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Development of International Passenger Travel Demand Models for the ASEAN Region  

Mun, Jin-Su (한국교통연구원)
Park, Jun-Hwan (서울시정개발연구원)
Jung, Ho-Young (GS건설(주) 도로사업단)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Transportation / v.26, no.6, 2008 , pp. 7-15 More about this Journal
Abstract
Due to the limitations in the statistical data, the existing studies adopted rough methodologies with strong assumptions in the estimation of international passenger travel demand forecast in the ASEAN region. This study aims to develop international passenger travel demand models using scientific methodologies. This study proposes a direct demand model using the immigration and emigration data between countries in the region. This is because of the difficulty of estimating trip generation and trip distribution separately due to the data limitation in the region. As there does not exist the mode choice model for the region, this study estimates a mode choice model using the Stated Preference technique. The mode choice model is separated into three categories of models according to the range of distance between the origin and destination of travel; this is to reflect the different behavior in mode choice according to the travel distance. The result of model estimations suggests that the estimated models produce resonable results statistically. It is expected that the proposed models are useful for the future travel demand estimation in the ASEAN region.
Keywords
ASEAN Region; International Trip; Passenger Travel Demand; Direct Demand Model; Stated Preference Model;
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