Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.13160/ricns.2020.13.1.34

An Impact Analysis and Prediction of Disaster on Forest Fire  

Kim, Youn Su (Department of Computer Science and Statistics, Chosun University)
Lee, Yeong Ju (Department of Computer Science and Statistics, Chosun University)
Chang, In Hong (Department of Computer Science and Statistics, Chosun University)
Publication Information
Journal of Integrative Natural Science / v.13, no.1, 2020 , pp. 34-40 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study aims to create a model for predicting the number of extinguishment manpower to put out forest fires by taking into account the climate, the situation, and the extent of the damage at the time of the forest fires. Past research has been approached to determine the cause of the forest fire or to predict the occurrence of a forest fire. How to deal with forest fires is also a very important part of how to deal with them, so predicting the number of extinguishment manpower is important. Therefore predicting the number of extinguishment manpower that have been put into the forest fire is something that can be presented as a new perspective. This study presents a model for predicting the number of extinguishment manpower inputs considering the scale of the damage with forest fire on a scale bigger than 0.1 ha as data based on the forest fire annual report(Korea Forest Service; KFS) from 2015 to 2018 using the moderated multiple regression analysis. As a result, weather factors and extinguished time considering the damage show that affect forest fire extinguishment manpower.
Keywords
Correlation Analysis; Damaged Amount; Damaged Area; Extinguishment Manpower; Forest Fire; Moderated Multiple Regression Analysis;
Citations & Related Records
연도 인용수 순위
  • Reference
1 Lee, H.W., Tak, S.H., and Lee, S.H. Numerical Experiment on the Variation of Atmospheric Circulation Due to Wild Fire. Journal of Environmental Science International, Vol. 22, No. 2, 173-185 (2013).   DOI
2 Seo, J. G. Research on improvement plan for wildland fire precaution and extinguishment system in korea, The university of seoul. MD. Diss. Dissertation, p62, (2008).
3 Kim, M. G. A Review of Mountain Fire Disaster in Korea. Kwandong University (2008. 2).
4 Calcerrada, R., Novillo, C. J., Millington, J. D. A., and Jimenez, I. G. GIS Analysis of Spatial Patterns of Human-caused Wildfire Ignition Risk in the SW of Madrid (Central Spain), Landscape ecology, 23, 3, 341-354 (2008).   DOI
5 Kourtz, P. H. and Todd, J. B. Predicting the Daily Occurrence of Lightning-caused Forest Fires Forestry Canada, Petawawa National Forestry Institute, Vol. 112, (1991).
6 Lee B.D., Lee M.B. Spatial Patterns of Forest Fires between 1991 and 2007. Journal of Korean Institute of Fire Science & Engineering, Vol 23(5), 15-20 (2009).
7 Lee S.Y., Lee H.P. Analysis of Forest Fire Occurrence in Korea. Journal of Fire Science and Engineering, Vol 20(2), 54-63 (2006).
8 Lee S.Y., Han S.Y., An S.H., Oh J.S., Jo M.H., Kim M.S. Regional Analysis of Foest Fire Occurrence Factors in Kangwon Province. Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol 3(3), 135-142 (2001).
9 Jeon B.R., Chea M.H. A Study of Analysis on Relationship between Korea Forest Fire Occurrence and Weather Factor. Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 17.5, 197-206 (2017).   DOI
10 Baron, Reuben M., and David A. Kenny. The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of personality and social psychology, 51.6, 1173 (1986).   DOI