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http://dx.doi.org/10.5351/KJAS.2012.25.3.389

Determining a BMDL of Blood Lead Based on ADHD Scores Using a Semi-Parametric Regression  

Kim, Ah-Hyoun (Department of Applied Statistics, Yonsei University)
Ha, Min-A (College of Medicine, Dankook University)
Kim, Byung-Soo (Department of Applied Statistics, Yonsei University)
Publication Information
The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics / v.25, no.3, 2012 , pp. 389-401 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper derives a benchmark dose(BMD) and its 95% lower confidence limit(BMDL) using a semi-parametric regression model for small lead based changes in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD) scores in the first wave of the Children's Health and Environment Research(CHEER) survey data, which have been regularly collected in South Korea since 2005. Ha et al. (2009) showed that the appearance of ADHD symptoms had a borderline trend of increasing with the blood lead concentration. Butdz-J${\o}$rgensen (EFSA, 2010a) derived the BMDL of lead corresponding to a benchmark region of 1 full intelligent quotient (IQ) score using the raw data in Lanphear et al. (2005, EHP). European Food Safety Authority (EFSA, 2010b) determined the BMDL of $1.2{\mu}g/dl$ as a reference point for the characterization of lead when assessing the risk of the intellectual deficit measured by IQ scores. Kim et al. (2011) indicated that an even lower BMDL could be obtained based on the ADHD score; however, the BMDLs depended heavily upon the model assumptions. We show in this paper that a semi-parametric approach resolves the model dependence of BMDLs.
Keywords
Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder; benchmark dose lower limit; reference point; semi-parametric regression;
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