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http://dx.doi.org/10.14578/jkfs.2014.103.4.605

Effect of Climate Changes on the Distribution of Productive Areas for Quercus mongolica in Korea  

Lee, Young Geun (Division of Forest Ecology, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Sung, Joo Han (Division of Forest Ecology, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Chun, Jung Hwa (Division of Forest Ecology, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Shin, Man Yong (Department of Forest, Environment, and System, Kookmin University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science / v.103, no.4, 2014 , pp. 605-612 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study was conducted to predict the changes of yearly productive area distribution for Quercus mongolica under climate change scenarios. For this, site index equations by ecoprovinces were first developed using environmental factors. Using the large data set from both a digital forest site map and a climatic map, a total of 48 environmental factors including 19 climatic variables were regressed on site index to develop site index equations. Two climate change scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, were then applied to the developed site index equations and the distribution of productive areas for Quercus mongolica were predicted from 2020 to 2100 years in 10-year intervals. The results from this study show that the distribution of productive areas for Quercus mongolica generally decreases as time passes. It was also found that the productive area distribution of Quercus mongolica is different over time under two climate change scenarios. The RCP 8.5 which is more extreme climate change scenario showed much more decreased distribution of productive areas than the RCP 4.5. It is expected that the study results on the amount and distribution of productive areas over time for Quercus mongolica under climate change scenarios could provide valuable information necessary for the policies of suitable species on a site.
Keywords
climatic change scenario; productive area; site index equation; digital site map; climatic map;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 6  (Citation Analysis)
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