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http://dx.doi.org/10.12653/jecd.2017.24.1.0001

Prediction of Household Ratio by Rice Farm Scale in ChungCheongnam-province - Focused on Markov Chains and Quadratic Programming -  

Kim, Sung-Rok (Faculty of Reginoal Development, Kongju National University)
Publication Information
Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development / v.24, no.1, 2017 , pp. 1-8 More about this Journal
Abstract
The Purpose of this study is to predict farm size per farming household in Chungcheongnam-province by using the Markov chains and Quadratic Programming.. The results are as follows; First, small-scale farms with less than 1.0ha of land are predicted to be still more than half (of total farming households) in 2025 as well. Second, large-scale farms with 3.0ha-5.0ha land and extra large-scale farms with over 5.0ha of land are predicted to gradually expand their proportion in total farm scale. Third, middle-scale farms with 1.0ha-3.0ha land are forecasted to be reduced in their relative proportion. It is required to take into account regional characteristics to improve the effectiveness of a rice industry policy. Therefore, this study has some significance in attempting to research on the ownership structure of rice production areas in consideration of target regions.
Keywords
Size of Arable Land; Rice Industry; Markov Chains; Quadratic Programming;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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