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http://dx.doi.org/10.5762/KAIS.2017.18.7.102

Definition and measurement of S-curve based technological discontinuity : case of technological substitution of logic semiconductors  

Park, Changhyun (Office of R&D Budget and Feasibility Analysis, KISTEP(Korea Institute of S&T Evaluation and Planning))
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society / v.18, no.7, 2017 , pp. 102-108 More about this Journal
Abstract
The phenomenon of technological discontinuity which occurs during technological diffusion and substitution between incumbents and new technology is important to understand the behavior of technology diffusion and substitution of single and multiple technologies. Our research defined the concept of technological discontinuity and developed a model capable of measuring the region of technological discontinuity. Based on a literature review and a model development, we proposed a definition and a model regarding technological discontinuity.The accuracy of the model is verified by applying it on a semiconductor industry case. The technological discontinuity is defined as the region in which both the incumbent and new technology co-exist and the performance of the incumbent technology is better than that of the new technology. In addition, we can model the technological discontinuity using discontinuous time and discontinuous performance. This research will be very useful to understand not only technological discontinuity but also technology diffusion or substitution.
Keywords
Technological discontinuity; Discontinuous time; Discontinuous performance; Diffusion; Substitution;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
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