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http://dx.doi.org/10.14249/eia.2015.24.5.432

Estimating Effects of Climate Change on Ski Industry - The Case of Ski Resorts in South Korea -  

Kim, Song-Yi (Tourism Industry Research Division, Korea Culture & Tourism Institute)
Park, Chan (Urban research division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements)
Park, Jin-Han (Interdisciplinary Program in Landscape Architecture, Seoul National University)
Lee, Dong-Kun (Department of Landscape Architecture and Rural Systems Engineering, Seoul National University)
Publication Information
Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment / v.24, no.5, 2015 , pp. 432-443 More about this Journal
Abstract
Ski industry is sensitive to climate change. Many studies were carried out to learn the impact on climate change to large scale ski resorts around the world and the results are difficult to be applied to small scale ski resorts in general. So, this study targeted small ski resorts composing the ski industry of Korea and forecasted the impact of climate change. As a result, based on the mitigation efforts to minimize climate changes of the future (RCP 4.5), ski industry could be maintained at the same level of today. However, if climate change continues at the current trend (RCP 8.5), ski resorts will face loss of business days. If 100 days are considered as the minimum days to maintain the ski business, among 17 ski resorts in Korea, 3 ski resorts will be driven out of business by 2030s, 12 more ski resorts by 2060s and remaining 2 ski resort by 2090s will end the business. It means that smaller ski resorts has higher chance of facing difficulties in running business just as large scale ski resorts. Therefore, to sustain the ski business, technical and managerial efforts to adapt to the changing environment is needed.
Keywords
Climate Change; Tourism Vulnerability; Ski Industry; Adaptation; South Korea; RCP Scenario;
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