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http://dx.doi.org/10.12815/kits.2021.20.6.14

The Analysis Correlation Subway and Bike Sharing Ridership before and during COVID-19 Pandemic in Seoul  

Lee, Sangjun (Dept. of Transportation Systems Research, The Seoul Institute)
Shin, Seongil (Dept. of Transportation Systems Research, The Seoul Institute)
Nam, Doohee (School. of Social Science, Univ. of Hansung)
Kim, Jiho (Dept. of Transportation Systems Research, The Seoul Institute)
Park, Juntae (Graduate School. of Transportation Systems Engineering, Univ. of Transportation Korea)
Publication Information
The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems / v.20, no.6, 2021 , pp. 14-25 More about this Journal
Abstract
With the spread of COVID-19 and the government policy of social distancing, the demand for subways and buses is decreasing, whereas the demand for public bicycles and personal transportation is increasing. Hence, research is needed to understand the characteristics of this phenomenon and to prove the statistical reliability of the correlation between the subway and shared bicycle demands. In this study, the correlation between the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and the replacement rate of subway and public bicycle demands was examined, but the statistical significance was not significant. However, during the period of September to December 2020, in which the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Seoul started to increase rapidly, there was a correlation between the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and the replacement ratio. If the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases increases by more than a certain number, public bicycles are expected to play a significant role as alternates to the subways. It is expected that the role of public bicycles will increase, and that it is possible to suggest the direction of transportation operation and policy establishment for the continuation of COVID-19 countermeasures in field demonstration after elementary technology development. It is also expected that this study will suggest a direction for future development and policymaking.
Keywords
COVID-19; Bike sharing; Public bicycle; Subway; Correlation coefficient;
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