Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2021.22.2.459

Discrete-Time Survival Analysis of the Determinants of the Onset of Adolescents' Status Delinquency  

Yun, Hongju (Department of Education, Chuncheon National University of Education)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society / v.22, no.2, 2021 , pp. 459-467 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study examined the onset of adolescent delinquency through discrete-time survival analysis. Our analysis used data obtained from the Korean Children & Youth Panel Survey, and included 2,277 middle school students. The main analysis results are as follows. First, the hazard probability for the occurrence of delinquency was the highest at 16.6% in the second year of middle school, slightly decreased in the third year of middle school, but continued to increase as the overall grade increased. Second, adolescent psychological and emotional factors have significantly affected the onset of delinquency. Third, negative parenting methods had a significant impact on delinquency, but neglect was not significant. Fourth, having delinquent friends was an important factor affecting the status of delinquency. Fifth, among the school factors, adjustment of learning activities, adjustment of school rules, and adjustment of friendship relations influenced the status of delinquency, while the adjustment of teacher relations was not significant. As early intervention is important to prevent juvenile delinquency, education and support for establishing healthy relationships are needed.
Keywords
Adolescent; Discrete-Time Survival Analysis; Status Delinquency; Korean Children & Youth Panel Survey; Types of Adolescent Delinquency;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 K. Ki, "An empirical study on age effect in delinquency", Korean Journal of Criminology, vol.23, no.1, pp.127-152, 2011. DOI : https://doi.org/10.36999/kjc.2011.23.1.127   DOI
2 H. Kim, K. Kim, H. Kwon, S. Yeoum, S. Kim, "A study on the variables affecting middle school student's status offenses experience", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.12, no.2, pp.77-99, 2005.
3 H. Bae, M. Lee, "Parental abuse and neglect and adolescent misconduct: The mediating role of aggression", Social Science Research Review, vol.34, no.1, 2018. DOI : https://doi.org/10.18859/ssrr.2018.02.34.1.281   DOI
4 H. Kim, M. Kim, "The effect of parental abuse on adolescent aggression and delinquent behaviors", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.23, no.5, pp.97-122, 2016. DOI : https://doi.org/10.21509/KJYS.2016.05.23.5.97   DOI
5 J. Han, K. Kim, "The effects of parents neglect on the delinquency experience of multicultural adolescent: Focusing on the mediating effect of depression", Journal of Welfare for the Correction, vol.64, pp.145-164, 2020.   DOI
6 I, Chung, "Sex role stereotypes and sex differences in juvenile delinquency", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.16, no.1, pp.35-76, 2005.
7 J. Lee, H. Shin, "The impact of school/classroom gender composition on delinquency among classmates", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.29, no.1, pp.93-115, 2018. DOI : https://doi.org/10.14816/sky.2018.29.1.93   DOI
8 H. Go, J. H, "The aggressive delinquency change and influencing factors as adolescent grade increases", Asian Journal of Education, vol.19, no.4, pp.945-968, 2018.   DOI
9 H. Lee, K. Kim, S. Choi, "The longitudinal analysis on juvenile delinquency and criminal behavior of Korean youth", The Korea Journal of Youth Counseling, vol.24, no.2, pp.125-147, 2016. DOI : https://doi.org/10.35151/kyci.2016.24.2.007   DOI
10 S. Kim, Survey on Youth Development Indicators in Korea: Verification of measurement indicators in the result sector, Korea Youth Development Institute, 2006.
11 J. Koo, E. Shin, J. Lee, "A study on influencing factors off juvenile delinquency based on types of status", Forum for Youth, vol.62, pp.29-49, 2020. DOI : https://doi.org/10.17854/ffyc.2020.04.62.29   DOI
12 Vassallo, S., Smart, D., Sanson, A., Dussuyer, I., McKendry, B., Toumbourou, J., Prior, M., Oberklaid, F., Patterns and Precursors of Adolescent Aantisocial Behaviour. Melbourne: Crime Prevention Victoria, 2002.
13 A. Yoo, J. Lee. J. Seo, "Differences in the level of delinquent behaviors depending on family structures among adolescents", Family and Environment Research, vol.43, no.10, pp.91-109, 2005.
14 Loeber, R., Atouthamer-Loeber, M., Van Kammen, W., & Farrington, D. P., "Development of a new measure of self-reported antisocial behavior for young children: Prevalence and reliability", In M. Klein(Ed.). Cross-National Research in Self-Reported Crime and Delinquency. Springer Science & Business Media. pp.203-226, 1989.
15 S. Hong, J. Kim, "Discrete-time event history analysis of the interaction effects of parental influences with gender on the onset of adolescent problem behaviors", The Korean Journal of Educational Psychology, vol.20, no.1, pp.137-154, 2006.
16 K. Kwak, G. Yoon, E. Mun, "Research trend and task for studies of juvenile delinquency in Korea", The Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, vol.7, no.1, pp.12-27, 1993.
17 C. Kim, "The effect of depression, stress coping, and hardiness on delinquency in adolescents", Korean Journal of Health Psychology, vol.12, no.3, pp.587-598, 2007. DOI : https://doi.org/10.17315/kjhp.2007.12.3.007   DOI
18 H. Jin, B. Park, S. Bae, "The impact of informal labeling, self-esteem, depression, and aggression on juvenile delinquency", Journal of Adolescent Welfare, vol.13, no.2, pp.121-148, 2011.
19 H. Kim, H. Lee, "Predicting variables affecting the behaviors of bullies and victims of school bullying among elementary, middle, and high school students", The Korean Journal of Educational Psychology, vol.15, no.1, pp.183-210, 2000.
20 H. Park, Y. Kim, "Family relations and youth delinquency", Korean Journal of Social Welfare, vol.32, pp.113-135, 1997.
21 Office of Court Administration, Judicial Yearbook, 2020.
22 M. Hur, The study for the development and validation of 'parenting behavior inventory' perceived by adolescent, Unpublished Doctoral Dissertation, Ewha Womans University, 2000.
23 S. Kim, The effect of social support on abused children's adjustment, Unpublished Master Dissertation, Seoul National University, 2003.
24 B, Min, The Influence of School Life Adaptation and Self-concept on Academic Achievement, Unpublished Master Dissertation, Hongik University, 1991.
25 S. H. Lee, A Study on the Project of Reinforcing Protective Factors to Prevent Juvenile Delinquency, Unpublished doctoral dissertation, 2007.
26 Ministry of Gender Equality and Family, A Youth White Paper, 2019.
27 J. Kim, S. Noh, S. Lee, D. Kwak, D. Lee, C. Park, Juvenile Delinquency Theory. ChongMok, 2014.
28 W. Lee, W. You, "The analytic study of adolescents' status offenses", Korean Security Journal, vol.39, pp.217-239, 2014.
29 H. Koh, The Effect of Social Capital on Juvenile Delinquency. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, 2017.
30 S. Noh, "Analysis of causal relationship between delinquent peer and delinquent behavior, Korean Criminological Review, vol.17, no.4, pp.297-332, 2006.
31 K. Kim, H. Lee, "The impact factors related to juvenile delinquency", Korean Journal of Sociology of Education, vol.17, no.2, pp.1-22, 2007. DOI : https://doi.org/10.32465/ksocio.2007.17.2.001   DOI
32 J. Han, A Study on Relationship between Self-control, Social Relationship and Delinquency Transition of Vulnerable Adolescents Experiencing Status Delinquency. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, 2017.
33 S. Kim, "A study on the multi-level survival analysis of the first juvenile delinquency factors", Proceedings of 5th Korean Children & Youth Panel Survey Forum, pp.338-359, 2015.
34 J. Choi, J. Kim, "A study on the factors affecting developmental trajectory of adolescents' offline and online delinquency", The Journal of Child Education, vol.25, no.1, pp.49-67, 2016. DOI : https://doi.org/10.17643/KJCE.2016.25.1.03   DOI
35 E. Koh, E. Kim, "The effects of depression, inattention, internet use and teacher-student/peer relationships on cyber delinquency in adolescents, Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.22, no.3, pp.1-26, 2015.
36 Thompson, K. L. Gullone, E., "Prosocial and antisocial behaviors in adolescents". Anthrozoos, vol.21, no.2, pp.123-137, 2008. DOI : https://doi.org/10.2752/175303708X305774   DOI
37 Li, Y., Zhang, W., Liu, J., Arbeit, M. R., Schwartz, S. J., Bowers, E. P., & Lerner, R. M., "The role of school engagement in preventing adolescent delinquency and substance use", Journal of Adolescence, vol.34, no6, pp.1181-1192, 2011. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adolescence.2011.07.003   DOI
38 H. Kim, M. Kim, "The effect of parental abuse on adolescent aggression and delinquent behaviors", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.23, no.5, pp.97-122, 2016.
39 K. Jeong, S. Lee, "The effect on cyber delinquency from children abuse from parents", Journal of Youth Welfare, vol.17, no.4, pp.171-190, 2015. DOI : https://doi.org/10.19034/KAYW.2015.17.4.08   DOI
40 Mikulincer, M., Gillath, O., Halevy, V., Avihou, N., Avidan, S. Eshkoli, N., "Attachment theory and reactions to others' needs", Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, vol.81, no.6, pp.1205-1224, 2001. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.81.6.1205   DOI
41 Bao, Z., Zhang, W., Lai, X., Sun, W. Wang, Y., "Parental attachment and chinese adolescents' delinquency", Journal of Adolescence, vol.44, pp.37-47, 2015. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adolescence.2015.06.002   DOI
42 G. Yun, M. Yang, "A study on influencing to prediction risk factors of the delinquency experience on juvenile of multicultural", The Journal of Korean Police, vol.14, no.2, pp.313-338, 2015.
43 Berndt, T. J., "Developmental changes in conformity to peers and parents", Developmental Psychology, vol.15, pp.608-616, 1979. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1037/0012-1649.15.6.608   DOI
44 S. Chung, J. Lee, "Testing the determinants on the onset of adolescents' smoking", Asian Journal of Education, vol.17, no.4, pp.263-284, 2016.   DOI
45 U. No, S. Jung, S. Hong, "Classifying latent profiles in delinquency of children and adolescents and testing the effects of determinants", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.25, no.4, pp.211-240, 2014. DOI : https://doi.org/10.14816/sky.2014.25.4.211   DOI
46 W. Min, "A study of factors influencing recidivism in juveniles", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.25, no.2, pp.265-290, 2014. DOI : https://doi.org/10.14816/sky.2014.25.2.265   DOI
47 M. Lee, M. Choi, J. Cho, "Child abuse and juvenile delinquency", Social Studies, vol.8, no.2, pp.9-42, 2007.
48 J. Kim, "Exploring factors that influence the developmental trajectory of delinquency during late adolescence", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.25, no.11, pp.259-287, 2018. DOI : https://doi.org/10.21509/KJYS.2018.11.25.11.259   DOI
49 K. Lee, H. Park, "The moderated mediation effect of volunteer time in the effect of school maladjustment on juvenile delinquency through depression", Youth Facilities Environment, vol.16, no.2, pp.79-91, 2018.
50 S. Jun, "School adjustment, self-esteem, and juvenile delinquency across three age groups", Forum for Youth, vol.57, pp.73-98, 2019. DOI : https://doi.org/10.17854/ffyc.2019.01.57.73   DOI
51 S. H. Choi, H. S. Kim, "Higher order interaction effects on childhood delinquency", Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare, vol.21, pp.233-258, 2006.
52 Y. J. Kwon, "The mediating effect of career identity and the moderating effect of delinquency on the relationship between perceived parenting attitudes and adolescents' adjustment to school", Journal of School Social Work, vol.39, pp.177-204, 2017.   DOI
53 J. Han, "A study of influential factors on delinquency transition process of adolescents in status delinquency", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.23, no.7, pp.59-85, 2016. DOI : https://doi.org/10.21509/KJYS.2016.07.23.7.59   DOI
54 Cheung, Y W., Ng, A. M. C., "Social factors in adolescent deviant behavior in Hong Kong", International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice, vol.12, pp.29-45, 1988. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1080/01924036.1988.9688876   DOI
55 J. Lee, "The effect of academic stress and peer conformity on Youth people's cyber delinquency", Global Social Welfare Review, vol.5, no.1, pp.79-105, 2015.
56 S. Hwang, "Do delinquent peers precede delinquency or delinquency does than the preceding in juvenile delinquency?", Journal of Social Studies, vol.23, no.2, pp.53-70, 2016.
57 S. Hong, D. Kim, "Determinants of the onset of adolescent runaway behavior", Korean Journal of Child Studies, vol.28, no.2, pp.217-233, 2007.
58 H. Gao, J. Hwang, "The aggressive delinquency change and influencing factors as adolescent grade increases", Asian Journal of Education, vol.19, no.4, pp.945-968, 2018.   DOI
59 Y. Cho, "Autoregressive cross-lagged modeling of the reciprocal longitudinal relationship between abuse and neglect by parents, school adjustment, and adolescent delinquency", Forum for Youth, vol.58, pp.145-172, 2019. DOI : https://doi.org/10.17854/ffyc.2019.04.58.145   DOI
60 S. Lee, "An analysis on the influence factors of adolescents' maladjusted behavior", Journal of Adolescent Behavior Science, vol.16, pp.161-185, 2011.
61 J. Kim, M. Ha, "The effects of parental abuse experience on cyber delinquency of adolescence: The sequential mediating effects of social withdrawal and depression", Secondary Education Research, vol.68, no.1, pp.97-133, 2020.
62 M. Kim, S. Jun, S. Cho, H. Jone, "The effect of self-esteem and social withdrawal on aggression in early adolescents with delinquent behavior", The Journal of the Korean Society of School Health, vol.31, no.1, pp.1-9, 2018. DOI : https://doi.org/10.15434/KSSH.2018.31.1.1   DOI
63 J. Cheong, J. Lee, I. Yun, "Reciprocal effect between juvenile delinquency and delinquent peers", Korean Police Bulletin, vol.22, no.2, pp.173-200, 2020.
64 Singer, J. D., Willett, J. B., & Willett, J. B., Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis, Oxford University Press, 2003.
65 B. J. Lee, W. Min, J. Kim, "A study for developmental trajectories of social withdrawal in adolescence", Korean Journal of Youth Studies, vol.21, no.8, pp.317-346, 2014.
66 Y. Yang, S. Kim, T. Lee, "The effect of strain on juvenile delinquency", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.30, no.2, pp.5-31, 2019. DOI : https://doi.org/10.14816/sky.2019.30.2.5   DOI
67 Y. Cho, H. Ju, M. Hyun, "The mediating effect of social withdrawal on the relationship between negative parenting attitudes and victimization in adolescents", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.26, no.2, pp.59-81, 2015.   DOI
68 S. Lee, M. Hoe, "The analysis of longitudinal causal relationship between depression and delinquency in adolescents", Journal of Youth Welfare, vol.17, no.2, pp.241-264, 2015.
69 J. Cho, Y. Cho, "The effect of self-control and parent abuse on juvenile delinquency", Korean Criminal Psychology Review, vol.13, no.2, pp.159-180, 2017. DOI : https://doi.org/10.25277/KCPR.2017.13.2.157   DOI
70 J. Choi, "The reciprocal causation between delinquency and depression during early adolescence", Studies on Korean Youth, vol.59, pp.143-169, 2010.
71 M. Cha, "Influence of strain experienced in school on the juvenile delinquency via aggression", Korean Journal of Criminal Justice, vol.4, no.1, pp.83-110, 2014.