Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.5392/JKCA.2020.20.07.602

Analysis of Income-led Growth Path Induced by Government and Consumption Expenditures  

Rhee, Hyun-Jae (청주대학교 경제학과)
Publication Information
Abstract
The aim of this study is to evaluate the effects of income-led growth path induced by government and consumption expenditures. Six of Nordic countries, Latin American countries and South Korea are selected for this purpose due to the fact that these countries have been pursuing income-led growth policy for more than the last decade except South Korea. The structural equation is formulated based on the government and consumption expenditures with lagged variable, and the GLMs estimation is employed for empirical analysis. Although the impacts are not overwhelmingly effective, empirical evidence suggests that income-led growth path contributes to stimulate economic activities which are associated with increasing in national income in Nordic countries and South Korea. However, the income-led growth path is quite weakly operated. Furthermore, it is even unstable in Latin American countries. In addition to this, the policy target would rather be focused on middle consumption group than low consumption group. Overall, it would be concluded that the income-led growth policy should be implemented for complementary purpose. And, it also has to be mentioned that sustainable growth may not be achievable by this policy.
Keywords
Consumption Group; GLMs; Income-led Growth; Profit-led Growth;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 6  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 전수민, 주상영, "노동소득분배율의 측정 : 한국에 적합한 대안의 모색," 사회경제평론, 제27권, 제43호, pp.31-65, 2014.
2 전수민, 주상영, "산업별 노동소득분배율의 측정 : 한국에 적합한 대안의 모색," 경제발전연구, 제21권, 제4호, pp.35-76, 2015.
3 전수민, 주상영, "한국의 기능적 분배와 총수요 : 단일방정식 접근," 사회경제평론, 제29권, 제3호, pp.1-25, 2016.
4 T. Palley, "The Economics of Wage-led Recovery: Analysis and Policy Recommendations," International Journal of Labour Research, Vol.3, No.2, pp.219-244, 2011.
5 M. Jacobson and F. Occhino, "Labor's Declining Share of Income and Rising Inequality," Economic Commentary (FRB-Cleveland), Vol.13, pp.1-5, 2012.
6 이상헌, "소득주도성장 : 이론적 가능성과 정책적 함의," 사회경제평론, 제27권, 제43호, pp.67-99, 2014.
7 전수민, 이기성, "제조업의 경영성과에 영향을 미치는 요인분석 : 산업별 노동소득 분배율을 중심으로," 무역연구, 제15권, 제2호, pp.213-236, 2019.
8 김태일, "소득주도 성장의 평가와 향후 방향," 한국사회정책, 제25권, 제3호, pp.175-208, 2018.
9 박정수, 소득주도성장에 대한 분석과 시사점, 정책연구, 한국경제연구원, 제5권, 2017.
10 김소영, "소득 주도 성장 논란과 향후 방향," 경제논집, 제58권, 제1호, pp.25-40, 2019.
11 안충영, "소득주도 성장, 혁신성장, 그리고 신기업 생태계 : 보완인가? 상충인가?," 한국경제포럼, 제12권 제2호, pp.3-71, 2019.
12 성태윤, 박성준, "소득주도 성장 정책 쟁점과 분석 및 평가 : 임금주도 성장 논의를 중심으로," 한국경제의분석, 제25권, 제2호, pp.53-98, 2019.
13 O. Onaran and G. Galanis, Is Aggregate Demand Wage-led or Profit-led?: National and Global Effects, ILO Working Papers, No.40, 2012.
14 S. Storm and C. W. M. Naastepad, "The Productivity and Investment Effects of Wage-led Growth," International Journal of Labour Research, Vol.3, No.2, pp.197-217, 2011.
15 R. Vergeer and A. Kleinknecht, "The Impact of Labor Market Deregulation on Productivity: A Panel Data Analysis of 19 OECD Countries (1960-2004)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol.33, No.2, pp.371-406, 2010.   DOI
16 표학길, "소득주도성장과 이윤주도성장, 한국경제의분석, 제22권, 제2호, pp.103-151, 2016.
17 강병구, "소득주도 성장과 조세정책," 재정정책논집, 제20권, 제1호, pp.89-113, 2018.
18 조동희 외, "소득주도 성장 관련 유럽 및 미국의 정책사례 연구, KIEP 연구보고서, 제18권, 제8호, 2018.
19 H. Bhorat, R. Kanbur, and N. Mayet, "The Impact of Sectoral Minimum Wage Laws on Employment, Wages, and Hours of Work in South Africa," IZA Journal of Labor & Development, Vol.2, No.1, pp.1-27, 2013.   DOI
20 Del Carpio, X. H. Nguyen, and L. C. Wang, Does the Minimum Wage Effect Employment? Evidence from the Manufacturing Sector in Indonesia, Policy Research Working Paper, No.6147, 2012.
21 S. Storm and C. W. M. Naastepad, "Labor Market Regulation and Productivity Growth : Evidence for Twenty OECD Countries (1984-2004)," Industrial Relations, Vol.48, No.4, pp.629-654, 2009.   DOI
22 F. Jaumotte and C. O. Buiton, Inequality and Labor Market Institutions, International Monetary Fund, 2015.
23 이현재, "소득격차가 소비수준에 미치는 영향 분석," 경상논총, 제12권, 제1호, pp.117-135, 2019a.
24 J. A. Nelder and R. W. M. Wedderburn, "Generalized Linear Models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol.135, No.3, pp.370-384, 1972.   DOI
25 P. McCullagh and J. A. Nelder, Generalized Linear Models (2nd. ed.), London, U.K: Chapman & Hall, 1989.
26 World Bank, World Development Indicators. (www.databank.worldbank.org/databases).
27 J. Hicks, "The Foundations of Welfare Economics," Economic Journal, Vol.49, No.196, pp.696-712, 1939.   DOI
28 E. Stockhammer, "Wage-led Growth: An Introduction," International Journal of Labour Research, Vol.3, No.2, pp.167-188, 2011.
29 M. Lavoie and E. Stockhammer, Wage-led Growth: Concept, Theories and Policies ILO Working Papers, No.41, 2012.
30 R. A. Blecker, "Wage-led Versus Profit-led Demand Regimes : The Long and Short of It," Review of Keynesian Economics, Vol.4, No.4, pp.373-390, 2016.   DOI
31 주상영, "소득주도 성장론에 대한 비판과 반비판," 사회경제평론, 제30권, 제3호, pp.1-36, 2017.   DOI
32 홍장표, "한국의 노동소득분배율 변동이 총수요에 미치는 영향 : 임금주도 성장모델의 적용 가능성," 사회경제평론, 제27권, 제43호, pp.101-138, 2014a.
33 홍장표, "한국의 기능적 소득분배와 경제성장 : 수요체제와 생산성체제 분석을 중심으로," 경제발전연구, 제20권, 제2호, pp.67-97, 2014b.
34 이용재, "노인소득원이 소득불평등에 미치는 효과분석," 한국콘텐츠학회논문지, 제16권 제5호, pp.591-600, 2016.   DOI
35 이현재, "한국의 임금소득과 자본소득이 소득불평등에 미치는 영향 분석: 공적분 추정에 의한 접근," 한국콘텐츠학회논문지, 제19권, 제6호, pp.387-401, 2019b.   DOI