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http://dx.doi.org/10.14346/JKOSOS.2018.33.4.111

Study on Fatality Risk of Older Driver and Traffic Accident Cost  

Choi, Jaesung (National Infrastructure Research Division, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Society of Safety / v.33, no.4, 2018 , pp. 111-118 More about this Journal
Abstract
Korea is facing a surge in the aging population, showing that population aged 65 and above will be accounted for 42.5% of the total population in 2065 with the emphasis on the over-80 population consisting of 19.2%. In response to this abrupt change in population structure, the number of traffic fatality accident referring to older driver as aged 65+ years had been increasing from 605 fatalities in 2011 to 815 fatalities in 2015 resulting in increases in 34.7% in oppose to happening to decreases in 17.2% about non-older driver. With Logit analysis based on Newton-Raphson algorithm utilizing older driver's traffic fatality data for the 2011-2015 years, it was found that the likelihood of an accident resulting in a fatality for super older driver aged 80 years and above considerably increased compared to other older driver with aging classification: 2.24 times for violation of traffic lane, 2.04 times for violation of U-turn, 1.48 times for violation of safety distance, 1.35 times for violation of obstacle of passing; also average annual increase of traffic accident cost related to super older driver was fairly increased rather than other older driver groups. Hence, this study proposes that improving and amending transport safety system and Road Traffic Act for super older driver needs to be urgently in action about license management, safe driving education, etc. when considering the increase of over-80 population in the near future. Also, implementing a social agreement with all ages and social groups to apply with advanced driver assistance system for older driver groups will be able to become a critical factor to enhance safe driving over the face of the country.
Keywords
aging classification; logit analysis; safety policy; super older driver; traffic violation; traffic accident cost;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
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