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Consumer Expectation Index and Household Consumption Expenditures  

Kim, Kyung-Ja (Dept. of Consumer & Housing Studies, The Catholic Univ.)
Publication Information
Journal of Families and Better Life / v.26, no.6, 2008 , pp. 181-192 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study investigated the usefulness of Consumer Expectation Index to predict real household spending. Specifically, the forecasting impact of the index on clothing, eating-out, entertainment, education, and health consumption area was examined. The results showed that the CEI was a good indicator for the future household spending of clothing, eating-out, entertainment and total consumption but it was not true for the spending of education and health. Most of CEls were significantly correlated with household spending even when household income and CPI were controlled. The impact of CEls on household spending tended to be lagged by one or two quarters.
Keywords
consumer expectation index; consumption expenditure;
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