Browse > Article

Evaluation of Multi-criteria Performances of the TOPMODEL Simulations in a Small Forest Catchment based on the Concept of Equifinality of the Multiple Parameter Sets  

Choi, Hyung Tae (Department of Forest Environment, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Kim, Kyongha (Department of Forest Environment, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Jun, Jae-Hong (Department of Forest Environment, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Yoo, Jae-Yun (Department of Forest Environment, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Jeong, Yong-Ho (Department of Forest Environment, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science / v.95, no.5, 2006 , pp. 569-579 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study focuses on the application of multi-criteria performance measures based on the concept of equifinality to the calibration of the rainfall-runoff model TOPMODEL in a small deciduous forest catchment. The performance of each parameter set was evaluated by six performance measures, individually, and each set was identified as a behavioral or non-behavioral parameter set by a given behavioral acceptance threshold. Many behavioral parameter sets were scattered throughout the parameter space, and the range of model behavior and the sensitivity for each parameter varied considerably between the different performance measures. Sensitivity was very high in some parameters, and varied depending on the kind of performance measure as well. Compatibilities of behavioral parameter sets between different performance measures also varied, and very few parameter sets were selected to be used in making god predictions for all performance measures. Since different behavioral parameter sets with different likelihood weights were obtained for each performance measure, the decision on which performance measure to be used may be very important to achieve the goal of study. Therefore, one or more suitable performance measures should be selected depending on the environment and the goal of a study, and this may lead to decrease model uncertainty.
Keywords
equifinality; TOPMODEL; multi-criteria performance measures; behavioral parameter set; sensitivity; compatibility; likelihod weight; deciduous forest catchment;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 Beven, K.J., Lamb, R., Quinn, P., Romanowicz, R., and Freer, J. 1995. TOPMODEL. In: Singh, V.P., Editor, 1995. Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology, Water Resource Publications, Colorado, 627-668
2 Beven, K.J., Quinn, P.J., Romanowicz, R., Freer, J., Fisher, J. and Lamb, R. 1994. TOPMODEL and GRIDATB: A Users Guide to the Distribution Versions (94.01). TR110/94, 43 pp., CRES
3 Hornberger, G.M. and Spear, R. 1981. An approach to the preliminary analysis of environmental systems. Journal of Environmental Management 12: 7-18
4 Ndiritu J.G. and Daniell, T.M. 1999. Assessing model calibration adequacy via global optimization. Water SA 25(3): 317-326
5 Uhlenbrook, S. and Siebert, A. 2004. On the value of experimental data to reduce the prediction uncertainty of a process-oriented catchment model. Environmental Modelling & Software, in press
6 Beven, K.J. and Freer, J. 2001b. Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modeling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology. Journal of Hydrology 249: 11-29   DOI   ScienceOn
7 Madsen, H., Wilson, G and Ammentorp, H.C. 2002. Comparison of different automatic strategies for calibration of rainfall-runoff models. Journal of Hydrology 261: 48-59   DOI   ScienceOn
8 Refsgaard, J.C. and Knudsen, J. 1996. Operational validation and intercomparison of different types of hydrological models. Water Resources Research 32(7): 2189-2202   DOI   ScienceOn
9 Ratto, M., Tarantola, S. and Saltelli, A. 2001. Sensitivity analysis in model calibration: GSA-GLUE approach. Computer Physics Communications 136: 212-224   DOI   ScienceOn
10 Beven, K. J. 1997., TOPMODEL: a critique. Hydrological Processes 11(3): 1069-1085   DOI   ScienceOn
11 Beven, KJ. 2002. Towards a coherent philosophy for modelling the environment. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A-Mathematica Physical and Engineering Sciences 458(2026): 2465-2484
12 Beven, K.J. 2001. Rainfall-Runoff Modeling. The Primer, Wiley, Chichester. pp. 360
13 Beven, K.J. 2005. A manifesto for the equifinality thesis. Journal of Hydrology, in press
14 Beven, K.J. and Binley, A. 1992. The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrological Processes 6: 279-298   DOI
15 Blazkova, S. and Beven, K. 2004. Flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation of subcatchment rainfalls and discharges with the aim of improving dam safety assessment in a large basin in the Czech Republic. Journal of Hydrology 292: 153-172   DOI   ScienceOn
16 Freer, J.E., Beven, K.J. and Peters, N.E. 2003. Multivariate seasonal period model rejection within the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation procedure. In: Duan, Q., Gupta, H., Sorooshian, S., Rousseau, A.N. and Turcotte, R., Editors; 2003. Calibration of watershed models. AGU, Water Science and Application Series, Washington pp. 346
17 Gupta, H.V., Bastidas, L.A, Sorooshian, S., Shuttleworth, W.J. and Yang, Z.L. 1999. Parameter estimation of a land surface scheme using multicriteria methods. Journal of Geophysical Research 104(D16): 19,491-19,503   DOI
18 Loague, K. and VanderKwaak, J.E. 2004. Physicsbased hydrologic response simulation: platinum bridge, 1958 Edsel, or useful tool. Hydrological Processes 18: 2949-2956   DOI   ScienceOn
19 Beven, K.J. and Freer, J. 2001a. A dynamic TOPMODEL. Hydrological Processes 15, 1993-2011   DOI   ScienceOn
20 Freer, J. 1998. Uncertainty and calibration of conceptual rainfall runoff models. Ph.D. Thesis, Lancaster University
21 Beven, K.J. and Kirkby, M.J. 1979. A physically-based variable contributing area model of basin hydrology. Hydrol. Sci. Bull. 24(1): 43-69   DOI   ScienceOn
22 Vieux, B.E., Cui, Z. and Gaur, A. 2004. Evaluation of a physics-based distributed hydrologic model for flood forecasting. Journal of Hydrology 298: 155-177   DOI   ScienceOn
23 Franchini, M., Wendling, J., Obled, C. and Todini, E. 1996. Physical interpretation and sensitivity analysis of the TOPMODEL. Journal of Hydrology 175: 293-338   DOI   ScienceOn
24 Refsgaard, J.C. 1997. Parameterisation, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models, Journal of Hydrology 198: 69-97   DOI   ScienceOn
25 Legates, D.R., and Davies, R.E. 1997. The continuing search for an anthropogenic climate change signal: Limitations of correlation-based approaches. Geophys. Res. Lett. 24: 2319-2322   DOI   ScienceOn