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Why Do Individuals Postpone Their Enrollments for Military Service under a Conscription System? : Investigating Individuals' Psychological and Demographic Characteristics  

Kim, Sang-Hoon (서울대학교 경영대학)
Kim, Jin-Gyo (서울대학교 경영대학)
Jeong, Yong-Gyun (서울대학교 경영대학)
Publication Information
Journal of the military operations research society of Korea / v.32, no.2, 2006 , pp. 188-211 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study aims to empirically investigate the effects of the individual-level characteristics on their timing decisions for their enlistments even though military services are their duties under a draft system. The individual characteristics considered include five psychological factors, such as attitude, uncertainty, information search level, future expectation, and perceived risk towards army, and other several demographic variables. Measurement scales for these psychological variables are developed and a duration model for individuals' enrollment timing decisions is also proposed. The proposed model is fitted to a survey data set collected from both those who have completed military service and those who have not. The estimation results show that two of five psychological variables, negative attitude and perceived risk, and several demographic variables, including education level, income level, residence area, and the number of family members serving the army, have meaningful impacts on the timing decisions for military service. Specifically, the enlistment timings are found to be more delayed as negative attitude towards army is stronger, perceived risk on army is higher, education level is higher, academic performance is better, income level is either low or high, residence area is either Seoul or big cities, and the proportion of family members enlisted is smaller. Several important managerial implications for alleviating problems resulting from enrollment postponements are also discussed.
Keywords
Military Service Postponement; Duration Analysis;
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  • Reference
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