1 |
Ahn, J. B., and J. A. Lee, 2001: Numerical study on the role of sea-ice using ocean gerneral cirulation model. J. Korean Soc. Oceanogr., 6, 225-233.
|
2 |
Ahn, J. B., J. L. Lee, and E. S. Im, 2012(a): The reproducibility of surface air temperature over South Korea using dynamical downscaling and statistical correction. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 493-507.
DOI
|
3 |
Ahn, J. B., S. B. Lee, and S. B. Ryoo, 2012(b): Development of 12-month ensemble prediction system using PNU CGCM V1.1. Atmos. Korean Meteor. Soc., 22, 455-464.
|
4 |
Ahn, J. B., Y. H. Yoon, E. H. Cho, and H. R. Oh, 2005: A study of global ocean data assimilation using VAF. J. Korean. Soc. Oceanogr., 10, 69-78.
|
5 |
Alves, O., M. A. Balmaseda, D. Anderson, and T. Stockdale, 2004: Sensitivity of dynamical seasonal forecasts to ocean initial conditions. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 647-667.
DOI
|
6 |
Anderson, J. L., and J. J. Ploshay, 2000: Impact of initial conditions on seasonal simulations with an atmospheric general circulation model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 2241-2264.
DOI
|
7 |
Balmaseda, M., and D. Anderson, 2009: Impact of initialization strategies and observations on seasonal forecast skill. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L01701, doi:10.1029/2008GL035561.
DOI
|
8 |
Behringer, D. W., M. Ji, and A. Leetmaa, 1998: An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications for ocean initialization. Part I: The ocean data assimilation system. Mon. Wea., Rev., 126, 1013-1021.
DOI
|
9 |
Bennett, A. F., 2002: Inverse modeling of the ocean and atmosphere, Cambridge University Press.
|
10 |
Bonan, G. B., 1998: The land surface climatology of the NCAR Land Surface Model (LSM 1.0) coupled to the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). J. Climate, 11, 1307-1326.
DOI
|
11 |
Brankovic, C., T. N. Palmer, F. Molteni, S. Tibaldi, and U. Cubasch, 1990 : Extended?range predictions with ECMWF models: Time?lagged ensemble forecasting. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 116, 867-912.
DOI
|
12 |
Charney, J. G., 1951: Dynamical forecasting by numerical process. Compendium of Meteorology, T. F. Malone, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 470-482.
|
13 |
Chen, M., W. Wang, and A. Kumar, 2010: Prediction of monthly-mean temperature: The roles of atmospheric and land initial conditions and sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 23, 717-725.
DOI
|
14 |
Collins, M., S. F. B. Tett, and C. Cooper, 2001: The internal climate variability of HadCM3, a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Clim. Dynam., 17, 61-81.
DOI
|
15 |
Dommenget, D., and D. Stammer, 2004: Assessing ENSO simulations and predictions using adjoint ocean state estimation. J. Climate, 17, 4301-4315.
DOI
|
16 |
Gates, W. L., 1992: AMIP: The atmospheric model intercomparison project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1962-1970.
DOI
|
17 |
Ghil, M., and P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, 1991: Data assimilation in meteorology and oceanography. Adv. Geophys., 33, 141-266.
DOI
|
18 |
Hendon, H. H., M. C. Wheeler, and C. Zhang, 2007: Seasonal dependence of the MJO-ENSO relationship. J. Climate, 20, 531-543.
DOI
|
19 |
Gregory, D., and Coauthors, 2000: Revision of convection, radiation and cloud schemes in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1685-1710.
DOI
|
20 |
Guilyardi, E., and Coauthors, 2004: Representing El Nino in coupled ocean-atmosphere GCMs: the dominant role of the atmospheric component. J. Climate, 17, 4623-4629.
DOI
|
21 |
Houtekamer, P. L., and J. Derome, 1995 : Methods for ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2181-2196.
DOI
|
22 |
Huang, X. Y., 2000: Variational analysis using spatial filters. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2588-2600.
DOI
|
23 |
Hurrel, J., J. J. Hack, B. A. Boville, D. Williamson, and J. T. Kiehl, 1998: The dynamical simulation of the NCAR Community Climate Model version 3 (CCM3). J. Climate, 11, 1207-1236.
DOI
|
24 |
IPCC, 1990: Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
|
25 |
IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007-The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United?Kingdomand New York, NY, USA, 634, 647, 793-795.
|
26 |
Ji, M., D. W. Behringer, and A. Leetmaa, 1998 : An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications for ocean initialization. Part II : The coupled model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1022-1034.
DOI
|
27 |
Kiehl, J. T., and P. R. Gent, 2004: The community climate system model, version 2. J. Climate, 17, 3666-3682.
DOI
|
28 |
Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S. K. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEPDEO AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631-1643.
DOI
|
29 |
Kessler, W. S., and R. Kleeman, 2000: Rectification of the Madden-Julian oscillation into the ENSO cycle. J. Climate, 13, 3560-3575.
DOI
|
30 |
Kharin, V. V., F. W. Zwiers, and N. Gagnon, 2001: Skill of seasonal hindcasts as a function of the ensemble size. Clim. Dynam., 17, 835-843.
DOI
|
31 |
Kiehl, J. T., J. J. Hack, G. B. Bonan, B. A. Boville, B. P. Briegleb, D. L. Williamson, and P. J. Rasch, 1996: Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Tech. Note. NCAR/TN-420+STR, 152 pp.
|
32 |
Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, and J. A. Curry, 2012: Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast for the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Clim. Dynam., 39, 2957-2973.
DOI
|
33 |
Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2010: Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37.
|
34 |
Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2011: The second phase of the global land-atmosphere coupling experiment: soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill. J. Hydro meteor., 12, 805-822.
|
35 |
Lorenz, E. N., 1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-148.
DOI
|
36 |
Lu, C., H. Yuan, B. E. Schwartz, and S. G. Benjamin, 2007: Short-range numerical weather prediction using time-lagged ensembles. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 580-595.
DOI
|
37 |
Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res., 108, No. D14, 4407.
DOI
|
38 |
Molteni, F., and Coauthors, 2011: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (System 4). ECMWF Technical Memorandum 656.
|
39 |
Pacanowski, R. C., and S. M. Griffies, 1998: MOM 3.0 Manual. NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, USA 08542.
|
40 |
Palmer, T., and Coauthors, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-tointerannual prediction (DEME-TER). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 853-872.
DOI
|
41 |
Reichler, T. J., and J. O. Roads, 1999: The role of boundary and initial conditions for dynamical seasonal predictability. Nonlinear Proc. Geophys., 10, 211-232.
|
42 |
Saha, S., and Coauthors, 2006: The NCEP Climate Forecast System. J. Climate, 19, 3483-3517.
DOI
|
43 |
Saha, S., and Coauthor, 2010: The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91, 1015-1057.
DOI
|
44 |
Saha, S., and and Coauthors, 2014: The NCEP climate forecast system version 2. J Climate, 27, 2185-2208.
DOI
|
45 |
Shi, L., O. Alves, H. H. Hendon, G. Wang, and D. Anderson, 2009: The role of stochastic forcing in ensemble forecasts of the 1997/98 El Nino. J. Climate, 22, 2526-2540.
DOI
|
46 |
Stensrud, D. J., H. E. Brooks, J. Dun, M. S. Tracton, and E. Rogers, 1999: Using ensembles for short-range forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 433-446.
DOI
|
47 |
Wang, B., J. Y. Lee, and I. S. Kang, 2009: Advance and prospectus of seasonal prediction: assessment of the APCC/CliPAS 14-model ensemble retrospective seasonal prediction (1980-2004). Clim. Dynam., 33, 93-117.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
48 |
Stensrud, D. J., J. W. Bao, and T. T. Warner, 2000: Using initial condition and model physics perturbations in shortrange ensemble simulations of mesoscale convective systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2077-2107.
DOI
|
49 |
Sun, J. Q., and J. B. Ahn, 2011: A GCM-based forecasting model for the landfall of tropical cyclones in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28, 1049-1055.
DOI
|
50 |
Sun, J., and J. B. Ahn, 2015: Dynamical seasonal predictability of the Arctic Oscillation using a CGCM. Int. J. Climatol., 35, 1342-1353.
DOI
|
51 |
Wang, G., R. Kleeman, N. Smith, and F. Tseitkin, 2001: The BMRC coupled general circulation model ENSO forecast system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 975-991.
|
52 |
Wunsch, C., 1996: The Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem. Cambridge University Press.
|
53 |
Wikle, C. K., and L. M. Berliner, 2007: A Bayesian tutorial for data assimilation. Physica D., 230, 1-16.
DOI
|
54 |
Yang, S. C., M. Corazza, A. Carrassi, E. Kalnay, and T. Miyoshi, 2009: Comparison of local ensemble transform Kalman filter, 3DVAR, and 4DVAR in a quasigeostrophic model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 693-709.
DOI
|