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Fertility Decline in South Korea: Forty Years of Policy-Behavior Dialogue  

Choe, Min-Ja (Research Program, East-West Center)
Park, Kyung-Ae (Vital Statistics Division, Korea National Statistical Office, Government Complex)
Publication Information
Korea journal of population studies / v.29, no.2, 2006 , pp. 1-26 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper examines the interplay among changes in socioeconomic conditions, population policies, and fertility decline during $1960{\sim}2000$ in South Korea. Period-parity-progression-ratios (PPPR) are calculated using 2% samples of Population Census with the implied distribution of completed family size. The total fertility rate based on PPPR declined from 5.21 in 1960 to 2.76 in 1980, and 1.69 in 2000. The family planning programs were successful in meeting the needs of families that wanted to prevent further childbearing after having achieved the desired family size during $1960{\sim}1970$. The 1980s mark two important landmarks: achievement of replacement fertility and emergence of high sex ratio at birth. In the 1990s the "quality and welfare" approach was emphasized. In 2000s, South Korea's fertility is one of the lowest in the world. In response to this, in 2005, the Government adopted a new population policy with the goal of increasing the total fertility level to 1.6 by 2010. The results of this study indicate that proportion of women who would have no children at all throughout their reproductive life span increased substantially from 10% in 1995 to 16% in 2000, with a sharp increase since 1997. Thus, pro-natal programs need to address the problems associated with marriage and having the first child. Towards that, it is important that work and family life become more compatible.
Keywords
Childless Women; Family planning program; Fertility transition; New population policy; Nuptiality; Period parity progression ratio(PPPR);
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