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A Development of Generalized Coupled Markov Chain Model for Stochastic Prediction on Two-Dimensional Space  

Park Eun-Gyu (Department of Geology, Kyungpook National University)
Publication Information
Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment / v.10, no.5, 2005 , pp. 52-60 More about this Journal
Abstract
The conceptual model of under-sampled study area will include a great amount of uncertainty. In this study, we investigate the applicability of Markov chain model in a spatial domain as a tool for minimizing the uncertainty arose from the lack of data. A new formulation is developed to generalize the previous two-dimensional coupled Markov chain model, which has more versatility to fit any computational sequence. Furthermore, the computational algorithm is improved to utilize more conditioning information and reduce the artifacts, such as the artificial parcel inclination, caused by sequential computation. A generalized 20 coupled Markov chain (GCMC) is tested through applying a hypothetical soil map to evaluate the appropriateness as a substituting model for conventional geostatistical models. Comparing to sequential indicator model (SIS), the simulation results from GCMC shows lower entropy at the boundaries of indicators which is closer to real soil maps. For under-sampled indicators, however, GCMC under-estimates the presence of the indicators, which is a common aspect of all other geostatistical models. To improve this under-estimation, further study on data fusion (or assimilation) inclusion in the GCMC is required.
Keywords
Generalized coupled Markov chain (GCMC); Soil map; Geostatistics;
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