Browse > Article

Future Projections on the Change of Onset Date and Duration of Natural Seasons Using SRES A1B Data in South Korea  

Kwon, Young-Ah (Climate Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, KMA)
Kwon, Won-Tae (Climate Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, KMA)
Boo, Kyung-On (Climate Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, KMA)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Geographical Society / v.42, no.6, 2007 , pp. 835-850 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study examines long-term trends of onset dates and durations of season decomposed by applying a lowpass filtering using observed 80-year(1921-2000) data and projected 2040s and 2090s data based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario in South Korea. As recent climate changes on seasonal cycles in South Korea, the onset dates of spring and summer began earlier after 1970s. But onset dates of autumn and winter were delayed. Winter duration was more shortened during the post-1990 period. Summer duration is longer and winter duration is shorter at southern and eastern coastal area. The different of summer duration and winter duration in coastal area was longer than over the inland. The reduction in winter duration in South Korea agrees with results in overall global warming trends as a climate change signal. Future model output data predict that winter will disappear in Gangneung, Busan and Mokpo in the 2090s
Keywords
filtering; onset date of season; duration of season; A1B emission scenario; global warming;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Lamb, H. H., 1950, Types and spells of weather around the year in the British Isles, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 76, 393-438   DOI
2 유진호.강인식, 2002, '계절전이와 관련된 기온변동과 계절의 장기 변화 경향,' 대기, 12(1), 107-110
3 이승호, 1995, '한반도 주변의 기압배치형에 의한 한국의 자연 계절 구분,' 지리학연구, 26, 65-78
4 Alpert, P., Osetinsky, I., Ziv, B., and Sharif, H., 2004, A new seasons definition based on classilled daily synoptic systems: an example for the eastern Mediterranean, International Journal of Climatology, 24, 1013-102l   DOI   ScienceOn
5 Giles, B. D. and Flocas, A. A., 1984, Air temperature variations in Greece, Part 1. persistence, trend, and fluctuations, Journal of Climatology, 4, 531-539   DOI
6 Stearns, S. D., 1984, Digitale verarbeitung analoger Signale, R. Oldenbourg Verlag Muenchen
7 기상연구소, 2002, 기후변화협약대응 지역기후시나리오 산출기술개발(I), 기상연구소
8 기상연구소, 2004b, 한국의 기후, 두솔, 서울
9 이승호.이경미, 2003, '기온변화에 따른 벚꽃 개화시기의 변화 경향,' 환경영향평가학회지, 12(1), 45-54   PUBMED
10 Alsop, T. J., 1989, The natural seasons of Western Oregon and Washington, Journal of Climate, 2(8), 888-896   DOI
11 기상연구소, 2003, 기후변화협약 대응 지역기후 시나리오 산출기술개발(II), 기상연구소
12 Pielke, R. A., Garstang, M., Lindsey, C., and Gusdorf, J., 1987, Use of a synoptic classification scheme to define seasons, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 38, 57-68   DOI
13 Kalnicky, R. A., 1987, Seasons, singularities, and climatic changes over the midlatitudes of the Northern Hemisphere during 1899-1969, Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, 26, 1496-1510   DOI
14 기상연구소, 2005, 기후변화협약대응 지역기후시나리오 활용기술 개발(I), 기상연구소
15 강만석, 1981, '한국의 자연계절구분에 관한 종관기후학적 연구,' 효성여대논문집, 23(3), 1303-1367   PUBMED
16 윤원태.부경온.김래선.조하만, 1998, '동아시아지역 여름철 주기파의 성향과 북태평양고기압의 변동,' 한국기상학회지, 34(3), 365-375
17 Ye, D., Jiang, Y., and Dong, W., 2003, The northward shift of climatic belts in China during the last 50 years and the corresponding seasonal responses, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 20, 959-967   DOI   ScienceOn
18 김지혜.서승직, 2006, '기후 온난화의 영향에 의한 건물의 냉.난방에너지 수요량 예측,' 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 26(3), 119-125   과학기술학회마을
19 김연옥, 1987, 기후학개론, 정익사, 서울
20 이병설, 1979, '우리나라의 자연계절에 관한 연구,' 지리학, 14(2), 1-11
21 Moon, S. E. and Urn, H. H., 1980, The divisions of the natural seasons of Korea, Journal of the Korean Meteorological Society, 16(1), 45-54
22 Choi, Y., 2005, Temporal and spatial variability of heating and cooling degree-days in South Korea, 1973-2002, Journal of the Korean Geographical Society, 40(5), 584-593
23 김연옥, 1998, 기후변화-한국을 중심으로-, 민음사, 서울
24 이현영, 1980, '남한 주요도시의 난방도일,' 지리학, 22, 10-22
25 Trenberth, K. E., 1983, What are the seasons?, Bulletion of the American Meteorological Society, 64, 1276-1282   DOI
26 Youn, Y. H., Oh, I. S., Park, Y. H., and Ahn, J. B., 2004, Long-term variabilities of air temperature in the Korean peninsula, Journal of the Korean Meteorological Society, 40(3), 361-368   PUBMED
27 권영아, 2006, '최근 한국의 서리 현상의 공간 분포와 시계 열변화 경향,' 대한지리학회지, 41(3), 361-372   과학기술학회마을
28 윤원태.부경온, 1999, '엘리뇨해와 관련한 중위도 일시파의 특성,' 한국기상학회지, 35(1), 146-155
29 기상연구소, 2004a, 기후변화협약 대응 지역기후시나리오 산출기술개발(III), 기상연구소
30 Choi, G., Kwon, W. T., and Robinson, D. A., 2004, Changes of seasonality in South Korea, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(4), 504
31 최광용.권원태, 2001, '20세기 우리나라 자연계절 전이와 생활기온지수의 변화,' 지리교육논집, 45, 14-25
32 기상연구소, 2006, 기후변화협약대응 지역기후시나리오 활용기술 개발(II), 기상연구소
33 권영아.권원태.부경온.최영은, 2007, 'A1B 시나리오 자료를 이용한 우리나라 아열대 기후구 전망,' 대한지리학회지, 42(3), 355-367   과학기술학회마을
34 최광용.권원태.David A, Robinson, 2006, '우리나라 사계절 개시일과 지속기간,' 대한지리학회지, 41(4), 435-456   과학기술학회마을