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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2013.46.10.1029

Development of Multi-Site Daily Rainfall Simulation Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain Model Coupled with Chow-Liu Tree Structures  

Kwon, Hyun-Han (Department of Civil Engineering, Chonbuk National University)
Kim, Tae Jeong (Department of Civil Engineering, Chonbuk National University)
Kim, Oon Ki (Disaster & Safety Administration, Jeongeup City Hall)
Lee, Dong Ryul (Korea Institute of Construction Technology Water Resources Research Division)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.46, no.10, 2013 , pp. 1029-1040 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study aims to develop a multivariate daily rainfall simulation model considering spatial coherence across watershed. The existing Hidden Markov Model (HMM) has been mainly applied to single site case so that the spatial coherences are not properly addressed. In this regard, HMM coupled with Chow-Liu Tree (CLT) that is designed to consider inter-dependences across rainfall networks was proposed. The proposed approach is applied to Han-River watershed where long-term and reliable hydrologic data is available, and a rigorous validation is finally conducted to verify the model's capability. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in terms of reproducing daily rainfall statistics as well as seasonal rainfall statistics. Also, correlation matrix across stations for observation and simulation was compared and examined. It was confirmed that the spatial coherence was well reproduced via CLT-HMM model.
Keywords
daily rainfall; Hidden Markov Chain Model; Chow-Liu Tree; spatial correlation; correlation matrix;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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