Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.7472/jksii.2021.22.4.99

The Application of Delphi-AHP Method in the Priority of Policies for Expanding the Use of Artificial Intelligence  

Han, Eunyoung (Korea Information Society Development Institute)
Publication Information
Journal of Internet Computing and Services / v.22, no.4, 2021 , pp. 99-110 More about this Journal
Abstract
Governments around the world are actively establishing strategies and initiatives to spread the use of artificial intelligence (AI), for AI is not a mere new technology, but is an innovative technology that brings about extensive changes in industrial and social structures and is a core engine that will lead the 4th Industrial Revolution. The South Korean government has also been paying attention to AI as a technology and tool for innovative growth, but its application to the industries is still rather sluggish. The government has prepared multifarious AI-related policies with the aim of constructing South Korea as an AI powerhouse, but there is no clear strategy on which detailed policies to implement first and which industries to apply AI preferentially. With these limitations of South Korea's AI policies in mind, this paper analyzed the priorities of industries in AI adoption and the priorities of AI-related national policies, using Delphi-AHP method for 30 top-level AI experts in South Korea. The results of analysis show that AI application is urgent and necessary in the fields of medical/healthcare, public and safety, and manufacturing, which seems to reflect the peak of the COVID-19 crisis in the second half of 2020 at the time of the investigation. And it turns out that policies related to AI talent cultivation, data, and R&D investment are important and urgent above all in order for organizations to apply AI. This suggests that strategies are required to focus limited national resources on these industries and policies first.
Keywords
Artificial intelligence; AI; AI policy; AI adoption; Priority;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 Korea Information Society Development Institute, Policy for Activating the Convergence and Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the Public and Private Sectors, 2019. (in Korean). https://www.kisdi.re.kr/report/view.do?key=m2101113024770&masterId=3934580&arrMasterId=3934580&artId=552088
2 Korea Government, National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence, 2019. (in Korean). https://toughw.tistory.com/523
3 Science & Technology Policy Institute, A Prospective Analysis of Artificial intelligence Technology and Innovation Policies, 2018. (in Korean). https://www.stepi.re.kr/skin/doc.html?fn=8cd042de2ff19a306454eb38e5eda80b&rs=/preview/html/202107
4 Alexandra Twin, Delphi Method, 2020. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/delphi-method.asp
5 Thomas L. Saaty and Kevin P. Kearns, Analytical Planning: The Organization of Systems. Oxford: Pergamon Press, 1985.
6 Gene Rowe and George Wright, "Expert opinions in forecasting: The role of the delphi technique" International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, Vol. 30, 2001. DOI:10.1007/978-0-306-47630-3_7   DOI
7 Standford University Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence, Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021, p.153, 2021. https://aiindex.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/2021-AI-Index-Report_Master.pdf
8 Korea Government, Data Industry Activation Strategy, 2018. (in Korean). https://www.4th-ir.go.kr/article/detail/227?boardName=internalData&category=agenda
9 McKinsey & Company, Notes from the AI frontier: Modeling the impact of AI on the world economy, September 2018. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/notes-from-the-ai-frontier-modeling-the-impact-of-ai-on-the-world-economy
10 Statistics Korea, 2019 Corporate activity survey results (provisional), Press Release, 2020. 12. 15. http://kostat.go.kr/assist/synap/preview/skin/doc.html?fn=synapview386619_1&rs=/assist/synap/preview#(inKorean).
11 Korea Government, Strategy for the Innovative Growth of Digital-based Industries, 2020. (in Korean). http://www.motie.go.kr/motie/ne/presse/press2/bbs/bbsView.do?bbs_cd_n=81&bbs_seq_n=163231
12 W.T. Lee, J.W. Moon, H.S. Ryu, A Study on the Change of Public Informatization Paradigm and Future Policy in Intelligent Information Society, KISDI, 2017. https://www.kisdi.re.kr/report/view.do?key=m2101113024153&masterId=3934560&arrMasterId=3934560&artId=532606
13 National Information Society Agency, The Mid-to Long-term Direction of AI Data Construction Derived from AI Field Survey, AI Insight Report, September 2019. (in Korean). https://www.nia.or.kr/site/nia_kor/ex/bbs/View.do?cbIdx=39485&bcIdx=21430&parentSeq=21430
14 Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer, An experimental application of the delphi method to the use of experts, 1962. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_memoranda/2009/RM727.1.pdf
15 Glenn, Jerome C. & Gordon, Theodore J. Futures research Methodology, version 3.0. Millenium Project, Washington D.C. 2009.
16 Thomas L. Saaty, A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 15(3), pp.234-281, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-2496(77)90033-5   DOI
17 OCED, OECD Open, Useful and Re-usable data (OURdata) Index: 2019, 2020. https://www.oecd.org/gov/digital-government/ourdata-index-policy-paper-2020.pdf
18 Korea Development Institute, "Korea's AI ecosystem is still inadequate", Press Release, 2021. 1. 15. (in Korean). https://www.kdi.re.kr/news/coverage_view.jsp?idx=1094 1&pp=10&pg=1&gubun=03
19 Joshua P. Meltzer and Cameron F. Kerry, Strengthening international cooperation on artificial intelligence, February 17, 2021. https://www.brookings.edu/research/strengthening-international-cooperation-on-artificial-intelligence/