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ALOHA & Bow-tie 기법을 이용한 메탄올 추진 선박에서의 메탄올 저장탱크 누출 시 위험도 평가

A Study on Risk Assessment of Leaking Methanol Storage Tank on Methanol Fueled Ship Using ALOHA & Bow-tie Method

  • 이정학 (국립목포해양대학교 대학원) ;
  • 지재훈 (국립목포해양대학교 해양경찰학부)
  • Jeonghak Lee (Graduate School, Mokpo National Maritime University) ;
  • Jaehoon Jee (Division of Coast Guard, Mokpo National Maritime University)
  • 투고 : 2024.06.12
  • 심사 : 2024.08.29
  • 발행 : 2024.08.31

초록

본 연구에서는 ALOHA와 Bow-tie를 활용하여 메탄올 추진 선박의 저장 탱크가 울산항에서의 누출 시나리오를 가정하여 위험도 평가하였다. ALOHA를 이용하여 대안 및 최악의 시나리오를 산정하여 피해 범위를 예측하였다. 독성 영향 범위의 결과(ERPG-2 기준)로는 대안(629m), 최악(817m)로 육상 탱크 터미널의 부두 시설 및 거주 지역까지 포함되는 것으로 확인되었다. 인화성 영향 범위(LEL 10% 기준)는 대안(126m), 최악(218m) 선박에서만 발생하였으며, 열복사 영향 범위(5.0kW/m2 기준)는 대안(56m), 최악(56m)로 선박에서만 영향을 미쳤다. 또한, 전문가 집단을 구성하여 Bow-tie 기법을 통하여 예방 대책과 완화 대책을 평가하였다. 대책 유형 분류에서는 Hardware와 Human으로 구분되었으며, 안전 유효성과 위험 심각성의 결과에서는 "Gas Freeing System", "Ventilation System", "Fire-Fighting System이 가장 높은 평가를 받았다. 위의 평가를 토대로 위험도 평가를 도식화하였다.

In this study, the risks of the leakage of a methanol-fueled ship's storage tank at Ulsan Port are evaluated using ALOHA and Bow-tie methodologies. ALOHA is utilized to estimate the damage range by calculating both the worst and alternative scenarios. The results of the toxic area of the vapor cloud range (ERPG-2 standard) indicate that the alternative (629 m) and worst (817 m) scenarios include the pier facilities of the onshore tank terminal and residential areas. The flammable area of the vapor cloud range (LEL 10% standard) is observed only on the ship with the alternative (126 m) and worst (218 m) scenarios. The thermal radiation level of concern (5.0 kW/m2 standard) affects only the ship in both the alternative (56 m) and worst (56 m) scenarios. Additionally, preventive and mitigation measures are evaluated by a panel of experts using the Bow-tie method. The measures are classified into "hardware" and "human" categories, with "gas-freeing system," "ventilation system," and "fire-fighting system" receiving the highest ratings for safety effectiveness and risk severity. Based on the evaluation above, a risk-assessment diagram is developed.

키워드

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