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http://dx.doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2003.27.5.493

A Study on the System Dynamics Analysis for Human Factors in Ship′s Collision Accidents  

Keum, Jong-Soo (Division of Maritime transportation system Mokpo Maritime University)
Yang, Weon-Jae (Division of Maritime transportation system Mokpo Maritime University)
Jang, Woon-Jae (Graduate school of Mokpo Maritime University)
Publication Information
Journal of Navigation and Port Research / v.27, no.5, 2003 , pp. 493-498 More about this Journal
Abstract
Ship is being operated under a highly dynamic environments and many factors are related with ship's collision and those factors are interacting. So, An analysis on the ship's collision muses is very important to prepare countermeasures which will ensure the safe navigation. And the analysis confirmed that ship's collision is occurred most frequently and the muse is closely related with human factor. The main purpose of this study is to build a model of human factors in ship's collision muse using SD(System Dynamics} approach and to measure a effect which is risk control countermeasures of ship's collision. To achieve this aim, the structure analysis on the muses of ship's collision using FSM are performed, and the structure was changed by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops in casual map. This model was performed over 20 years(1993-2012) in a standard simulation model and 8 policy simulation models.
Keywords
marine casualty; casual map; SD(system dynamics); FSM(Fuzzy Structural Modeling); simulation model;
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