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http://dx.doi.org/10.5392/JKCA.2012.12.12.797

Evaluating the Items Derived from Technology Foresight  

Park, Young-Wook (한국과학기술정보연구원)
Hong, Sung-Wha (한국과학기술정보연구원)
Lee, Jun-Young (한국과학기술정보연구원)
Kim, Kang-Hoe (한국과학기술정보연구원)
Yeo, Woon-Dong (한국과학기술정보연구원)
Publication Information
The Journal of the Korea Contents Association / v.12, no.12, 2012 , pp. 797-809 More about this Journal
Abstract
Many organizations release future emerging technologies information because it is very important to companies. However, unfortunately there are few organizations who assess the emerging technologies they thought a few years ago. We made a framework for assessing the brightness of future emerging technologies rapidly and cost-effectively. We came up with 2 new concepts for it. One is product potential and the other is consumption potential. Product potential is relative probability that emerging technology is implemented to real products. It is resulted from analyzing patents related with emerging technology. Consumption potential is relative probability that consumers buy the products. The number of appearances of emerging technology in the mass media is related to consumption potential. We compared the brightness between LED and LCD technologies with proposed evaluating framework, and came to know that LCD has more brightness over LED.
Keywords
Future Emerging Technology; Product Potential; Consumption Potential;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
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