Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2015.64.4.505

Development of One Day-Ahead Renewable Energy Generation Assessment System in South Korea  

Lee, Yeon-Chan (Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
Lim, Jin-Taek (Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
Oh, Ung-Jin (Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
N.Do, Duy-Phuong (Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
Choi, Jae-Seok (Dept. of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gyeongsang National University)
Kim, Jin-Su (KPX)
Publication Information
The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers / v.64, no.4, 2015 , pp. 505-514 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper proposes a probabilistic generation assessment model of renewable energy generators(REGs) considering uncertainty of resources, mainly focused on Wind Turbine Generator(WTG) and Solar Cell Generator(SCG) which are dispersed widely in South Korea The proposed numerical analysis method assesses the one day-ahead generation by combining equivalent generation characteristics function and probabilistic distribution function of wind speed(WS) and solar radiation(SR) resources. The equivalent generation functions(EGFs) of the wind and solar farms are established by grouping a lot of the farms appropriately centered on Weather Measurement Station(WMS). First, the EGFs are assessed by using regression analysis method based on typical least square method from the recorded actual generation data and historical resources(WS and SR). Second, the generation of the REGs is assessed by adding the one day-ahead resources forecast, announced by WMS, to the EGFs which are formulated as third order degree polynomials using the regression analysis. Third, a Renewable Energy Generation Assessment System(REGAS) including D/B of recorded actual generation data and historical resources is developed using the model and algorithm predicting one day-ahead power output of renewable energy generators.
Keywords
Renewable Energy Generation Assessment; Wind Turbine Generator; Solar Cell Generator; Wind Speed Uncertainty; Solar Radiation Ambiguity; Wind and Solar Farms; Equivalent Generation Function(EGF);
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Jaeseok Choi, Jeongje Park, Kyeonghee Cho, Taegon Oh and Mohammad Shahidehpour, "Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Composite Power Systems Including Wind Turbine Generators", PMAPS2010, Grand Copthorne Waterfront Hotel, Singapore, June 14-17, 2010.
2 Rajesh Karki, Po Hu, Roy Billinton, "A Simplified Wind Power Generation Model for Reliability Evaluation", IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, Vol.21, No.2, June 2006.
3 YongOon Oh, InSu Paek, YoonSu Nam and YoHan La, “Study on the Avalilable Power of a Wind Turbine for Wind Farm Control”, Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society, Vol.34, No.1, 2014.
4 Jeongje Park, Wu Liang, Jaeseok Choi, Junmin Cha , “A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Solar Cell Generators”. Trans. of KIEE, Vol.58, No.3, March 2009.
5 Jeongje Park, Jaeseok Choi, "A Study on Probabilistic Production Costing for Solar Cell Generators", J. of KIEE, Vol.58, No.4, pp.700-707, April 2009, ISSN:1975-8359.
6 HyeonGi Kim, HyeongMin Kim, Jinhan Kim, InSu Paek, NeungSoo Yoo, "Prediction of Wind Shear Exponent in Complex Terrain”, Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society, Vol.32, No.2, pp.87-94, 2012, ISSN 1598-6411.   DOI   ScienceOn
7 F. Bañuelos-Ruedas, C. Angeles-Camacho, S. Rios-Marcuello, "Analysis and validation of the methodology used in the extrapolation of wind speed data at different heights”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol.14, No.8, 2010, ISSN 2383-2391.
8 Syafrudin Masri, Norizah Mohamad, Muhammad Hafeez Mohamed Hariri, "Wind Speed Analysis at Nibong Tebal", IEEE Conference on Power Engineering and Renewable Energy 2012, Indonesia, July 3-5, 2012.
9 D. Weisser, "A wind energy analysis of Grenada: an estimation using the ‘Weibull’density function", Renewable Energy, Vol.28, No.11, 2003, ISSN 1803-1812.
10 Fumitoshi Nomiyama, Joji Asai, Takuma Murakami, Junichi Murata, "A Study on Global Solar Radiation Forecasting Using Weather Forecast Data", MWSCAS2011, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, August 7-10, 2011.
11 Kim Kyoung-bo, Park Yun-Ho, Park Jeong-Keun, Ko Kyung-Nam, Huh Jong-Chul, "Feaibiliy Study on Wind Power Forecasting Using MOS Forecasting Result of KMA", Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society, Vol.30, No.2, pp.46-53, 2010, ISSN 1598-6411.
12 SoonDuck Kwon, "Assessment of Wind Energy potential Based on Short-term Measurement", Journal of the Wind Engineering Institute of Korea, Vol.12, No.3, pp.165-171, 2008.