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http://dx.doi.org/10.20878/cshr.2017.23.2.013

A Study on the Price Discovery of Lean Hog Futures  

Byun, Youngtae (Dept. of Business Administration, Kyungsung University)
Publication Information
Culinary science and hospitality research / v.23, no.2, 2017 , pp. 126-134 More about this Journal
Abstract
The purpose of this paper was to examine the dynamics of the price discovery function between lean hog futures and spot markets using the vector error correction model (VECM). The researcher also investigated the existence of the long-run equilibrium relationship between the lean hog futures and spot markets. Daily time series data of lean hog futures and spot observed in the Korean market during the period from 5 Jan. 2011 to 28 Dec. 2012 were analyzed. To examine the price discovery, this study employed the Gonzalo and Granger's (1995) information ratio and Hasbrock's (1995) information ratio measurement method. The significant findings of the study are summarized as follows. First, lean hog futures and spot market are significantly correlated. Secondly, the lean hog future market plays a more dominant role in price discovery than the spot market. Finally, price discovery measures based on the VECM suggested that the lean hog future market plays a more dominant role in price discovery than the lean hog spot market. This is the important systematic empirical work to find the relationship between the lean hog future and spot market.
Keywords
price discovery; error correction model; lean hog spot market; lean hog futures market; information ratio;
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