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Development of a Cross-impact Hierarchical Model for Deciding Technology Priority  

권철신 (성균관대학교 시스템경영공학부)
조근태 (성균관대학교 시스템경영공학부)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society / v.27, no.1, 2002 , pp. 1-17 More about this Journal
Abstract
The objective of this paper is to develop a new priority setting algorithm that considers the cross-impact of the future technology alternatives and that satisfies the final goal of the technology management through multi-hierarchy evaluation criteria. By combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model, which is a well-known priority setting model, and Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) model, which is a technological forecasting method that considers cross-impact among R&D Items, we developed an Integrated Cross-Impact Hierarchical (CIH) model, which sets the priority by considering technological forecasting and technology dependency simultaneously. A step-by-step numerical example of the model developed here is presented as backup of its practicality.
Keywords
Analytic Hierarchy Process; Cross Impact Analysis; Cross-impact Hierarchical Model;
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