Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2004.46.2.029

Development of An Areal Elderly Migration Model for Demand Estimation of Rural Retirement Community  

Jung, Nam-Su (서울대학교)
Lee , Jeong-Jae (서울대학교 농공학과)
Kim , Han-Joong (한경대학교 지역자원시스템공학과)
Yoon , Seong-Su (충북대학교 지역건설공학과)
Publication Information
Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers / v.46, no.2, 2004 , pp. 29-37 More about this Journal
Abstract
An areal elderly migration model (AEMM) was developed to assess the demand of rural development projects targeted towards elderly people. The AEMM was developed with adaptation of the gravity model to represent spatial interaction regarding amenities. Areal characteristics were classified for estimating the amenities from the perspective of net migration. From 1990 to 2000, data were acquired from USCB, PASDA, PAHEALTH, PADCNR, PFBC, and NCDC in 67 Pennsylvania counties for analysis and application. The results revealed that elderly migration can be explained not only by areal characteristics but also by spatial interaction considering the population, distances, and amenities of surrounding areas.
Keywords
Retirement; Community; Migration;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 Sim, J. et. al. 2001. A Study on the Improvement Directions and Conditions of Spacial Composition according to Location Style of Silver Towns. The Journal of Korea Medical Welfare Facility. (in Korean)
2 Stroud, H. B. 1995. The Promise of Paradise. The Johns Hopkins University Press. (in English)
3 Valerio, C. 1997. Elderly Americans: Where they choose to retire. Garland Publishing, Inc.: 9-27. (in English)
4 Youn, D. and Youn, S. 1998. City Modeling. HongIkSa.: 10-28. (in Korean)
5 Wilson, A. G. and Bennett, R.J. 1985. Mathematical Methods in Human Geography and Planning. John Wiley & Sons.: 210-249. (in English)
6 M. A. F. 2001. Major agricultural statistics, Ministrator of Agriculture & Forestry. (in Korean)
7 Kim, B., 1988. Agriculture and Rural Communities in Korea. Regional Administration Research. 3(4) (in Korean)
8 Kim, C. A Study on the Silver-Town Selection Attributes of the Elderly in South Korea by the Importance-Performance Analysis. Tourism Research. 17 (1) (in Korean)
9 Kim, I. 1993. Anxiety and Hope of Korea Farmer, The Seoul National University Press (in Korean)
10 Lee, S. 2000. The Issues and prospect of the WTO Negotiation on Agriculture, The Journal of Korea Research Society for Customs. 1(0): 299-319. (in Korean)
11 Oh, B. 2000. Population Statistics of World and Korea. Korea National Statistical Office. (in Korean)
12 Oppenheim, N. 1980. Applied Models in Urban and Regional Analysis. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, lnc.: 111-134. (in English)
13 Park, B. 1999. Increase of social insurance expenditure by aging society. Week Economy.:541. (in Korean)
14 Serow, W. J. 2001. Retirement migration counties in the Southeastern Unitied States: Geographic, demographic, and economic correlates. Gerontological Society of America. 41(2): 220-227. (in English)
15 Population Division. 2001. Methodology for estimates of state and county total population. U.S. Census Bureau. (in English)
16 Riggs, J. E. 1994. The Cohort Mortality Perspective. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 19: 202-210. (in English)   DOI   ScienceOn
17 Saenz, R. 1997. Ethnic Concentration and Chicago Poverty: A Comparative Approach. Social Science Research. 26: 205-228. (in English)   DOI   ScienceOn
18 Silverstein, M. 1995. Stability and change in temporal distance between the elderly and their children. Demography. 32: 29-45. (in English)   DOI
19 Bryman, A. and Cramer, D. 2001. Quantitative data analysis with SPSS Release 10 for Windows : a guide for social scientists. Taylor & Francis lnc.: 98-103. (in English)
20 Baxter, M. J. 1994. Stepwise Discriminant Analysis in Archaeometry. Journal of Archaeological Science. 21: 659-666. (in English)   DOI   ScienceOn
21 Gin, J. 2002. Opportunities and Threats by Aging Society. Samsung Economy Research Institute. (in Korean)
22 Gordon, P. A. 1998. Seniors' Housing and Care Facilities. Urban Land Institure. (in English)
23 Gregory, S. R. and Gibson, M. J. 2002. Across The States - Profiles of Long-Term Care, Public Policy Institute. (in English)
24 Lee, C. 1973. Models in Planning: An Introduction to the Use of Quantitative Models in Planning. Pergamon Press.: 57-88. (in English)