Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.7465/jkdi.2016.27.2.315

Bias caused by nonresponses and suggestion for increasing response rate in the telephone survey on election  

Heo, Sunyeong (Department of Statistics, Changwon National University)
Yi, Sucheol (Department of Mathematics, Changwon National University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society / v.27, no.2, 2016 , pp. 315-325 More about this Journal
Abstract
Thanks to the advantages of low cost and quick results, public opinion polls on election in Korea have been generally conducted by telephone survey, even though it has critical disadvantage of low response rate. In public opinion polls on election in Korea, the general method to handle nonresponses is adjusting the survey weight to estimate parameters. This study first drives mathematical expression of estimator and its bias with variance estimators with/without nonresponses in election polls in Korea. We also investigates the nonresponse rate of telephone survey on 2012 Korea presidential election. The average response rate was barely about 14.4%. In addition, we conducted a survey in April 2014 on the respondents's attitude toward telephone surveys. In the survey, the first reason for which respondents do not answer on public opinion polls on election was "feel bothered". And the aged 20s group, the most low response group, also gave the same answer. We here suggest that survey researchers motivate survey respondents, specially younger group, to participate surveys and find methods boosting response rate such as giving incentive.
Keywords
Bias; incentive; nonresponse; telephone survey; the 18th Korea presidential election survey;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Carlson, J. (1996). Results of personalization experiments. Paper presented at the meeting of W-183, Regional Research Committee, Tucson, AZ.
2 Chang, L. and Korsnick, J. A. (2009). National Surveys via RDD telephone interviewing versus the internet: Comparing sample representativeness and response quality. Public Opininon Quarterly, 73, 641-678.   DOI
3 Cho, S. K. and Cho, E. H. (2010). Application of random sampling procedures in a telephone survey. Survey Research, 11, 141-160.
4 Cho, S. K., Kim, J. Y., Na, Y. J. and Lee, M. J. (2007). How to improve the electoral polls? The case of the 2006 local elections. Survey Research, 8, 31-54.
5 Cochran, G. W. (1977). Sampling techniques, 3rd, John Wiley & Sons, New York.
6 Couper, M. P. (2000). Web surveys: A review of issues and approaches. Public Opinion Quarterly, 64, 464-494.   DOI
7 Dillman, D. A. (2000). Mail and internet surveys: The tailored design mehtod, 2nd ed., John Wiley & Sons, New York.
8 Johnson, T. and McLauglin, S. (1990). GMAT registrant survey design report, Los Angeles Graduate Admission Council, Los Angeles.
9 Korea Gallup (2012). Data comparing results from election polls to the press (after D-100), Gallup Report (http://www.gallup.co.kr/gallupdb/report.asp), Seoul.
10 Korea Internet & Security Agency (2013). 2013 Survey on the mobile internet usage, Korea Internet & Security Agency, Seoul.
11 Korea Internet & Security Agency (2015). 2014 Survey on the information protection (personal), Korea Internet & Security Agency, Seoul.
12 Kwak, J. and Choi, B. (2014). A comparison study for accuracy of exit poll based on nonresponse model. Journal of the Korean Data & Information Science Society, 25, 53-64.   DOI
13 Lee, H. J. and S. B. Kang (2012). Handling the nonresponse in sample survey. Journal of the Korean Data & Information Science Society, 23, 1183-1194.   DOI
14 Lee, K., Jang, D. H. and Hong, Y. T. (2012). A case study of mixed-mode design incorporated mobile RDD into telephone RDD. The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics, 25, 153-162.   DOI
15 Heo, S. and Chang, D. (2014). Opportunity cost of survey respondents: Based on 2012 Presidential election poll. Statistics Korea, 19, 147-159.
16 Park, H. and Na, S. (2015). Estimation to improve survey efficiency in callback. Journal of the Korean Data & Information Science Society, 26, 377-385.   DOI
17 Park, M. I. (1978). Public opinion survey in Gallup, Korea Gallup, Seoul, 168-172.
18 Scheaffer, L. R., Mendenhall, W. and Ott, L. (1990). Elementary survey sampling, 4th ed., PWS-KENT Publishing Company, 117, Boston,
19 Tourangeau, R., Groves, R. M. and Redline, C. D. (2010). Sensitive topics and reluctant respondents: Demonstrating a link between nonresponse bias and measurement error. Public Opinion quarterly, 74, 413-432.   DOI