Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5572/KOSAE.2010.26.3.253

Relationship between Summer Heat Stress (Perceived Temperature) and Daily Excess Mortality in Seoul during 1991~2005  

Lee, Dae-Geun (Applied Meteorology Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Administration)
Byon, Jae-Young (Applied Meteorology Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Administration)
Choi, Young-Jean (Applied Meteorology Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Administration)
Kim, Kyu-Rang (Applied Meteorology Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Administration)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment / v.26, no.3, 2010 , pp. 253-264 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between daily mortality and heat stress in Seoul, using perceived temperatures (PT) derived from a heat budget model. During the summer season, observed PT intensity showed the biggest magnitude of summer heat stress from the middle 10 days of July to the first 10 days of August. The elderly (65 and above) were found to be the most vulnerable to heat stress. The threshold PT, with a significant increase in excess mortality, was $38^{\circ}C$. No time lagged effect was observed with summer heat stress, while a high correlation was observed between anomalies in PT and relative deviation of mortality. A comparison of the heat index and the discomfort index with excess mortality revealed that the discomfort index underestimated excess mortality, whereas the heat index could not appropriately explain the increase in excess mortality correlated with the increase in excess heat. In contrast, PT was found to be the weather element that best represents excess mortality due to heat stress, and is thus expected to serve as a more reliable forecast index of human biometeorology.
Keywords
Perceived temperature; Heat budget model; Heat stress; Mortality; Biometeorology;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 6  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 UNEP(A2004) Impacts of summer 2003 heat wave in Europe. United Nations Environment Programme Early Warning and Emerging Environmental Threats Rep.
2 Landsberg, H.E. (1972) The Assessment of Human Bioclimate, a Limited Review of Physical Parameters, World Meteorological Organization, Technical Note No.123, WMO-No. 331, Geneva.
3 Lee, D.G. (2006) Study on the Correlation and Characteristics of Weather elements affecting Daily Mortality in the Korean Peninsula, Inje University Master’s Thesis, 89pp. (in Korean with English abstract)
4 Lee, D.G., J. Kim, and B.C. Choi (2007) Characteristics of daily mortality due to heat waves in Busan in July 1994, Atmosphere, 17(4), 463-470. (in Korean withEnglish abstract)   과학기술학회마을
5 Lee, D.G., Y.J. Choi, J.Y. Byon, K.R. Kim, and L.S. Kalkstein (2009) Acclimatization effects of Korean metropolitan cities on Heat-Health Warning System (HHWS), Korean Meteorological Society Autumn conference proceedings, 340pp.
6 Matzarakis, A., H. Mayer, M.G. Iziomon (1999) Applications of a universal thermal index: physio-logical equivalent temperature, Int. J. of Biometeo-rol., 43,76-84.   DOI   ScienceOn
7 Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi (2004) More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994-997.   DOI   ScienceOn
8 NIMR (2006) The Development of Biometeorology Technique II (MR060A44), 158pp.
9 NIMR (2007) The Development of Biometeorology Technique III (MR070A71), 282pp.
10 Park, J.K., W.S. Jung, and E.B. Kim (2008) A study on the influence of extreme heat on daily mortality, Korean J. of Atmos. Environ., 24(5), 523-537. (in Korean with English abstract)   과학기술학회마을   DOI   ScienceOn
11 Staiger, H., K. Bucher, and G. Jendritzky (1997) Gefuhlte Temperatur. Die physiologisch gerechte Bewertung von Wärmebelastung und Kältestress beim Aufenthalt im Freien in der $Ma{\beta}zah$l Grad Celsius, Annalen der Meteorologie, 33, 100-107.
12 Gagge, A.P., A.P. Fobelets, and P.E. Berglund (1986) A standard predictive index of human response to the thermal environment. ASHRAE Trans., 92, 709-731.
13 Jendritzky, G., H. Staiger, K. Bucher, A. Graetz, and G. Laschewski (2000) The perceived temperature-the method of the Deutscher Wetterdienst for the assessment of cold stress and heat load for the human body, In: Internet Workshop on Windchill, hosted by Environment Canada.
14 Jendritzky, G., A. Maarouf, and H. Staiger (2001) Looking for a Universal Thermal Climate Index UTCI for Outdoor Applications, Windsor-Conference on Thermal Standards, Windsor, UK.
15 Jendritzky, G. and T. Birger (2009) The thermal environment of the human being on the global scale, Climate change and global health: linking science with policy, Global Health Action Special Volume 2009, 10-21.
16 Kim, H., J.-S. Ha, and J. Park (2006) High temperature, heat index, and mortality in 6 major cities in South Korea, Archives of Environmental and Occupational Health, 61, 265-270.   DOI
17 Kim, J., D.G. Lee, I.S. Park, B.C. Choi, and J.S. Kim (2006) Influences of heat waves on daily mortality in South Korea, Atmosphere, 16(4), 269-278. (in Korean with English abstract)   과학기술학회마을
18 Kunkel, K.E., R.A. Pielke Jr., and S.A. Changnon (1999) Temporal fluctuation in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts: A review, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 1077-1098.   DOI
19 Kim, J., K.R. Kim, B.-C. Choi, D.-G. Lee, and J.-S. Kim (2009a) Regional distribution of perceived temperatures estimated by the human heat budget model (the Klima-Michel model) in South Korea, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 26(2), 275-282.   DOI   ScienceOn
20 Kim, J., D.G. Lee, and J. Kysely (2009b) Characteristics of heat acclimatization for major Korean cities, Atmosphere, 19(4), 309-318. (in Korean with English abstract)   과학기술학회마을
21 Byon, J.Y., J.S. Kim, J. Kim, B.C. Choi, Y.J. Choi, and A. Graetz (2008a) A study on the characteristics of perceived temperature over the Korean peninsula during 2007 summer, Atmosphere, 18(2), 137-146. (in Korean with English abstract)   과학기술학회마을
22 Fanger, P.O. (1970) Thermal Comfort, Analysis and Application in Environment Engineering, Danish Technical Press, Copenhagen, 244pp.
23 Byon, J.Y., J. Kim, B.C. Choi, and Y.J. Choi (2008b) Forecast and verification of perceived temperature using a mesoscale model over the Korean Peninsula during 2007 summer, Atmosphere, 18(3), 237-248. (in Korean with English abstract)   과학기술학회마을
24 Changnon, S.A., K.E. Kunkel, and B.C. Reinke (1996) Impact and responses to the 1995 heat wave: A call to action, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 1496-1506.
25 Ebi, K.L., T.J. Teisberg, L.S. Kalkstein, L. Robinson, and R.F. Weiher (2004) Heat watch/warning systems save lives: Estimated costs and benefits for Philadelphia 1995-1998, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 1067-1073.   DOI   ScienceOn
26 IPCC (2007) Climate Change: The Physical Science Basis-Summary for Policymakers, R. Alley et al., 18pp (http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/).