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Analysis of the Effect of Shipping Control depending on the Limited Storage Life of Agricultural Products  

Suh, Kyo (Graduate School, Seoul National University)
Lee, Jeong-Jae (Department of Agricultural Engineering, Seoul National University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning / v.10, no.3, 2004 , pp. 53-58 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this study the effect caused by limited storage lift of agricultural products for determining shipping amount can be analyzed by $l^{st}$ order autoregressive model based on cobweb theorem. Carrying capacity and auction price of upland-grown cabbage and garlic from 2000 to 2003 in wholesale markets were used for analysis. In result regression models of cabbage can not be used in verification periods although those of garlic approximately predicted shipping amounts in verification periods. It can be inferred that it is hard to control shipping amounts depending on price fluctuation for agricultural products which have limited storage life so cultivated areas and meteorological risk should be managed for stable price.
Keywords
Autoregressive model; Cabbage; Cobweb theorem; Garlic; Limited storage life;
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