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http://dx.doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no8.0001

Estimation and Prediction of Financial Distress: Non-Financial Firms in Bursa Malaysia  

HIONG, Hii King (School of Business and Management, University College of Technology Sarawak)
JALIL, Muhammad Farhan (School of Business and Management, University College of Technology Sarawak)
SENG, Andrew Tiong Hock (NIIT College)
Publication Information
The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business / v.8, no.8, 2021 , pp. 1-12 More about this Journal
Abstract
Altman's Z-score is used to measure a company's financial health and to predict the probability that a company will collapse within 2 years. It is proven to be very accurate to forecast bankruptcy in a wide variety of contexts and markets. The goal of this study is to use Altman's Z-score model to forecast insolvency in non-financial publicly traded enterprises. Non-financial firms are a significant industry in Malaysia, and current trends of consolidation and long-term government subsidies make assessing the financial health of such businesses critical not just for the owners, but also for other stakeholders. The sample of this study includes 84 listed companies in the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. Of the 84 companies, 52 are considered high risk, and 32 are considered low-risk companies. Secondary data for the analysis was gathered from chosen companies' financial reports. The findings of this study show that the Altman model may be used to forecast a company's financial collapse. It dispelled any reservations about the model's legitimacy and the utility of applying it to predict the likelihood of bankruptcy in a company. The findings of this study have significant consequences for investors, creditors, and corporate management. Portfolio managers may make better selections by not investing in companies that have proved to be in danger of failing if they understand the variables that contribute to corporate distress.
Keywords
Financial Distress; Altman's Z-Score Model; Non-Financial Companies; Financial Ratios; Malaysia Stock Exchange;
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