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http://dx.doi.org/10.15681/KSWE.2015.31.1.19

Annual Precipitation Reconstruction Based on Tree-ring Data at Seorak  

Kwak, Jae Won (Centre Eau Terre Environnement, INRS)
Han, Heechan (Department of Civil Engineering, INHA University)
Lee, Minjung (Hydrologic Survey Center)
Kim, Hung Soo (Department of Civil Engineering, INHA University)
Mun, Jangwon (Department of Water Resources and Environmental Research, KICT)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment / v.31, no.1, 2015 , pp. 19-28 More about this Journal
Abstract
The purpose of this research is reconstruction of annual precipitation based on Tree-ring series at Seorak mountain and examine its effectiveness. To do so we performed nonlinear time series characteristics test of Tree-ring series and reconstructed annual precipitation of Gangneung from 1687 to 1911 using Artificial neural network and Nonlinear autoregressive exogeneous input (NARX) model which reflects stochastic properties. As a result, Tree-ring series at Seorak Mountain shows nonlinear time series property and reconstructed annual precipitation series drawn from NARX is similar in statistical characteristics of observed annual time series.
Keywords
Annual precipitation; NARX; Neural network; Tree-ring;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
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