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http://dx.doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2019.20.9.56

The Effect of Weather and Season on Pedestrian Volume in Urban Space  

Lee, Su-mi (Dept. of Urban & Transportation Engineering, Korea National University of Transportation)
Hong, Sungjo (Dept. of Urban Engineering, Chungbuk National University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society / v.20, no.9, 2019 , pp. 56-65 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study empirically analyzes the effect of weather on pedestrian volume in an urban space. We used data from the 2009 Seoul Flow Population Survey and constructed a model with the pedestrian volume as a dependent variable and the weather and physical environment as independent variables. We constructed 28 models and compared the results to determine the effects of weather on pedestrian volume by season, land use, and time zone. A negative binomial regression model was used because the dependent variable did not have a normal distribution. The results show that weather affects the volume of walking. Rain reduced walking volume in most models, and snow and thunderstorms reduced the volume in a small number of models. The effects of the weather depended on the season and land use, and the effects of environmental factors depended on the season. The results have various policy implications. First, it is necessary to provide semi-outdoor urban spaces that can cope with snow or rain. Second, it is necessary to have different policies to encourage walking for each season.
Keywords
Weather; Volume of Walking; Floating Population; Generalized Linear Model; Negative Binominal Regression;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
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