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http://dx.doi.org/10.5207/JIEIE.2007.21.10.052

A Study on Generation Adequacy Assessment Considering Probabilistic Relation Between System Load and Wind-Power  

Kim, Gwang-Won (울산대학교 전기전자정보시스템공학부)
Hyun, Seung-Ho (울산대학교 전기전자정보시스템공학부)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers / v.21, no.10, 2007 , pp. 52-58 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper presents the wind-power model for generation adequacy assessment. Both wind-power and system load depend on time of a year and show their periodic nature with similar periods. Therefore, the two quantities have some probabilistic relations, and if one of them is given, the other can be decided with some probability. In this paper, the two quantities are quantized by k-means clustering algorithm and related probabilities among the cluster centers are calculated using sequential wind-power and system load data. The proposed model is highly expected to be applied for generation adequacy assessment by Monte-Carlo simulation with state sampling method.
Keywords
Generation Adequacy; Wind-Power; Monte Carlo; Reliability;
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