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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2010.43.8.709

Estimating Climate Change Impact on Drought Occurrence Based on the Soil Moisture PDF  

Choi, Dae-Gyu (Dept. of Envr. Engr., Pukyong National Univ.)
Ahn, Jae-Hyun (Dept. of Civil Engr., Seokyeong Univ.)
Jo, Deok-Jun (Division of Architecture & Civil Engineering, Dongseo Univ.)
Kim, Sang-Dan (Dept. of Envr. Engr., Pukyong National Univ.)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.43, no.8, 2010 , pp. 709-720 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper describes the modeling of climate change impact on drought using a conceptual soil moisture model and presents the results of the modeling approach. The future climate series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by CCCma CGCM3-T63 with A2 green house emission scenario, using a daily scaling method that considers changes in the future monthly precipitation and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily precipitation distribution. The majority of the modeling results indicate that there will be more frequent drought in Korea in the future.
Keywords
climate change; drought; soil moisture; probability density function;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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