Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.9708/jksci.2012.17.3.095

A Study of the Prediction of Incidence of Crime using Markov process  

Chung, Young-Suk (Dept. of Computer Science & Engineering, Kongju national University)
Jung, Jin-Young (Dept. of Bio Information, Daejeon Health Sciences College)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information / v.17, no.3, 2012 , pp. 95-103 More about this Journal
Abstract
Modern society is experiencing a variety of crimes, and to prevent crime is being studied. Existing studies related to the crime of crimes that occur on spatial analysis and geographic information, or to analyze the type of criminal offense of studies have been conducted, However the existing studies of the geographical and psychological crime that occurs throughout the study area and by analyzing the motives for the crime prevention research is the most. In this paper, we introduce Markov processor model for predicting the crime is present. Of several crimes, murder, government official crimes, the incidence of violent crime has occurred over time by using the predicted incidence of crime. Presented in this paper, predictive modeling is used in a crime occurred in the average duration of the overall average number of crimes that occurred in the one-year average, which recently labeled as the average prediction was compared to if you can increase the likelihood, recent average to apply to increase the probability of the prediction that crime have been investigated.
Keywords
Markov Process; Simulation; Predictive modeling;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Kim Young-Jin, Park Cheol-Soo, "Prediction of Occupant"s Presence in Residential Apartment Buildings using Markov Chain" Korea Institute of Architectural Sustainable Environment and building System. 2008 autumn conference, pp116-121, 2008.
2 Brown, M.A., "Modelling the Spatial Distribution of Suburban Crime," Economy Geography, Vol. 58, No3, pp. 247-261, July 1982.   DOI   ScienceOn
3 Kamber, T., Mollenkopt, H., and Ross, A. "Crime, Space, and Place : An Analysis of Crime Patterns in Brooklyn", inn Goldsmith V., Mguire G., Mollenkopf, H. and Ross, A.(eds.), Analyzing Crime Patterns: Frontiers of Practice Sage, pp121-136, 2000.
4 Hwang Sun-Young, Hwang Chul-sue, "The Spatial Pattern Analysis Of Urban Crimes Using GIS : The Case of Residential Burglary", Journal of Korea Planners Association, Vol 38, No1, pp 53-56, 2, 2003.   과학기술학회마을
5 Park Cheol-Hyun, "Specialization in Criminal Career : Markov-Chain Analysis" Korean Criminological Review, pp. 243-273, 3, 2003.
6 Charles M. Grinstead, "Introduction to Probability: Second Revised Edition", American Mathematical Society, pp405-406, 1997.
7 Young-Gab Kim, Young-kyo Baek, Hoh Peter In, Doo-Kwon Baik "A Probabilistic Model of Damage Propagation based on the Markov Process" Journal of KIISE, Vol33, No8, pp.524-535, 8. 2006.   과학기술학회마을
8 Jung-Min Park, Koo-Rack Park, "A Study on the Prediction of Crime Probability by month using Markov Chains", Journal of The Korea Knowledge Information Technology Society, 2011. 2, Vol 6, No 1, pp. 69-77.
9 Seung-Hun Lee, Byeong-Sup Moon, Bum-Jin Park , "The Bus Delay Time Prediction Using Markov Chain", The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems, pp.1-10, 6. 2009.   과학기술학회마을
10 Ha Chen-Soo, Han Seok-Youn, "Reliability Evaluation of AGT Vehicle System Using Markov Chains" 2003 Autumn Conference & Annua Meeting of the Korean Society for Railway, pp 91-96, 10, 2004.