Extreme value modeling of structural load effects with non-identical distribution using clustering |
Zhou, Junyong
(School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou University)
Ruan, Xin (Department of Bridge Engineering, Tongji University) Shi, Xuefei (Department of Bridge Engineering, Tongji University) Pan, Chudong (School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou University) |
1 | Jeong, Y. J., Park, M. S., and You, Y. J. (2016), "Experimental study on wave forces to offshore support structures", Struct. Eng. Mech., 60(2), 193-209. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2016.60.2.193. DOI |
2 | Lang, M., Ouarda, T. B. M. J. and Bobee, B. (1999), "Towards operational guidelines for over-threshold modeling", J. Hydrology, 225(3-4), 103-117. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00167-5. DOI |
3 | McLachlan, G. and Peel, D. (2004). Finite Mixture Models, John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey, U.S.A. |
4 | Ministry of Communications and Transportation (MCT) (2015), General code for design of highway bridges and culverts JTG D60-2015, China Communications Press, Beijing, China. (In Chinese). |
5 | Rivas, D., Caleyo, F., Valor, A. and Hallen, J. M. (2008), "Extreme value analysis applied to pitting corrosion experiments in low carbon steel: comparison of block maxima and peak over threshold approaches", Corrosion Sci., 50(11), 3193-3204. DOI |
6 | Madsen, H. Rasmussen, P.F. and Rosbjerg, D. (1997), "Comparison of annual maximum series and partial duration series methods for modeling extreme hydrologic events: 1. Atsite modeling", Water Resources Res., 33(4), 747-757. https://doi.org/10.1029/96WR03848. DOI |
7 | Ruan, X., Zhou, J. Y., Shi, X. F. and Caprani, C. C. (2017a), "A site-specific traffic load model for long-span multi-pylon cable-stayed bridges", Struct. Infrastruct. Eng., 13(4), 494-504. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2016.1164724. DOI |
8 | Ruan, X., Zhou, J. Y., Tu, H. Z., Jin, Z. R. and Shi, X. F. (2017b), "An improved cellular automaton with axis information for microscopic traffic simulation", Transport. Res. Part C Emerg. Technol., 78, 63-77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2017.02.023. DOI |
9 | Scarrott, C. and MacDonald, A. (2012), "A review of extreme value threshold estimation and uncertainty quantification", REVSTAT-Statistical J., 10(1), 33-60. |
10 | Tabsh, S. W. and Mitchell, M. M. (2016), "Girder distribution factors for steel bridges subjected to permit truck or super load", Struct. Eng. Mech., 60(2), 237-249. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2016.60.2.237. DOI |
11 | Zhang, S., Solari, G., Yang, Q. and Repetto, M. P. (2018), "Extreme wind speed distribution in a mixed wind climate", J. Wind Eng. Industrial Aerodynam., 176, 239-253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2018.03.019. DOI |
12 | Treiterer, J. (1965), Investigation and Measurement of Traffic Dynamics, Appendix IX to Final Report EES 202-2, Ohio State University, U.S.A. |
13 | Xia, Y. X., and Ni, Y. Q. (2016), "Extrapolation of extreme traffic load effects on bridges based on long-term SHM data", Smart Struct. Syst., 17(6), 995-1015. https://doi.org/10.12989/sss.2016.17.6.995. DOI |
14 | Ye, X. W., Xi, P. S., Su, Y. H. and Chen, B. (2017). "Analysis and probabilistic modeling of wind characteristics of an arch bridge using structural health monitoring data during typhoons", Struct. Eng. Mech., 63(6), 809-824. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2017.63.6.809. DOI |
15 | Zhou, X. Y., Schmidt, F., Toutlemonde, F. and Jacob, B. (2016), "A mixture peaks over threshold approach for predicting extreme bridge traffic load effects", Probabilistic Eng. Mech., 43, 121-131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2015.12.004. DOI |
16 | Au-Yong, C. P., Ali, A. S., Ahmad, F. and Chua, S. J. L. (2017). "Optimal inspection frequency to mitigate the risk of building system failure", Struct. Eng. Mech., 64(3), 347-352. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2017.64.3.347. DOI |
17 | Zhou, J.Y., Shi, X. F. and Ruan, X. (2018a), "Composite extrema prediction of multi-event driven bridge traffic load effects", J. Harbin Institute Technol., 50(9), 11-18. (In Chinese). |
18 | Zhou, J. Y., Shi, X. F., Caprani, C. C. and Ruan, X. (2018b). "Multi-lane factor for bridge traffic load from extreme events of coincident lane load effects", Struct. Safety, 72, 17-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2017.12.002. DOI |
19 | Zhou, J.Y., Shi, X. F., Zhang, L.W. and Sun, Z. (2019). "Traffic control technologies for component replacement of long-span bridges using microsimulation", Struct. Eng. Mech., 70(2), 169-178. https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2019.70.2.169. DOI |
20 | Akaike, H. (1998), "Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle", Selected Papers of Hirotugu akaike, Springer, New York, 199-213. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1694-0_15. |
21 | Bermudez, P. de Zea. And Kotz, S. (2010), "Parameter estimation of the generalized Pareto distribution-Part I", J. Statistical Plan. Inference, 140(6), 1353-1373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2008.11.019. DOI |
22 | Caprani, C. C. (2012), "Lifetime highway bridge traffic load effect from a combination of traffic states allowing for dynamic amplification", J. Bridge Eng., 18(9), 901-909. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)BE.1943-5592.0000427. DOI |
23 | Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R. and Mearns, L. O. (2000) "Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts", Science, 289(5487), 2068-2074. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5487.2068. DOI |
24 | Caprani, C. C., O'Brien, E. J. and McLachlan, G. J. (2008), "Characteristic traffic load effects from a mixture of loading events on short to medium span bridges", Structural Safety, 30(5), 394-404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2006.11.006. DOI |
25 | Cook, N. J. (2004), "Confidence limits for extreme wind speeds in mixed climates", J. Wind Eng. Industrial Aerodynam., 92(1), 41-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2003.09.037. DOI |
26 | Davison, A. C. and Smith, R. L. (1990). "Models for exceedances over high thresholds", J. Royal Statistical Soc. B (Methodological), 52(3), 393-442. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1990.tb01796.x. DOI |
27 | EC1. (2003), Actions on structures. Part 2: Traffic loads on bridges. Eurocode 1, EN 1991-2:2003, European Committee for Standardization, Brussels. |
28 | Frangopol, D. M. and Liu, M. (2007), "Maintenance and management of civil infrastructure based on condition, safety, optimization, and life-cycle cost", Struct. Infrastruct. Eng., 3(1), 29-41. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732470500253164. DOI |
29 | Gomes, L. and Vickery, B. J. (1978), "Extreme wind speeds in mixed climates", J. Wind Eng. Industrial Aerodynam., 2(4), 331-344. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6105(02)00397-5. DOI |
30 | Gumbel, E. J. (2012). Statistics of Extremes, Dover Publications, Inc., Mineola, New York, U.S.A. |
31 | Guo, D. and Caprani, C. C. (2018), "Traffic load patterning on long span bridges: A rational approach", Structural Safety, 77, 18-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2018.11.003. DOI |