Yield Analysis." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, KWRA, Vol. 39, No. 5, pp. 467-478.   과학기술학회마을   DOI   ScienceOn
10 Loucks, D.P. (1997). "Quantifying trends in system sustainability." Hydrology Science Journal, Vol. 42, No. 4. pp. 513-530.
11 Srinivasan, K., Neelakantan, T.R., Shyamnarayan, P., and Nagarajukumar, C. (1999). "Mixed-integer programming model for reservoir performance optimization." Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, ASCE, Vol. 125, No. 5, pp. 298-301.   DOI
12 Maier, H.R., Lence, B.J., Tolson, B.A., and Foschi, R.O. (2001). "First-order reliability method for estimating reliability, vulnerability and resilience."Water Resources Research, Vol. 37, No. 3, pp. 779-790.   DOI   ScienceOn
13 Moy, W.-S., Cohon, J.L., and ReVelle, C. (1986). "A programming model for analysis of the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of a water supply reservoir." Water Resources Research, Vol. 22, pp. 489-498.   DOI
14 Park, S.S., Lee, D.Y., Kim, H.J., and Shin, Y.H. (2001). "Evaluation of Water Supply Capability on Multipurpose Dam in Korea." Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference, KWRA, pp. 533-538.
15 Tajiro, K., Jinno, K., and Kawamura, A. (1997). "Evaluation of Drought Remedial Policies Based by Risk Analysis." Journal of Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 259-269.   DOI
16 Vogel, R.M., and Bolognese, R.A. (1995). "Storagereliability- resilience-yield relation for over-year water supply systems."Water Resources Research, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 645-654.   DOI   ScienceOn
17 Vogel, R.M., Fennessey, N.M., and Bolognese, R.A. (1995). "Storage- Reliability-Resilience-Yield relations for Northeastern United States." Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, ASCE, Vol. 121, No. 5, pp. 365-374.   DOI   ScienceOn
18 Yi, J.E., and Song, J.W. (2002). "Evaluation of Water Supply Capacity for Multi-Purpose Dam Using Optimization" Journal of Korean Society of Civil Engineers, KSCE, Vol. 22, No. 6-B, pp. 811-818.   과학기술학회마을